What is the bias if we randomlly asign treatment?
Bias in sample is expected to be 0
Thus
E(potential outcome in absence of treatment given treated indv.) = E (potential outcome in absence of treatement, given control group)
E(y0i I D=1) = E(y
What is the notation for a potential outcome?
y1i = potential outcome if treatment 1
y0i = potential outcome if treatment 0
Given no bias, what is the Average Treatment Effect (ATE)
E(y1i - Ey0i)
E( potential outcome of treatment - potential outcome in absence of treatment)
ATE
How do we justify that treatment is randomly assigned
Comparing characteristics of treatment and control individuals
IF they look the same on observable characteristics, so its reasonable to claim they would be similar on unobservable characteristics –> thus no bias
How do we compare characteristics of treatment and control individuals
Through a T-test
e.g. Xbar,1t - Xbar0t
evaluate if treated and control look the same
How would you do a comparison of means of treatment and control?
Null Hypoth: Diff in means is 0
T test done by dividing the difference in means by standard error for the difference in means
What does Var (X-Y) = ?
If so calculate the the SE(Xbar1 - XBar)
unbiased def
avg. estimate equals the parameter of interest
What can the observed difference in average outcomes between treated and control individuals be written as
= sample ATT + bias
Implications of Randomisation
Do we see elimination of bias via randomisation in small samples
In small samples it is likely that bias is non-zero in the sample
What is the Law of Large Numbers (LLN)
The larger the sample, the closer we expect the sample average to be to the expected value.
as n goes to infinity, sample average goes to population average
C
Would randomly assigning nets reduce bias?