3 Flashcards

(314 cards)

1
Q

What are the Time Periods used in Economic Growth Calculation?

A
  1. Every 3 months ABS calculates quarterly rate.
  2. Quarterly national accounts figures can also be used to calculate a less volatile measure of economic growth called year-on-year growth, measures the % changes in GDP between 1 quarter and the corresponding quarter of the previous year.
  3. Annual economic growth rate is calculated using GDP statistics for the financial year. Calculated in early September.
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2
Q

What did classical and neoclassical economics argue was the most important factor in determining economic growth?

A

The level of total output (supply)

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3
Q

What does Keynesian economics argue was the most important influence on economic growth?

A

The level of expenditure in an economy (AD)

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4
Q

What is the formula for calculating aggregate supply?

A

Aggregate Supply/ National income (Y) = C + S + T

C = Consumer spending by households
S = Saving by households
T = Taxation by government

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5
Q

What is Aggregate Demand (AD)?

A

Total level of expenditure in the economy over a given period of time (total demand for goods and services).

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6
Q

What does Y stand for?

A

Total productive capacity of an economy (total level of income in an economy)

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7
Q

What % of consumption in the economy do households account for?

A

Consumption by households typically makes up around 50-60% of expenditure (AD) in the economy.

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8
Q

What is Average Propensity to Consume (APC)?

A

A proportion of total income that is spent on consumption.

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9
Q

What is Average Propensity to Save (APS)?

A

The proportion of total income that is not spent but is saved for future consumption.

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10
Q

What are some influences on the level of consumption?

A
  1. Income, APS, APC
  2. Consumer expectations
  3. Level of interest rates
  4. Distribution of income, the more equitable the distribution of income, the higher the rate of overall spending (higher APC at low income, consumption function).
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11
Q

What is the most volatile component of AD?

A

Business investment tends to be the most volatile component of AD, usually making up around 15%.

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12
Q

What are the main factors affecting the level of business investment?

A

COST OF CAPITAL and BUSINESS EXPECTATIONS.

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13
Q

The relative cost of capital equipment is influenced by what factors?

A
  1. Changes in interest rates. Interest rates represent an opportunity cost for firms who own their capital. Also relates to the interest and cost of capital equipment.
  2. Change in government policies relating to investment allowances and tax concessions on capital goods. In 2015, the threshold for the instant asset write-off was increased from $1000 to $20,000, giving small businesses a significant incentive to purchase capital.
  3. A change in the price or productivity of labour (labour being a substitute for capital in production process, relative cost of capital.
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14
Q

List some factors that affect business expectations

A
  1. Any change in expected demand for their products, e.g. expecting increase in future demand, buy more capital, perceived risk declines
  2. Any change in general economic outlook
  3. Inflation leads to uncertainty about future prices and future costs of production (reduce investment in capital).
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15
Q

What % of AD does federal government expenditure account for? What % of AS does taxation account for?

A

Federal government spending usually makes up between 1/5 and ¼ of AD. Taxation is usually equal to between 1/5 and ¼ of AS or income in the economy.

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16
Q

What % of AD are exports and (minus) imports equal to?

A

Between 1/5 and 1/4

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17
Q

Why does net exports usually make a small negative contribution to AD?

A

Because Australia’s trade balance is more often in deficit than surplus

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18
Q

What factors are net exports influenced by?

A

Exchange rate, levels of international competitiveness, protectionist policies of other countries, and consumer tastes and preferences.

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19
Q

What is the The Multiplier Process (Keynesian)?

A

The greater than proportional increase in national income resulting from an increase in AD. As seen through the relationships of the circular flow of income.

However, increase in investment will not continue to increase income forever. Each time the injection moves around the economy, its impact on expenditure gets smaller because some of the income is not consumed but saved.

The Multiplier itself is the number of times the final increase in national income exceeds the initial increase in expenditure that caused it.

It is the MPS that causes the amount of income generated by each successive wave of spending to decrease.

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20
Q

Define Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)

A

The proportion of each extra dollar of income that is spent on consumer products

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21
Q

Define Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS)

A

The proportion of each extra dollar of income that is saved.

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22
Q

MPS + MPC =

A

1

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23
Q

What is the final increase in national income equal to?

A

The initial increase in AD multiplied by the multiplier.

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24
Q

What happens as the MPS gets larger?

