Demography
the study of the size, structure (age), and distribution of human populations
Population is aging because of 3 demographic changes
average number of years a person is PROJECTED to live
- NOT average age at the time of death
Better medical treatment
○ Lower fatality rates
Better public health, effective health promotion
○ Seat belts, smoking cessation
life expectancy @ birth
M: 80
W: 84
Epidemiological transition
the replacement of infectious disease by chronic degenerative disease over time
- majority of the population gains reliable access to the basic material necessities of life
○ People live longer
○ Chronic disease don’t kill people quickly
More developed countries = low TFR
Least developed countries = higher TFR
Fertility Rate vs Birth Rate
Fertility = individual measure
- Average # of live births a woman can be expected to have in her lifetime
- NOT the # of times a women gets pregnant
Birth = population measure
- Number of live births per 1000 women
4 Stages of Demographic Transition
stage 1: high fertility & mortality
- small pop. , slow growth
- + young people, - older people
stage 2: high fertility & declining mortality
- pop. grows (more children survive)
- pop. may explode and get younger
- (- )older peolpe
stage 3: declining fertility & mortality
- pop. growth levels = state of transition from young high-growth to old low-growth pop.
- + older people
stage 4: low fertility & mortality
- low pop. growth
- ++ old people
INCREASING dependency ratio
overall dependency ratio
pop. 0-19 + pop. 65+ // pop. 20-64
^^those who work^^
^^no economic^^
contribution
Youth dependency ratio
pop. 0-19 / pop. 20-64
Old age dependency ratio
of people age 65+ / population age 20 -64
apocalyptic demography
Treated people living longer as a burden to society
T of F Canada’s population = one of the older populations in the world
TRUE
Demographers use at least 3 measures of population aging
T or F
Increase in # of older people (65+) will happen simultaneously as world has a decrease in children
developed, less developed, least developed regions
Developed regions: more developed countries
○ Europe, North America, Australia/New Zealand, Japan
Less developed regions: developing socio-economically
○ China, India, Brazil .etc
Least developed: 47 countries that are the poorest economically and have weak human indicators
○ Haiti, Niger, Yemen, Democratic Republic of the Congo .etc
least developed nations
High fertility rates, lower life expectancy, low % of older people
may need hybrid system: family support + government programs
Hardships due to rapid urbanization
The Grandmothers to Grandmothers Campaign
○ Stephen Lewis Foundation (SLF) created to support African grandmothers caring for children orphaned by AIDs
less developed nations
Declining fertility rates and rising life expectancies
developed nations
High proportion of older people in pop., will continue to get older
Increase in healthcare & pension costs
○ requires economy and political support
Median age
= 1/2 the population is older and 1/2 is younger than the median age
what has played the smallest part in aging population
immigration
Immigration in first decade of 20th century accounted for __% of total population increase
44%
○ Most came as children or young adults
○ Helped keep population young
- high birth rates due to young immigrants
Death rate
of deaths per 1,000 people in a population