Prior Disease Probability 1%
Low Morbidity & Mortality
No Treat
Prior Disease Probability 90%
High Morbidity & Mortality
Treat
Prevalence
(All Disease +) / Total Sample
Sensitivity
True Positive / All Disease
= TP/(TP+FN)
Specificity
True Negative / All Disease
=TN/(FP+TN)
Positive Predictive Value
Predictive Value Positive (PVP)
True Positive / All Who Test +
=TP/(TP+FP)
Bayes’ Theorem
Pretest Odds x Likelihood Ratio = Post-test Odds
Odds
P/(1-P) where P = Probability
LR+
Sensitivity/(1-Specificity)
LR-
(1-Sensitivity)/Specificity