A

The smaller the size of the multiplier

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25
What is the Simple Multiplier?
Calculated by only considering savings as a leakage from the circular flow. In this model, it is via consumption that income and expenditure are related.
26
What is Induced Consumption?
The portion of consumption that varies with disposable income
27
What is Autonomous Consumption?
The expenditures do not vary with income (spend or stave, individuals always consume something).
28
How do AD and AS influence economic growth in different ways?
While shifts in AD play the main role in determining the level of economic growth in the shorter term, aggregate supply also plays an important long-term role in influencing levels of economic growth.
29
What determines Aggregate Supply (generally speaking)?
Quantity and quality of factors of production.
30
What is AS also referred to as?
Referred to as an economy's "potential", when AS increases, the economy can grow faster.
31
How does AS impact inflation?
Increase in AS results in decrease in inflation.
32
What factors would affect the level of Aggregate Supply?
1. Population Growth (labour is the main input in the production process) 2. Discovery of new resources 3. Workers acquiring new skills 4. Increased capital (increases capacity of business to produce goods, so do some of the others) 5. The adoption of new technology 6. Measures to improve efficiency (international standards for the size of shipping containers adopted by the transport industry) 7. Government policies
33
What was the response during the mining boom of the mid-2000s when the economy was reaching capacity constraints due to high levels of aggregate demand?
Response was increase in Aggregate Supply by increasing net migrants into Aus, thus increasing working population
34
Outline the effects of economic growth
1. Living Standards (fast economic growth results in increase in real GDP per capita). Australia had average 2.3% growth in per capita incomes in the 2000s. 2018, less disposable income in real terms than 5 years before due to below average wage growth. There is no longer as strong a link between economic growth and living standards. 2. Employment 3. Inflation (Occurs especially when the economy is operating at full capacity). 4. External Stability (If an economy is growing faster than its trading partners, the balance of goods and services can worsen and the CAD can increase). Balance of payments is a "speed limit" on growth, a "balance of payments constraint". 5. Income Distribution (leads to increased inequality). Only decile of income earners that increased it share of income distribution during the 2 decades to 2015-16 were the top 10% of income earners. 6. Environmental Impacts
35
What has been the average economic growth in recent years and what is it currently?
Since 2010 average economic growth has average 2.7%. 3% economic growth in 2018-19.
36
Australia has benefited (and achieved stable economic growth) from which global economic trends and domestic management strategies?
1. Global economic conditions have been mostly favourable since the 1990s (mining investment boom during GFC) 2. Major structural improvement of its terms of trade. Experienced best terms of trade in 2011, adding 15% to national income. 3. Macroeconomic management has been generally successful in sustaining the rate of economic growth. Inflation a healthy 2-3%. Treasury estimates long term sustainable rate of economic growth is 3.25% of GDP. 4. RBA's pre-emptive use of monetary policy and focus on low inflation. They have responded quickly to reducing interest rates. In 2015-16 RBA made 4 adjustments to cash rate. 5. Fiscal policy 6. Wealth effect. The large increases in asset prices such as real estate and shares, encouraging greater borrowing and consumption. 7. Productivity Growth, reflective of effective impact of microeconomic reform (average grew from 1.3% in 80s to 2.1% in 90s). It is now just at 1.1%. 8. Australia is fortunate that its financial system is better regulated and not exposed to the high-risk financial products that triggered the GFC. We resisted the merging of major banks, isolation of the Australian banks beneficial in economic downturns.
37
In the long-term what are expected to be Australia's economic challenges?
Described by the Australian Treasury as "the three Ps" - productivity, participation and population.
38
How is the average growth in real GDP expected to change in future decades compared to past ones?
Average growth in real GDP is expected to fall from 3.1% in the past 4 decades to 2.8% in the next four decades.
39
How will future increases in annual productivity impact Australian living standards?
Treasury calculated that every 0.1% increase in average annual productivity growth over the next 40 years, Australians will enjoy an average increase in living standards of $4500 per year.
40
What is the difference in the broader impacts of Macro and Microeconomic policies?
Macroeconomic policies influence aggregate demand, whereas Microeconomic policies aim to increase aggregate supply.
41
What impacts do microeconomic changes seek to generally have?
Microeconomic policies increase aggregate supply in order to keep pace with rising aggregate demand, and attempt to reduce the extent to which higher growth causes inflationary and current account problems (factors that may constrain higher growth).
42
What is the impact of macroeconomic policies on long-run growth?
Macroeconomic policies will only have limited impact on the level of long-run growth that an economy can achieve.
43
Outline some recent microeconomic trends
Increased investment in workforce skills and physical infrastructure in recent budgets in order to increase the economy's aggregate supply, alongside reforms to increase competitive pressures and reduce unnecessary regulation.
44
What are the short-term costs of unemployment?
-The opportunity cost of lost production -Slower economic growth -Increased social welfare payments -Loss of taxation revenue.
45
What are the long-term costs of unemployment?
Social Costs: -Increased inequality -Increased poverty -Crime -Family problems
46
What is the Labour Force?
All employed and unemployed persons in the country at any given time (population of 15 years an older who are either working or actively seeking work)
47
What is included in the labour force?
-Persons aged 15+ employed at least 1 hour a week of paid work -Those on paid leave -Stood down without pay for less than four weeks -On strike -Workers compensation -Receiving payment whilst under full-time study -Unemployed and actively seeking work
48
What is not included in the labour force?
-Under 15 -Full time non working students -Full time domestic duties -Retired -Unemployed not seeking work
49
What is the Labour Force Participation Rate?
The percentage of population over 15 in the labour force (unemployed and employed). (Labour force/Working age population (15+)) Participation rate 2017-18 was 65.5%
50
Define Unemployment
A situation where individuals want to work but are unable to find a job, and as a result labour resources in the economy are not fully utilised.
51
To be considered as "actively seeking work", an individual must satisfy what criteria?
At least one of these: -Regularly checking advertisements from different sources for jobs -Being willing to respond to ads, apply and attend interviews -Register with an employment agency linked to Jobs Services Australia
52
How does the ABS calculate the unemployment rate?
ABS monthly survey of labour force (around 52,000 individuals) for unemployment rate.
53
What was the 2017-18 unemployment rate?
0.055
54
What are the main problems with the current labour force statistics?
1. Classifying people as either employed or unemployed, official statistics do not take into account the number of hours people work, and disregards the inherent issue of under employment. E.g. someone could work 40 years a week or 4 people could work 10 hours per week and the unemployment rate would be lower but economic activity would be the same 2. Classifying people as employed are unemployed, doesn't include hidden unemployment (discouraged jobseekers who have left the labour force and aren't seeking a job, e.g. full time duties, disabled people)
55
What is the Underutilisation Rate and how has it changed in recent years?
ABS underutilisation rate 2017-18 was 13.9% (combination of unemployment and underemployment). This has increased by 1.2% over last 5 years. At the same time the unemployment rate has hardly changed.
56
Which age bracket had the highest underutilisation rate in 2017-18?
15-19 year olds, which was 40% and 42% males and females.
57
How under-utilised are women in the 35-44 age bracket?
Women 35-44 twice as likely to be underutilised than men.
58
What was Australia's highest ever unemployment level?
10.7% recorded 1992-3, due to Australian and global recession. During this 92-93 recession, unemployment was worsened due to structural change and microeconomic reform. Many unable to obtain new jobs in growing industries because of higher of different skill levels.
59
What was Australia's lowest ever unemployment level?
4% in 2008
60
How did the unemployment rate change during the GFC?
During GFC (2008-9), unemployment rose by 2% but again dropped to 5% by 2010.
61
How does Australia's unemployment level compare to other advanced economies?
Slightly below average
62
What is predicted job growth and employment growth for 2018-19?
Treasury predicted 2018-19 employment growth at 1.7%, however job growth much faster in NSW, 3.6%.
63
Which type of jobs are experiencing the fastest growth
Faster growth in part-time jobs than full time jobs.
64
How did underemployment change during the GFC?
Underemployment 2008-9 increased from 5.9%-7.8% (employers reducing hours rather than laying off workers).
65
What is the underemployment level as of 2018?
0.087
66
How high do Australia's economic growth rates need to be in order to cause a decrease in the level of unemployment and how has this changed since past decades?
Above 3% in order to make progress in reducing unemployment. 2015 Reserve Bank concluded rate of GDP growth consistent with stable unemployment had fallen from 5% in 1970s to 2.9%.
67
What is Okun's Law?
The relationship between unemployment and economic growth, showing that to reduce unemployment, the annual rate of economic growth must exceed the sum of - percentage growth in productivity + the percentage growth of labour force - in any one year.
68
What factor makes it hard to reduce the level of unemployment in the short term?
High levels of productivity growth (as seen in the 90s) Lower productivity growth = Lower unemployment, however these ONLY APPLY IN THE SHORT TERM. Long Term → Higher productivity growth → High economic growth → More job creation.
69
How is Australia's labour force participation rate expected to change in the future?
Australia's labour force participation rate is expected to decline, falling from peak 2010 65.8% to 62.4% (2054-55) (due to ageing population).
70
Outline the causes of the ageing population
Lower fertility rates + Higher life expectancy Proportion of population aged over 65 has risen from 12.6% to 15.8% past 2 decades. Expected to rise by 2% every decade to 2050, even with retirement age rising to 67.
71
What might the weaker demand for labour and below average wage growth being experienced in Australia lead to?
A cyclical "discouraged jobseeker" effect.
72
Outline the main types of unemployment
