actual growth
the increase in real output (real GDP) of an economy over time
what is actual growth the same as
short run economic growth
potential growth
the rate at which an economy could grow if it used all its resources were used efficiently (land, labour, capital etc) - full productive capacity
what is potential growth the same as
long run economic growth
export-led growth
when a country focuses on producing goods and services for foreign markets rather than relying mainly on domestic demand
trend growth on the trade cycle
the average rate of potential growth over 10-20 years
positive output gaps
occurs when actual output is greater than potential output
what does a positive output gap imply
the economy is overheating - resources (like land and capital) are being used beyond sustainable levels
disadvantages of positive output gaps
FoP over utilised, excess demand in economy, main problem will be rising demand-push and cost-pull inflation
negative output gaps
occurs when actual output is less than potential growth
what does a negative output gap imply
economy is underperforming, with unused resources (spare capacity) due to weak aggregate demand
disadvantages of negative output gaps
weak demand suggests there is demand deficient unemployment. may also be a risk of deflation if AD is falling too much
what is on the axis of the trade cycle graph
y axis = real gdp
x axis = time
what is an output gap
the difference between the actual level of real GDP and its estimated long-term value at a point in time
AS and AD diagram showing output gaps - axis
PL on y axis and real output on x axis
positive output gaps on an AS/AD diagram
LR equilibrium output is lower than the SR equilibrium, output gap is Y1 to Y2
difficulty of measurement of output gaps
-hard to predict max possible output of an economy, economists often have to guess
-published actual GDP figures are often revised/updated months or years after their publication
-poorer countries often dont have organisations to report GDP figures so reported figures may be inaccurate
negative output gaps
LR equilibrium output is higher than SR equilibrium output, output gap is Y1 to Y2