1.16 Turkey

Question 1

What We Can Predict

Answer 1

How likely something is to happen somewhere.
Long-term forecasts
Persuade government to have building regulation/evacuation plans
Build model of magma movement
Measure EQ stress.

Question 2

What We Can’t Predict

Answer 2

Accurate location.
Accurate Timing.
Find a reliable seismic pattern.

Question 3

Turkey/Istanbul

Answer 3

Conservative Plate Boundaries.
EQ in 1999
Heavy industrial damage