1. Structural Unemployment: Due to structural changes within the economy caused by changes in technology or the pattern of demand for goods and services. Skills of one industry are not high enough or relevant to the emerging industry. Most of Australia's long term unemployment is due to this 2. Cyclical Unemployment: Due to a downturn in economic activity and falls during times of strong economic growth. Major contributor since 2011 with Australia's falling economic growth rate. 3. Frictional Unemployment: Temporarily unemployed due to changing jobs. Helped by online job seeking services recently. 1/12 workers change jobs every year. 4. Seasonal Unemployment: Predictable and regular unemployment e.g. fruit picking or Santa. Official unemployment figures are seasonally adjusted. 5. Hidden Unemployment: Those individuals discouraged from seeking employment and are no longer actively looking for a job. Not classified as unemployed and are considered to have exited the labour force. Australian Council of Social Service estimated there are 1.3 million hidden unemployed people in Australia. Risen from 851,000 in 2010. 6. Underemployment (not really unemployment but yeah): People who work for less than full-time (35 hours a week) but would like to work longer hours. ABS started measuring this on a monthly basis since 2014. 2018, 8.55 of the workforce is underemployed. Almost no difference in unemployment males and females (0.1% 2018), 4.1% difference in underemployment. 7. Long-Term Unemployment: Those people out of work for 12 months or longer (usually due to structural unemployment). High economic growth can stop long-term unemployment from growing but on its own does not reduce it. 8. Hard-core Unemployment: Employers consider them unemployable due to personal circumstances, e.g. disability, drug abuse, criminal record.
73
Outline the reasons for long-term unemployment
1. New arrivals into unemployment are rehired more quickly, especially if they have skills that are more up to date and attractive for employers 2. Long-term unemployment is usually due to structural unemployment and do not possess skills demanded in current labour market 3. Unemployed people are less intent on finding jobs if they are consistently unsuccessful. 4. Employers look less favourably for people who have been out of work for a long time.
74
How have the rates of long-term unemployment changed in recent years?
Long-term unemployment was at an all time low 2008 at 14%, now at 23.6% (generally increasing since GFC).
75
What is the Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU)?
The level of unemployment at which there is no cyclical unemployment, that is, where the economy is at full employment (comprised of frictional, seasonal, structural and hard-core). Phillips Curve diagram.
76
What happens when unemployment is below or at NAIRU?
An increase in economic growth will cause inflation, as employers will be forced to raise wages to compete for workers.
77
How can the NAIRU be decreased over the long-term?
Through policies that reduce structural, seasonal and frictional unemployment.
78
How has Australia's NAIRU changed over time?
Reserve Bank estimated in 2017 that Australia's NAIRU is around 5%, peaking at 7% in 1995. Supported by the fact inflation increased when unemployment was 4% pre-GFC.
79
What are the causes of unemployment?
1. Economic growth ahs been too low to generate adequate employment growth 2. People don't have the right skills to fill job vacancies 3. People don't have adequate opportunities for education and training 4. Rapid structural change in our economy is creating a larger pool of workers how skills are no longer in demand 5. Wage rates are too high, especially for low-skilled workers (thus employers don't employ as many people) 6. Too many regulations surrounding employment, discourages employers 7. Government welfare benefits, people choosing to remain unemployed 8. Cannot compete with workers who are paid low wages in developing economics 9. Not enough is done to help those with disabilities find jobs.
80
What type of demand is the demand for labour?
The demand for labour is a DERIVED DEMAND
81
Outline causes of a decrease in Aggregate Demand (AD)
Lower domestic consumption and spending, loss of favourable conditions with high levels of consumer confidence, interest rates going up, decrease in demand for Aus. exports, appreciation of currency, contractionary monetary or fiscal policy.
82
At what level of economic growth does unemployment start rising?
Unemployment starts rising when economic growth falls below 2.5%, when above 3%, unemployment falls.
83
How long does it take for a change in economic growth to cause a change in unemployment levels?
Generally time lag of around 6 months until change in unemployment levels (mainly cyclical unemployment)
84
What has happened to unemployment levels in recent years?
Growth levels have stagnated therefore unemployment levels have stagnated
85
How do constraints on economic growth influence the level of unemployment?
Over the longer term, unemployment is influenced by the level of sustained economic growth achieved in an economy. Constraints on economic growth. Inflationary concerns and CAD problems were constraints on economic growth (1980s) and thus contributed to unemployment problem.
86
How do rising or falling participation rates cause a change in the level of unemployment?
Increase in labour force participation rate causes increase in unemployment rate in the short term (those previously not classified as unemployed now are as they seek jobs).
87
Give examples where structural changes cause a change in the level of unemployment
2014 Reserve Bank that mining boom saw construction jobs in the sector increase from 15,000 to 90,000 but that 60,000 of those jobs would be lost by 2018. 2017, OECD estimated shift from manufacturing to service industries is responsible for around 1/3 job losses, while automation is 2/3
88
Outline how technological change causes a change in the level of unemployment
Substitution of capital for labour in the production process. Usually structural unemployment.
89
Outline how productivity growth causes a change in the level of unemployment
High productivity growth causes unemployment to rise in the short term. Long term higher productivity = higher growth rates = High employment levels.
90
Outline how inadequate levels of training and investment can impact the level of unemployment
Mismatch between skills demanded and those supplied. Number of people in traineeships or apprenticeships in 2017 almost halved in the previous 5 years to just 268, 600 people. Only 40 occupations on Australia's skill shortage list 2018, compared to pre-GFC with 85% of all occupations having a shortage.
91
Outline how increased labour costs can influence the level of unemployment
Although in recent years economists have been more concerned by low level of wage growth rather than the opposite.
92
Why might labour costs rise?
1. A shortage of skilled labour may result in employers competing with each other, forcing wages up creating wage inflation, causing RBA to increase interest rates 2. "A wages breakout due to excessive wage demands". Nominal wages rise faster than inflation and productivity is increasing, reduces business profits, may substitute capital for labour. Labour is "pricing itself out of a job" 3. Fair Work Commission decides to increase award wages makes employment to expensive for some 4. Rise in labour on-costs. Additional costs of employing labour, e.g. payroll tax, superannuation, sick leave, holiday pay, compensation.
93
How flexible is the Australian labour market?
Australian labour market is generally regarded as more flexible than most OECD economies.
94
What is the Fair Work Commission?
Government agency regulating Australian workplaces, with function including setting minimum wages, approval of workplace agreements and in some instances, resolution of industrial disputes.
95
Outline the economic costs of unemployment
1. Opportunity Cost: Economy is operating below its PPF. Economic resources are not being used to their full capacity. 2. Lower living standards: Lower incomes means more relying on welfare payments, lower average expenditure causing a decrease in quality of life and lower living standards. 3. Decline in labour market skills for long-term unemployed: Cyclical or short-term unemployment can turn into long-term structural unemployment (loss of skills, confidence and experience) in a process known as hysteresis. 4. Costs to government: Generate less tax revenue, and increased transfer payments to the unemployed as well as the cost of training and labour market programs. 5. Lower Wage Growth: High levels of unemployment means there has been an excess labour supply in the economy which should lead to a fall in wages. There is a "downward stickiness" for wages, meaning wages do not often get reduced. Instead higher unemployment is more likely to lead to slower wage growth over time rather than actual reduction in wages
96
Define Hysteresis
The process whereby unemployment in the current period results in the persistence of unemployed in future periods as unemployed people can lose their skills, contact and motivation.
97
What are the social costs of unemployment?
Main one is inequality however others may include: -Increased levels of debt -Increased poverty -Increased levels of crime -Loss of work skills -Family tensions and breakdown -Poor health and mental conditions
98
How does unemployment in 15-19 year olds compare to the rest of the population?
Unemployment 15-19 year olds is 3 times of general population (due to services industry higher demand for skilled employees)
99
What did the 2017 survey of 200 million adults in OECD countries find?
Found that 60% lack skills needed to succeed in todays economy.
100
Outline the groups facing higher levels of unemployment in Australia
1. Indigenous Australians: Unemployment is 21.3% among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders. 2. Age-relation unemployment: 15-19 year olds 17.6% unemployed. 15-24 year old underutilisation rate for 15-24 year olds was 29.6% 2018, double national average 14.4%. Average length of time job seeking for over 55s was 68 weeks, 24-54 year olds spent 49 weeks, 15-24 year olds, 30 weeks. 3. Specific regions: Unemployment in NSW 2018 was 4.8%. Southern Highland 8.1%. Eastern Suburbs between 2.1 and 3.3%. 4. People born outside of Australia: Unemployment rate for people migrated to Australia in the past decade was 7.4%. Usually due to language barriers. Participation rate actually higher among overseas born, 70% compared to 66% Australian born.
101
What do the changing policies to reduce unemployment levels reflect?
The changing views on the causes of unemployment.
102
What measures (govt. policies) can cause an increase in employment levels (decrease in unemployment)?
Increased government spending, reduced taxation and lower interest rates can stimulate economic activity and aided by the multiplier effect, can cause an increase in output and job creation.
103
What was the result of the fiscal stimulus during the GFC on the level of unemployment?
Treasury estimates that fiscal stimulus during GFC resulted in unemployment being 1.5% lower than it would have otherwise been.
104
What are Australia's Microeconomic reform policies?
-Tariff reduction -Deregulation -National competition policy -Privatisation -Tax reform
105
Cyclical Unemployment can be resolved through what economic policies?
Can be solved through both macro and microeconomic policy as they both have an impact on economic growth which causes cyclical unemployment.
106
What are Labour Market Policies and how effective are they?
