Why can Business Cycles be bad for an Economy?
Recessions–> Unemployment
Booms–> Inflation + Bubbles (potentially)
What is a Recession?
What is a Depression?
Severe Recession
What are the 3 main Facts about Economic Fluctuations?
What are the 2 main building blocks of Classical Economic Theory for SR Fluctuations?
Classical Dichotomy
Monetary Neutrality
What is Classical Dichotomy?
Separating Nominal + Real Variables
What is Monetary Neutrality?
Changes in M.S affect Nominal but NOT Real variables
- Can examine determinants of Real Variables without reference to Nominal variables
According to Classical Economic Theory, what happens in SR?
Assumption of Monetary Neutrality- No longer appropriate
- Real + Nominal variables are intertwined
- Changes in M.S- can temporarily push Real GDP away from its LR trend
THEREFORE- Need a NEW SR Model
What is Controversial about Real Business Cycle Theory?
Business Cycles occur Naturally- NOT due to Sticky Prices
- Trying to remove Cycles- Distort Market Mechanism- worsen situation
What does the AD-AS model show?
Explains SR fluctuations in Economic activity around LR trend
- Focusses on relationship between Prices + Real GDP
What does AD show?
Quantity of G+S Households, Firms, Gov. + Customers Abroad want to Buy at each Price Level
What is the Price Level?
Aggregate Price Index- e.g. GDP Deflator, CPI etc.
What 3 things explain why AD is Downward Sloping?
What is the Wealth Effect?
Decreased Price Level –> Increased Value of Money –> Consumer feels Wealthier + Increases C –> Increased AD
What is the Interest-rate Effect?
Decreased Price Level –> Need to hold less Money–> Reduced M.D –> Increases Private Savings–> Increased S of Loanable Funds–> Decreased I.R –> Increased I–> Increased AD
What is the Exchange Rate Effect?
Fall in UK Price Level –> Decreased I.R–> Increased NCO + S of £ on FX Market–> Fall in £ ER–> Increased X + Decreased M–> Increased NX–> Increased AD
If Price Levels Increase, what happens to C, I + NX?
What is the relationship between P and QD for G+S?
NEGATIVE- AD Downward Sloping
What can cause AD to Shift?
Changes in C, I, G + NX
What changes in C can Shift AD?
Events that change how much people want to consume at a Given Price Level
- e.g. Change in Taxes, Wealth…
What changes in I can Shift AD?
Events that change how much firms want to invest at a Given Price Level
- e.g. Better Technology, Changes in Taxes or M.S
What changes in G can Shift AD?
Policy makers can change G at a Given Price Level
- e.g. Build new roads
What changes in NX can Shift AD?
Events that change NX for a Given Price Level
- e.g. Recession in Trading Partners
What does AS show?
Quantity of G+S firms Produce + Sell at a Given Price Level