Labour market policies play a role in reducing many types of unemployment and OECD states they are among the most effective ways to reduce cyclical unemployment. They include: -Industrial relations -Education and training -Welfare to work initiatives -Wage subsidies to increase labour demand
107
How do increases in government spending on labour market programs affect the level of unemployment?
OECD 2017 Employment Outlook noted increase in government spending on labour market programs of 1% of GDP reduces unemployment by 2% (in comparison to 0.5% if allocated to other budget priorities.
108
How has labour market regulation impacted the level of unemployment?
Changes in labour market regulation such as enterprise bargaining has given employers more flexibility in determining employment conditions. This gives employers greater incentive to higher workers.
109
What was the Youth Jobs "PaTH" program (Prepare, Trial and Hire)?
A 2016 Turnbull Government initiative with a $752 million investment aiming to reduce youth unemployment by combining training and obligations with incentives for employers.
110
What is the NSW Government's Youth employment Program?
Targets young people 15-24 in regions with highest unemployment. Includes Youth Employment Innovation Challenge which offers $10 million to fund innovative solutions that help young people find employment in NSW.
111
How did Temporary Skill Shortage Visas change in 2017?
2017 Turnbull Government introduced additional requirements for Temporary Skill Shortage Visas, including a requirement that employers who bring skilled migrants must contribute to a Skilling Australians Fund, which will pay for an increase in apprenticeships.
112
What are Effective Marginal Tax Rates?
For unemployed or low-income earners, every extra dollar earn from work, they pay tax as well as lose a portion of their welfare benefit. Reducing these provides incentives to increase employment.
113
What was the 2018 Integrated Childcare Subsidy?
Pays for 85% of childcare costs for families earning up to $65,000 to increase labour supply.
114
What is Jobactive?
A network of 62 employment service providers which had a $1.3 billion budget in 2018-19.
115
What is the Consumer Price Index (CPI)?
Summaries the movement in the prices of a basket of goods and services weighted according to their significance for the average Australian household. It is used to measure inflation in Australia. CPI is compiled by ABS and published every 3 months CPI excludes some items of household spending such as changes in mortgage interest rates and consumer credit charges, and also does not include property prices.
116
How is the annual inflation rate calculated?
The annual inflation rate is calculated as the percentage change in the CPI over the year.
117
What is Underlying Inflation or Core Inflation and how is it calculated?
Removes the effects of one-off volatile price movements. As a result they tend to be less variable than the official or "headline inflation". Underlying inflation is calculated by using a "trimmed mean" (where the highest and smallest 15% of price increases are excluded), and a "weighted median" (where the middle observation is taken).
118
Does the RBA look at a trimmed mean or a weighted median?
The RBA takes into account the averaged of trimmed mean and weighted median.
119
Is Headline Inflation Stable or Volatile?
Headline inflation as measured by CPI is volatile, as seen at 2.9% in 2014 and 1.3% in 2016.
120
What is Inflation Targeting?
Where the RBA targets an inflation rate averaging 2-3% as a guide to determine interest rate decisions, a major factor in keeping inflation low.
121
Over the past 2 decades what has been the average headline and underlying inflation?
1996-2018, headline and underlying inflation averaged 2.5% and 2.7% respectively.
122
In what years did the RBA notably increase interest rates to slow economic growth?
1999, 2003, 2007 and 2010.
123
What factors contribute to sustained low inflation?
-Structural changes during 1980s and 1990s -Microeconomic reform increasing competition within Australia -Productivity growth improving
124
When was underlying inflation at its peak and why?
Underlying inflation was at a peak of 5.1% between 2005 and 2008 as the result of higher global prices for commodities.
125
Why did inflationary pressures emerge in 2001?
Due to large increases in prices of fruit, vegetables and fuel.
126
How consistently have inflation rates remained within the target band in recent years?
Inflation rates have been at the lower end of the target band set by the RBA for the past few years.
127
In what ways will global inflationary pressures increase in future years and what other factors will have offsetting effects?
Surge of budget deficits resulting from Trump administration policies and higher prices for Chinese imports as the value of Yuan appreciates, will add to global inflationary pressures. However, other factors such as subdued oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty will have offsetting effects.
128
Domestically in Australia what factors have put upward and downward pressure on inflation in recent years?
For Australia, regulatory changes to utility prices and increased wholesale prices for gas and electricity have put upward pressure on the headline inflation rate. But record low economic growth has put downward pressure. Australia's high levels of household debt will drag down consumption in the future and also constrain inflationary pressures.
129
What is Demand-Pull Inflation? Give an example
Occurs when aggregate demand or spending is growing while the economy is nearing its supply capacity so that higher demand leads to higher prices rather than more output. Mining boom was a form of demand-pull inflation, however inflationary expectations have been largely subdued by slow wage growth.
130
What is Cost-Push Inflation?
Occurs when there is an increase in production costs (such as oil price or wage increases) that produces pass on in the form of higher prices thus raising the rate of inflation. When wages increase faster than productivity growth, cost of labour increases and thus cost-push inflation. Since wages typically comprise around 60% of a firm's costs.
131
How do changes in the price of oil in Australia affect the level of inflation?
RBA estimated in 2016 that 10% change in the price of oil results in a 0.4% change in inflation in any one year.
132
Outline how high inflationary expectations can bring about higher inflation?
1. If prices of goods and services are expected to increase consumers will attempt to purchase products before prices increase. This causes higher demand pull inflation. Similarly, if a firm expects that demand for their product will increase, the firm may raise prices to maximise profits 2. If employees expect inflation to increase, they will take this into account when negotiating wage increases. Since contracts are negotiated in advance for the next 2 years, then an employee who expects higher inflationary pressures will ask for a higher wage to preserve purchasing power. Leads to cost-push inflation Inflationary expectations are a self-fulfilling prophecy.
133
What is Imported Inflation?
Transferred to Australia through international transactions. One of the main causes is rising import prices (the same way an increase in domestic prices is inflation). This will also occur due to a depreciation of the Australian dollar (we cannot buy as much overseas as our currency is weak and thus relative to us prices rise). However, if imports face competition from locally made products, they may reduce profit margins and not pass on to consumers the full effect of the overseas price rise or depreciation.
134
Outline how government policies can cause inflation
Increasing indirect taxes, e.g. increasing government excise on tobacco products → Cost-push inflation. Other measures that may influence prices include deregulating an industry, changing tariff rates, imposing price controls and increasing charges for goods provided by the government (transport).
135
What is Monetary Inflation?
A sustained increase in the money supply of a country (or currency area).
136
What are the effects of inflation on economic growth and uncertainty?
Inflation is the main constraint on economic growth. Low inflation has a beneficial effect on the level of economic growth because it removes the distortion to investment and savings decisions which high inflation causes. High inflation discourages business investment because it makes producers uncertain about future prices, costs and profits.
137
What are Distortions caused by high inflation?
Where producers and consumers change their spending and investment decisions in order to minimise the effect of inflation on themselves (e.g. buying assets rather than investing in income producing activities). Consumers are more likely to spend not save during periods of high inflation (since inflation is a rate and they can see in the future the value of their money will decrease).
138
What are the effects of inflation on wages?
Inflation has a major influence on nominal wage demands. Employees demand higher wages during inflation to protect purchasing power. Leads to a "wage-Price inflationary spiral".
139
What is the impact of inflation on income distribution?
High inflation has a negative impact on the distribution of income as low-income earners find that their incomes do not rise as quickly as prices. Further, they may face higher interest rates on their borrowings if inflation rises. Erodes the value of existing savings.
140
What is the impact of inflation on unemployment?
Higher levels of inflation will usually result in contractionary fiscal and monetary policies, resulting in slower economic growth and higher unemployment in the short to medium term. Further, low levels of unemployment are often associated with rising inflation - a relationship demonstrated by the Phillips curve.
141
Define Stagflation
When the rate of inflation and the rate of unemployment rise simultaneously.
142
What is the impact of inflation on international competitiveness?
High inflation results in increased prices for Australia's exports, reducing international competitiveness and the quantity of exports.
143
Outline the impacts of inflation on exchange rates
In the short term, higher inflation may result in an appreciation of the exchange rate, as speculators expect the RBA to raise interest rates in response, attracting greater financial flows. However, high inflation generally causes the currency to depreciate over time. Low inflation long term increases international confidence and strengthens Aussie dollar.
144
Outline the impacts of inflation on interest rates
Lower inflation normally results in lower interest rates. High inflation results in high interest rates as central banks try to reduce demand pressures in the economy.
145
What is the main benefit of inflation?
It reduces the likelihood of deflation which can have lots of negative consequences.
146
What is Pre-Emptive Monetary Policy?
Where the RBA takes action against inflation before it emerges as a problem. RBA increased interest rates 7 times 2009-10 to address concerns about inflation after emerging well from GFC.
147
How does the RBA reduce the effect of inflationary expectations and in doing so further reduces inflation?
The RBA tries to make interest rate changes predictable by emphasising its intentions to keep inflation between 2-3%,
148
How might microeconomic policies be used to control inflationary pressures?
Microeconomic policies → Reduction in protection → Lowers prices of imports thus reduces inflation.
149
How has China reduced global inflationary pressures?
China as a producer of low-cost manufactured goods has helped reduce global inflationary pressures since the early 2000s. Inflation is increasingly influenced by global factors rather than government policies.
150
What is External Stability?
An aim of government policy that seeks to promote sustainability on the external accounts so that Australia can service its foreign liabilities in the medium to long run and avoid currency volatility.
151
What have been the main external stability issues for the Australian economy in recent decades?
1. A persistent current account deficit (CAD): Driven by a deficit on the net primary income account. Since the mid-1980s the CAD ahs averaged 4.3% of GDP (although since 2010 it has averaged a lower rate of 3.4%) 2. Volatile Terms of Trade: Fluctuated wildly due to commodity boom. Terms of trade peaked in 2011, 85% above average through 20th century. 2018 terms of trade was 23% lower than its 2011 peak 3. Australia's lack of international competitiveness: Due to geographical isolation and small population base. High cost of transporting goods, lack of economies of scale in the domestic production and high cost of labour. 4. Growth of foreign debt: Recently has been close to 60% of GDP. Low interest rates has meant that foreign debt servicing costs are still lower than 90s. 5. Rising foreign ownership in Australia: Minerals and resources sector has $315 billion in foreign investment in 2017. In 2011 (height of mining boom), foreign investors owned 80% of resources sector 6. Volatility of the Australian dollar: Value of Australian dollar reflects fluctuations in commodity prices. In 2011, 130% against the US dollar. Has decreased since then.
152
Name a key measure of Australia's external stability
The CAD as a percentage of GDP. It is a better measure of trends in the current account rather than the size of the CAD in dollar terms.
153
What was the CAD as a % of GDP in the 80s?
3-6% Performed well relative to other deficit economies and surplus economics (such as China, Japan and Germany).
154
Generally speaking, to what extent is the CAD perceived as a problem?
The extent to which the CAD is perceived as a problem as well as the policy response required depends on what factors are seen to be the causes of Australia's CAD
155
How has the perceived chore reason for the CAD changed over time?
Initially regarded as largely a trade problem when it emerged in the 80s, most NOW explain the high CAD as a structural issue related to the primary income account. CAD is the result of a SAVINGS AND INVESTMENT GAP, rather than a TRADE GAP. For this reason many state that the CAD is sustainable since it is the result of high levels of direct investment in Australia that allow for higher economic growth and exports in the longer term. Some argue high CAD means Australia cannot finance its external liabilities.
156
What is the CAD as a trade deficit?
Deficit on the balance of goods and services, slow export growth and expanding demand for imports.
157
What key feature of the Australian economy underpins the trade deficit argument of the CAD?
The trade argument is underpinned by the fact that Australia lacks international competitiveness in many higher value added areas of global trade, such as elaborately transformed manufactures (ETMs). Our poor economies of scale and necessary offshoring is causing increased reliance on imports.
158
What has caused Australia's non-commodity resources to be less competitive?
Due to the sustained period of high commodity prices causing an appreciation of Australian dollar during the past decade.
159
What is the Dutch Disease?
Demand for one type of exports may drive up the value of exchange rate, making other exports less competitive.
160
How has Australia's international competitiveness changed in recent years?
World Economic Forum estimates Australia's competitiveness to have fallen in recent decades, falling out of the top 20 countries in 2014, now at 27th.
161
Wha secondary feature of the Australian economy underpins the trade deficit argument of the CAD?
Another factor underpinning trade argument is that Australia's terms of trade has a major effect on the CAD. The high terms of trade in the mid 2000s actually saw a short to medium term increase in the CAD, due to a surge in capital imports for mining construction and expanding operations. CAD historic high of 6.7% of GDP 2007. CAD later fell as investment turned into greater output. Where terms of trade declines, trade balance follows.
162
How has Australia's trade balance changed in recent decades?
Trade balance has improved from an average deficit of 1.5% of GDP in 2000s to average deficit 0.5% in this decade.
163
Why might Australia's narrow export base pose as a potential risk for an increase in the CAD?
Because a large fall in commodity prices could trigger CAD increase, danger of our narrow export base.
164
Explain the CAD as a savings-investment gap
The result of an excess of domestic investment over domestic savings. In order to make up for this we borrow or sell overseas. Thus foreign savings instead of domestic savings finance domestic investment.
165
What is the impact of a budget deficit on the savings-investment gap?
If the government runs a budget deficit (which it has), this reduces the level of national savings and widens the savings-investment gap.
166
What does the role of foreign investors and loans to Australia have to be in order to keep the CAD sustainable?
As long as foreign investors and loans are increasing Australia's productive capacity and not just funding the purchase of existing assets (such as housing), they will add to Australia's capacity to service its foreign liabilities, and the CAD will be sustainable in the longer term.
167
What is the Pitchford Thesis or "Consenting Adults" Thesis?
As long as a CAD is the result of savings and investment decisions by the private sector that are not the result of distortions to normal market mechanisms (such as government policy), then there is no cause for concern about an economy's external stability. Lenders and borrowers are responsible for their own decisions. Pitchford Thesis gained some criticism following GFC, showed that private sector decisions doesn't' always involve a proper calculation of risk. Pitchford Thesis also assumes that private sector debt is entirely separate from public sector debt. However, the GFC demonstrated that national governments are often forced to assume the liabilities of their country's private sector banks in order to avoid financial collapse.
168
What % of Australia's net foreign debt in 2017 did the private sector account for?
Despite government running large budget deficits, the private sector still accounted for 82%
169
What are Net Foreign Liabilities?
Australia's financial obligations to the rest of the world minus the rest of the world's financial obligations to Australia (foreign debt + foreign equity).
170
Name one long-term impact of a high-CAD
The growth in net foreign liabilities
171
What is Net Foreign Debt?
Total stocks of loans owed by Australians to foreigners, minus the total stock of loans owed by foreigners to Australians.
172
What is Net Foreign Equity?
Total value of assets in Australia such as land and shares owned by foreigners, minus the total value of assets overseas that are owned by Australians.
173
How does servicing Australia's debt impact the CAD?
Servicing Australia's debt constitutes an outflow of funds on the current account, and thus increases our CAD.
174
Briefly outline how selling assets to foreigners impacts Australia's foreign debt
Selling assets to foreigners does not directly add to Australia's foreign debt, however, we do have to send overseas returns on equity investment such as company profits, rent on land and dividends on shares.
175
In recent years what has been higher, equity servicing costs on primary income account or interest repayments on debt?
Equity-servicing costs on primary income
176
Briefly outline the recent trend in Australia's net foreign debt to GDP ratio
Australia's net foreign debt to GDP ratio has been growing consistently for decades. However fluctuations can occur in the short term in response to movements of Australian dollar (as seen 2011 and 2015). In 2017-18, Australia's net foreign debt was just above $1 trillion, reaching 56.3% of GDP, lower than peak of 61.8% 2015-16.
177
What could the impact of rising net foreign debt on living standards and potential economic growth be?
Rising net foreign debt could cause overall standard of living and economic growth potential to decrease. Could also lead to "Debt Trap scenario"
178
What is the debt servicing ratio?
It is one of the most reliable economic measures of a country's capacity to service its foreign debt and measures the proportion of export revenue that must be spent on interest payments on foreign debt.
179
What has been the trend of the debt servicing ratio in past decades and why?
Debt servicing ratio peaked at 20% in 1990, in 2017-18 at 6.2%. This shows that despite in the increase in foreign debt levels, the low levels of global interest rates have meant that the servicing cost of that debt has remained stable.
180
Why have banks reduced their reliance on offshore funding following the GFC?
Because of increased domestic savings.
181
What % of the stock of commonwealth government securities did foreign investors hold in 2018?
55%, but public sector debt represents only around 18% of net foreign debt.
182
What happened to net foreign equity between 2013 and 2017?
Between 2013 and 2017, for the first time, the value of Australia's foreign assets was greater than the value of foreign ownership of Australian assets (net foreign equity was at 0).
183
What is more volatile and why; Net foreign equity or net foreign debt?
Net foreign equity tends to be more volatile than net foreign debt reflecting exchange rate movements and shifts in the market valuation of companies and assets.
184
Why is foreign equity less of a concern than foreign debt?
Dividends are only paid when Australian asset or business is generating profitable return, while interest payments on debt must be paid regardless of whether there is a profit. Therefore equity less of a concern.
185
Since 2000, how has Australia's ownership of equity and the value of Australian loans overseas changed?
Since 2000, Australia's ownership of equity rose from $306 billion to $1402 billion, whilst Australian loans overseas grew from $211 billion to $1200 billion.
186
Since 2000, how has foreign owned equity in Australia and the value of Australian loans overseas changed?
Foreign owned equity in Australia rose from $382 billion to $1319 billion, while gross foreign debt increased from $506 billion to $2236 billion.
187
What is the equilibrium interest rate?
The interest rate consistent with a neutral stance for Australia.
188
What is the recent trend in global interest rates?
Globally interest rates have begun rising more recently, with the US Federal Reserve rate just under 2% by mid 2018.
189
What are higher risk premiums?
Higher interest rates to compensate for a perceived increase in risk. (This is what would be demanded by investors if Australia was to lose its AAA credit rating)
190
Why are commodity based currencies (such as Australia's) attractive to speculators?
The larger fluctuations attracts speculators and despite comprising just 1% of global trade, the Australian dollar is the 5th most traded currency. Fluctuates from 47 US cents in 2001 to US$1.10 in 2011. This also means that foreign exchange markets can often overshoot when major currency movements occur.
191
What impact will a volatile Australian dollar have on Australia's measures of external stability?
Measures of external stability will be volatile (headline inflation?, net foreign liabilities and CAD as a percentage of GDP).
192
In recent years has external stability been a major objective of macroeconomic policy and why?
No. The reduced concern around external stability is not just because of the Pitchford thesis, but is also related to Australia's improved medium-term export prospects (with higher volumes of resources exports, even if commodity prices are below their peaks) and increased household savings.
193
What have been some of Australia's long-term policies to external stability?
1. Monetary policy is not being used to address Australia's external imbalances. In the past, contractionary monetary policy was used to reduce consumer spending on imports in order to create a short-term improvement in the balance of goods and services. However it is not considered ineffective, impact is only temporary and results in slowdown of whole economy. It is also unable to target long-term structural causes of Australia's external imbalances. 2. By adopting the policy of fiscal consolidation (running balanced or surplus budgets over the course of the economic cycle), governments attempt to fund domestic investment with its own domestic savings, rather than borrowing from overseas (budget deficit). 3. Compulsory superannuation requiring employers to set aside 9.5% of employee wages has lifted level of national savings. Further proposals to increase this to 12% in between 2021 and 2025 and reduce long-term pressures on Australia's external accounts. 4. Microeconomic reform can be used to address structural problems causing Australia's external imbalances. Lifting efficiency and competitiveness of Australian firms (removing protectionist barriers).
194
In practical terms, what is the best measure of external stability?
The extent to which Australia maintains the confidence of international investors.
195
Define Personal Income
The amount of money or other benefits measured in money terms, that flow to individuals or households form the sale of factors of production over a period of time. The benefit of owning, maintaining or managing productive resources.
196
Many of the factors that contribute to an increase in inequality are side effects of what?
The policies that aim to create a more internationally competitive economy.
197
What is income inequality?
The degree to which income is unevenly distributed among people in the economy.
198
How much of Australia's income do the richest and poorest 20% receive?
Lowest 20% of Australians receive 7.7% of income, highest 20% of Australians receive 39.8% of income (2015-16).
199
Over past 2 decades, what has happened to the share of income of each quintile?
Share of income of every quintile has fallen, except for the top quintile which has increased by 3%.
200
Compare the average ANNUAL income in the lowest and highest quintiles
Average income in the highest quintile is $261, 872, 10 times higher than the lowest quintile of $23, 712.
201
What is the Lorenz Curve?
A graphical representation of income distribution, plotting the cumulative increase in population against the cumulative increase in income, where there is a diagonal line known as the line of equality.
202
How is the GINI coefficient calculated using the Lorenz Curve?
Calculated as the ratio of the area between the Lorenz curve and line of equality, and the total area under the line of equality. Gini coefficient = 0, all incomes are equal. Gini coefficient = 1, a single household receives all the income.
203
What does a Gini coefficient of 0 mean?
All incomes are equal
204
What does a Gini coefficient of 1 mean?
A single household receives all the income
205
What is Australia's Gini coefficient and where does this rank us in comparison to the rest of the globe?
Australia is ranked by OECD as 23rd for its Gini coefficient of 0.337, meaning Australia has a more unequal distribution of income than most OECD economies (where the average is 0.32). Australia's current Gini is at its second highest level on record, just below its level pre-GFC.
206
What is more unequal; The distribution of wealth or the distribution of income?
The distribution of wealth
207
What % of Australia's wealth do the top and bottom quintiles own?
Top quintile owns 63% of Australia's wealth, bottom quintile own 1% of total wealth.
208
What was the average level of household wealth and what % of households in Australia have less than this amount?
70% of households have less than the average level of household wealth which was $929, 400 in 2016.
209
What are the long-term trends in Australia's distribution of wealth?
1. Between 1915 and 1967, wealth inequality improved dramatically as a result of urbanisation, industrialisation and declining significance of rural landholders. 2. Weal inequality has remained relatively stable recently, with Gini coefficient most recently calculated as 0.605 by the ABS. Compulsory superannuation has given many individual in lower incomes quintiles with a financial asset for the first time and has thus increased their share of wealth since the 1980s. 3. Growing wealth inequality between generations. 2017 HILDA report over 65s experienced increase in median net wealth of 70% since 2002, whilst just 3.2% for 25-34 age bracket
210
Outline how each factor of production contributes to wealth or income levels
1. Wages from the sale of labour: Main source of income for consumers. Includes non-wage outcomes such as fringe benefits. 2. Rent from land: Source of income when rented, investment properties 3. Earnings from capital: People with greater wealth tend to enjoy a much higher income because wealth creates ongoing income through returns from owning the factors of production. For most consumers, their ownership of capital occurs indirectly through superannuation and other investment funds or through the ownership of shares. 4. Profit from entrepreneurial skills: Profits from operating small businesses 5. Transfer Payments: Over a 1/3 of income collected through taxation is used to pay for transfer payments (unemployment and sickness benefits, age and disability pensions).
211
What are transfer payments?
Payments from the government to assist people with basic costs of living → Social welfare payments, government benefits, social security, income support etc.
212
Define Net Worth
The value of household assets such as houses and savings minus the value of liabilities such as loans.
213
Is superannuation considered as a major household asset?
Yes
214
What % of total assets does housing (including investment properties) account for?
0.6
215
What % of Australians own their primary place of residence?
36925
216
Mortgages account for what % of household liabilities in Australia?
0.9
217
What does it mean that Australia's income distribution is "asymmetric"?
Over half the population earn less than the mean income of $1009 per week (income distribution is asymmetric).
218
What % of households have a net worth below the average?
80% because wealth is so highly concentrated in the upper quintiles
219
To be in the wealthiest 1% of Australia, a household must have net assets exceeding what amount?
AU $6 million
220
Which age brackets earn the highest and lowest weekly incomes and how much is this?
45-54 age bracket earns the highest mean weekly earning ($1842) while those aged 20 and under earn the lowest ($722).
221
What levels of education earn the highest and lowest weekly incomes and how much is this?
Average weekly earnings are highest for those with a postgraduate degree ($1675) and lowest for those without a non-school qualification ($882)
222
Outline how the weekly gender wage gap has changed over time.
In 1982 women in full-time jobs were earning 81% of male earnings and in 2016 this had risen to 84%. Women on average earn around $250 per week less than men.
223
Outline the state of the migrant population in Australia (e.g. % born overseas, % born in non english speaking countries etc.)
In 2018, 28% of Australians were born overseas. Around 55% of migrants come from countries that are not mainly English-speaking countries. Recent migrants and temporary residents have a higher participation rate of 70% compared to 66% 2016 Australians. Migrants who have become Australian citizens have a higher labour force participation rate than the general working age population, 80% compared to 70%.
224
State the difference in participation rate between those who have migrated under the skilled migration program and those under a family migration program
Those who have migrated under the skilled migration program have a participation rate of 78% compared to 59% for those under a family migration program.
225
Outline the difference in yearly incomes for english speaking migrants, non-English speaking migrants and Australians.
English speaking migrants earned between $1193 and $3979 more (for males and females respectively) than Australians. Non-English speaking backgrounds generally earn $8000 less per year than Australians.
226
What % of the Australian population do Indigenous people comprise of?
0.03
227
Compare the median weekly disposable income of Aboriginal individuals and households compared to the general population
Median weekly disposable income for indigenous individuals was $441 compared to $661 for the general population, and $1203 for households compared to $1438 for the general population.
228
What is the gap in Indigenous and Non-Indigenous employment rates in Australia?
National gap between indigenous and non-indigenous unemployment rates has fallen to 11.6%, however in Queensland's remote communities there is a 33.3% gap in unemployment levels.
229
What is happening to the gap between Indigenous and Non-Indigenous life expectancy?
The gap between indigenous and non-indigenous life expectancy is widening. Life expectancy of aboriginal person born 2010-2012 is around 10 years lower than that for non-indigenous Australians.
230
Compare the 2017 school attendance rate of indigenous children and non-indigenous children
In 2017, overall school attendance rate for indigenous students nationally was 83.2% compared with 93% for non-indigenous students.
231
What has happened to the NT indigenous school attendance rate in recent years?
In the NT, indigenous attendance rate fell from 70.2% in 2014 to 66.2% in 2017
232
Outline positive signs of progress in regards to improving the living standards of the indigenous people of Australia according to Closing the Gap report.
Indigenous child mortality fell by 35%, 91% enrolment rate for indigenous 4 year olds in early education.
233
Outline major trends in Australia's family structure
Increasing female participation in the workforce Decreasing family sizes Increasing proportion of people living alone.
234
What family structure is worst off in Australia and what is their median weekly income?
Single parent households are the worst off, with a weekly median income at $628, around 1/3 below the average for all family structures.
235
What % of single person households are in the bottom income quintile?
0.4
236
What are the highest income family structure in Australia and what is their weekly income?
Couples without dependent children were the highest income family structure receiving $914 per person per week.
237
What differences are there in the distribution of wealth by family type and the distribution of income by family type?
The distribution of wealth by family type shows a similar pattern to income distribution. The main difference is that single-person households have much more wealth than single-parent households despite their similar weekly incomes, reflecting the "income-poor" but "asset-rich" elderly people living by themselves.
238
Which states and territories in Australia has the highest and lowest weekly household incomes?
NT and ACT with highest household incomes of $1913 and $1770, and Tasmania with the lowest at $1117 per week. INTERSTATE INEQUALITY. Age also plays a role in this because states like ACT and NSW have a higher population of young people than states like Tasmania.
239
Compare the average weekly rent of Sydney in 2018 with the average weekly rent of Hobart
Average rent of Sydney property 2018 at $582 per week, compared to median rent in Hobart at $410 per week.
240
Outline the inequality in wealth and income found within NSW itself
Population living in the capital city area in NSW earning 37% more than those in rural areas. 47% higher net worth for Sydney households than rural households. Important to remember that cost of living differences mean that raw income levels can exaggerate the true extent of income inequality between geographic areas.
241
How has income and wealth in the top 1 and 0.1% changed over the past few decades?
Past decade, income of top 1% has doubled, income of top 0.1% has tripled. Wealth share of the top 200 people has tripled since 1980s.
242
What has been the Australian government's policy approach towards Australia's unequal distribution of income and wealth?
The "growth first, distribute later" assumption has characterised the ECONOMIC PARADIGM.
243
What are the Economic Costs of Inequality?
1. Inequality reduces overall utility The principle of diminishing marginal utility → As more of a good is consumed it will provide less utility to the consumer. Higher income earners have lower utility for every extra dollar. 2. Inequality can reduce economic growth Lower income earners have a higher MPC, meaning an economy with a higher level of income inequality will have a lower level of consumption and a higher level of savings, leading to lower economic activity, employment, investment and living standards. OECD estimates that the rise in inequality in OECD countries in past to decades resulted in reduced cumulative growth by 4.7% 3. Inequality creates conspicuous consumption Creates a leisure class, where individuals consume expensive goods and services such as designer labels to display their wealth. 4. Inequality creates poverty and social problems Causes RELATIVE POVERTY, creates an underclass of low-income earners, less access to education and health, create a self-perpetuating cycle of disadvantage. 5. Inequality increases the cost of welfare support Higher inequality places greater pressure on government revenue to assist the higher proportion of individuals with low income.
244
What are the Social Costs of Inequality?
1. Social Class Divisions Divides into upper, middle and lower class, results in higher levels of crime and social disorder. Wage disputes often occur, occurrences of social and economic instability. 2. Poverty Australia has a high level of relative poverty not absolute poverty. Household Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey from 2000-2017 noted that 10-14% of Australian are living in poverty at any one time. However, this may occur for brief instances, whilst 3% of the Australian population is consistently in poverty. 17% of adults experience multiple deprivation such as foregoing necessary medical treatments because they cannot afford it.
245
In NSW what % of postcodes account for 50% of the most disadvantaged locations? What is the impact for school students here?
In NSW, just 6% of all postcodes account for 50% of the most disadvantaged locations. Disparities students may experience from living in these regions can be the equivalent of losing as much as 4.5 years of schooling.
246
What are the economic benefits of inequality?
Economic benefits are mainly derived from the incentive effects of inequality. 1. Inequality encourages the labour force to increase education and skill levels However, this assumes that children growing up in poor households still have the opportunity to access a good education. If this is not the case, this may just result in longer term low levels of productivity growth. 2. Inequality encourages the labour force to work longer and harder The potential to earn high incomes is an incentive for workers. If increased output is rewarded through higher pay, this encourages improved labour productivity. 3. Inequality makes the labour force more mobile Higher incomes make both geographical and occupational mobility more incentivised, as seen in the influx in mining workers during the Mining Boom. More efficient allocation of resources and higher economic growth. 4. Inequality encourages entrepreneurs to accept risks more readily The possibility of higher incomes through business ventures results in higher investment and innovation. 5. Inequality creates the potential for higher savings and capital formation Higher inequality encourages increased savings, reducing Australia's reliance on foreign capital by providing domestic funds for investment.
247
Inequality of opportunity exists in Australia due to what factors?
1. Existing inequality in the distribution of income and wealth tends to perpetuate inequality of opportunity. (Higher education = Higher pay, cycle). 2. Not everyone has the same mental and physical attributes (some people are naturally better suited to certain occupations such as manual work. 3. People who acquire wealth through inheritance have a much greater opportunity to build wealth. 4. People may not have access to the same networks of people that may lead to new opportunities (e.g. migrants are likely to find it difficult to access social and business networks).
248
What is the main factor causing low incomes and poverty?
Unemployment. Periods of unemployment lead to inequality in the distribution of income.
249
Low unemployment rates in Australia resulting in slightly lower levels of inequality have been partly offset by what factor?
Sustained underemployment
250
What has been the trend in the proportion of unemployed people that are long-term unemployed?
The proportion has fallen since the 90s and has helped to reduce the level of income inequality between households.
251
What recent trends in the nature of Australia's work, labour force and structure of the labour market has resulted in an increase in income inequality?
The gig economy and rise of underemployment due to casual and part time work has caused greater income inequality. The decentralisation of the labour market has widened inequality between wage earners. Under enterprise agreements, high skilled workers bargain for wage increases, whilst less skilled workers rely on industrial awards for wage rises.
252
What did the Fair Work Act introduce in 2009?
Special provisions to help low paid workers engage in enterprise agreements.
253
How does the Fair Work Commission have an influence on income inequality?
Through adjustments of minimum wage. Fair work has tendency to raise minimum wage (2018 increase by 3.5% raising minimum wages by 1.2% in real terms up to $18.93 an hour).
254
How much were Australia's transfer payments worth in 2018?
Age pension at $46.9 billion, disability support pension at $16.6 billion, family tax benefit at $18.4 billion and unemployment and other working age benefits $16.2 billion.
255
As the result of government policies, the average income of those in the lowest quintile has increased by how much?
Increased from $210 to $579 per week. The combined effect of taxes and transfers is a reduction in the Gini coefficient from 0.52 to 0.34.
256
What is the current tax burden for the lowest 40% of income earners?
ABS data showed that lowest 40% of income earners have a proportionately larger tax burden, earning only 12% of total private income but paying 15% total taxes (the result of the impact of indirect consumption taxes that are not related to income).
257
Outline the 2018-19 budget announced a program for personal income tax
$144 billion in personal income tax reductions phased in over 7 years. Once fully implemented, 62% of the benefit of tax cuts will go to the top 20% of taxpayers, while bottom 30% will just get 7% of the benefit.
258
Outline and assess the impact of the introduction of a needs-based system for funding school education
2018-19 budget $24.5 billion Quality Schools Package. Delivered an average 50% increase in commonwealth funding per student over the decade.
259
How has the proportion of employees covered by superannuation changed in recent decades?
Since 80s, proportion of employees covered by superannuation has risen from 42 to 94%. Although compulsory superannuation has reduced wealth inequality, the tax concessions given to voluntary superannuation contributors mainly benefit high income earners who can afford to set aside extra income.
260
Briefly outline the proposed changes to superannuation
Superannuation to be increased from 9.5% to 12% by 2025.
261
How does monetary policy affect inequality?
When interest rates increase, this transfer wealth from low to high-income earners, as more low income earners are borrowers, whilst high income earners have net savings and high interest rates increase their income.
262
How does microeconomic reform contribute to inequality?
In general, microeconomic reform is intended to improve efficiency and increase the returns on investments to owners of assets. Benefits flow to wealthier asset owners, costs felt by low-income earners. For this reason, microeconomic policies are often accompanied by substantial adjustment packages to compensate for the hardship that lower income groups may experience as a result of the reforms/structural changes.
263
Define Ecologically Sustainable Development
Involves conserving and enhancing the community's resources so that ecological processes and quality of life are maintained. It is a level of economic activity that is compatible with the long-term preservation of the environment.
264
What is the OECD estimated result of a nation adopting a combination of policies to support economic growth and mitigate climate change on average economic output?
Adopting a combination of policies to support economic growth and mitigate climate change, such as investment in low-emission and climate resilient infrastructure, could increase average economic output by 1% for G20 countries by 2021, and up to 2.8% by 2050.
265
Define Intergenerational Equity
The concept that resources should not be used in a way that will limit the quality of life of future generations.
266
What are the Key Principles of Ecologically Sustainable Development?
1. Integrating Economic and Environmental Goals in policies and activities 2. Ensuring that environmental assets are appropriately valued 3. Ensuring fairness in the shifting of costs and assets within and between generations 4. Managing environmental risks with caution 5. Taking into account the global effects of environmental issues
267
What are the chore objectives of Australia's National Strategy for Ecologically Sustainable Development (NSESD) (1992)?
1. To enhance individual community wellbeing and welfare by following a path of economic development that safeguards the welfare of future generations 2. To provide for equity within and between generations 3. To protect biological diversity and maintain essential ecological processes and life-support systems.
268
What is the Price Mechanism?
The key determinant in decisions about what goods to be produced, however the price mechanism does not take into account the long-term effects of economic activity on the environment (its simply an interaction of supply and demand forces).
269
What is Market Failure?
Occurs because the price mechanism takes account of private benefits and costs of production to consumers and producers but does not take account of wider social costs and benefits borne by all of society. This is an economic system based on private ownership, however there are no general property rights associated with environmental resources (the problem lying behind market failure).
270
What is a Negative Externality?
Unintended negative outcome of an economic activity whose cost is not reflected in the operation of the price mechanism. Goods and services that have negative externalities are known as demerit goods.
271
What is the Tragedy of the Commons?
The environment and other common resources can be destroyed through overuse (such as overfishing the seas or rivers, or polluting the atmosphere and waterways) because no independent party owns these resources as their private property.
272
Outline how the price mechanism plays a minor role in protecting the environment
When environmental resources become scarce, the cost of natural resources increases, reducing the number of resources consumed. In addition, the high price will also induce producers and buyers to look for and develop alternative inputs to production.
273
What is a Positive Externality?
The unintended positive outcome of an economic activity whose value is not reflected in the operation of the price mechanism. Goods and services that have positive externalities are known as merit goods.
274
What is the level of output for goods and services with positive and negative externalities like?
Goods and services with negative externalities tend to be overproduced, and goods and services with positive externalities tend to be under-produced.
275
What are Free Riders?
Groups or individuals who benefit from a good or service without contributing to the cost of supplying the good or service.
276
What are some characteristics of public goods?
1. Non-excludable → Attracts free riders 2. Non-rivalrous → Consumption of good by one consumer does not reduce quantity of the good available for other consumers.
277
Why are public goods provided by the government?
Due to the potential for free riders, and thus the lack of profitability.
278
What are Public Sector Goods?
Goods and services provided by the government, such as train services and hospitals.
279
Are all public sector goods public goods?
Not all public sector goods are public goods. For example, train services are provided by the government but they are not public goods because they are excludable. Likewise, not all public goods are provided by the government (NGOs).
280
What measures might be taken to ensure the protection of the natural environment?
1. Restrictions on development in environmentally sensitive areas such as mining in national parks 2. Protecting native plants and animal species from extinction 3. Controls over emissions of waste products 4. Requiring new plantation in areas where logging has occurred
281
What % of its total land areas does the Australian government protect and how does this compare to other nations?
Australia protects 17% of its total land areas, compared with 33% in New Zealand and 28% in the UK.
282
In 2017 how many species of flora and fauna were considered critically endangered in Australia?
In 2017, 151 flora and 71 fauna were considered critically endangered under the 1999 Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act, despite Australia being 1 of the 6 most bio diverse nations on the planet.
283
Outline some problems faced by the government in trying to preserve the natural environment
1. In the short term, environmental policies may result in a reduction in economic growth through interventions in the price mechanism that may cause higher prices or over supply. 2. Industries will face higher costs if they comply with rigorous environmental standards. Environmental standards make us less competitive, as a result Australia may miss out on opportunities that would lift economic growth and exports. 3. The cost of repairing damage to the environment is often borne by taxpayers rather than by those who have caused the economic damage.
284
How much is the Australian government investing for the 20 million trees program?
$50 million to 2020 for the 20 Million Trees Program.
285
What is the Container Deposit Scheme?
Where beverage containers can be deposited at recycling facilities in exchange for a 10c refund.
286
What is one feature of pollution that can make it a problem to try and control?
Pollution is often felt far away from its source, and can therefore be a problem for the global economy and for international institutions/governments. e.g. Sulphur emissions into the atmosphere from industrial regions in Europe and the US cause "acid rain", which has damaged lakes and forests throughout Europe and North America.
287
How could protectionist policies be used to minimise the impact of pollution?
Could emplace quotas, taxes or even subsidies to encourage environmentally friendly practices.
288
What are Renewable Resources?
Can naturally regenerate or replace themselves in a relatively short period of time. However, they may be depleted to the point where they become non-renewable (e.g. overfishing).
289
What are non-renewable resources?
Natural resources in limited supply cause they can only be replenished over a long period of time, or cannot be replenished at all (coal and iron ore).
290
What % of cumulative CO2 emissions from human activity between 1750 and 2010 has occurred in the past 40 years?
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as part of the UN, about half of cumulative CO2 emissions from human activity between 1750 and 2010 has occurred in the past 40 years.
291
What are the main sources of CO2 emission?
1. Burning of fossil fuels to meet the electricity and transportation needs of individuals and businesses, which account for over a 1/3 of the world's greenhouse gas emissions. 2. Changes in land use due to agricultural practices such as deforestation, irrigation, livestock farming and landfill, account for a further third of global emissions.
292
What is the average estimated increase in CO2 emissions from 2001 to 2025?
1.9% per year. Large developing economies such as China and India account for the majority, at 2.7%.
293
Outline the global impact of climate change
1. Melting polar ice caps causing an increase in sea levels of between 18 and 59 centimetres 2. Weather conditions becoming more extreme and unpredictable 3. Skin cancer rates increasing by as much as 140% 4. The number of environmental refugees increasing up to 200 million 5. Coastal flooding that may affect 20 million people and place an additional 30 million people at risk of hunger 6. Average global temperatures rising between 1.1 and 6.4 degrees
294
What is the Domestic Impact of Climate Change in Australia?
1. Reducing Australia's GDP by 4.8% by 2100, consumption by 5.4% and real wages by 7.8% 2. Causing permanent damage to sensitive locations such as coral bleaching in Great Barrier Reef and loss of up to 80% of Kakadu wetlands by the end of this century, also harming tourist industry 3. Increased incidence of heat-related health conditions such as heat stroke 4. Increased frequency of drought in southern parts of Australia leading to a reduction in agricultural production.
295
What does sustainable resource management aim to do?
Aims to ensure that the present generation does not over consume the stocks of renewable resources and minimises depletion of non-renewable resources.
296
What is a threshold exploitation level?
It means establishing an optimal rate of use that allows the resources to regenerate so that there is no long-term decline in these resources. (Renewable resources)
297
How are non-renewable resources to be used if they are inevitably going to run out?
We should establish a rate of decline that is acceptable for both present and future generations.
298
Why is it hard to calculate the optimal rate of resource use?
Because it can be hard for present generations to predict the needs of future generations. It is also often hard to assess the existing stock of a mineral or other resource, e.g. it was argued in the 70s that the world's oil supply would be depleted by the end of the twentieth century.
299
Australia has the world's largest reserves of what minerals?
-Zinc -Lead -Bauxite -Nickel -Uranium
300
How has the share of Australia's electricity generated from renewable sources changed in recent decades?
Share of Australia's electricity generated from renewable sources has risen from 8% in 2001 to 15% in 2017.
301
Outline a government policy relating to renewable energy
Incentivising rooftop solar PVs (solar panels) saw employment growth in renewable energy sector, peaking at 19,220 in 2011-12.
302
What is the National Energy Guarantee?
Market-based policy to achieve the dual objectives of reducing carbon emissions and improved energy reliability, however some criticised it as reducing incentives for renewables compared to Renewable Energy Target.
303
What is the most extreme action a government can take to achieve improved environmental conditions?
A ban on the production of a particular good or service
304
In what cases will a government ban a product in order to improve environmental conditions?
Banning a product will remove all externalities associated with the use. Because of the negative unemployment and cost effects this can have governments only do this if there is a suitable substitute. E.g. all state and territory governments (except NSW) have bans on retailers providing single use plastic bags.
305
Briefly outline the impact of China's recent ban imports on mixed recycled materials being imported from other countries
Had flow on effects for Australian recycling industry, 30% of Australia's recyclable waste was once exported to China. Led to dumping of recyclable material in landfill.
306
What did the Gillard government attempt to put a tax on when in office?
Carbon Emissions
307
Give one example of when the government has passed the cost of the negative externality onto the individuals associated with it
Tax or excise on fuels such as petrol (carbon emissions passed onto drivers)
308
What is the Clean Energy Innovation Fund?
Established in 2016 with $1 billion to encourage the availability of new energy technologies.
309
What is the Threatened Species Recovery hub?
Government investing $30 million to support threatened species in Australia. This forms part of Australia's Threatened Species Strategy - a project that might not be viable if privately funded.
310
How often is the State of the Environment report released by the federal government?
Every 5 years
311
What are the Australian Environmental-Economic Accounts?
Where the ABS has been documenting a series of measurements of Australia's stock of environmental assets.
312
What is the Expansion of the Snowy Hydro Scheme?
A plan that will increase generation capacity by 50%, an increase in current electricity generation to provide power for an additional 500,000 homes.
313
In 2007, what organisation was established to take overall responsibility of the management of the rivers in the Murray-Darling basin?
Murray-Darling Basin Authority
314
What was the updated Water Recovery Strategy in 2014?
Established an annual target of 2750 gigalitres to be returned to the water system with flexibility through the Sustainable Diversion Limit Adjustment Mechanism to be implemented in 2019. A total of $12 billion has now been allocated to support water reform initiatives in the Murray-Darling Basin. Talk about mass fish killing that occurred at the start of the year in the Murray Darling River