Define prognosis
an assessment of the future course and outcome of a patient’s disease, based on knowledge of the course of disease in other patients together with the general health, age and sex of the patient
Why is prognosis important?
What are prognostic factors?
Characteristics of the patient which can be used to predict outcomes more accurately. They can be:
What type of research questions can be asked about prognosis?
What are the most appropriate study designs for assessing prognosis?
- case-control study
What are the advantages of Cohort Studies?
What are the disadvantages of Cohort Studies?
What are the advantages of Case-Control Studies?
- can be used to examine outcomes that are relatively rare
What are the disadvantages of Case-Control Studies?
How can the likelihood of an outcome occurring over a period of time be presented?
What did the Bisexuality Report 2010 show?
What is heterosexism?
The widespread social assumption that heterosexuality may be taken for granted as normal, natural and right
What is homophobia?
An irrational fear and dislike of lGBT people which can lead to hatred resulting in verbal and physical attacks and abuse
What were the recommendations of the Stigma Report?
What prohibits discrimination in provision of goods, facilities or services?
The Equality Act 2007
What does the GMC say about personal beliefs in medical practice?
You must not allow personal beliefs that you hold about patients to prejudice your assessment of their clinical needs or delay or restrict their access to care. This includes age, colour, culture, disability, ethnic or national origin, gender, lifestyle, marital status, race, religion, sex, sexual orientation or SES
What is meant by falsifiability?
What are the Bradford Hill criteria?
Factors to consider when assessing causation (TESSERACTC)
What is Temporality? (BHC)
A cause must precede its effect but is all that can be said with any degree of certainty. It does not follow that if exposure to a proposed causative agent precedes an effect that the latter is the direct consequence of the former.
What is Reversibility? (BHC)
Does removal of a presumed cause lead to a reduction in the risk of ill-health? Reduction in a particular exposure if followed by a reduced risk of a particular disease may strengthen the presumption of a real cause-effect relationship.
What is Strength of Association? (BHC)
AKA - effect size
A small association does not mean that there is not a casual effect but the larger the effect, the more likely that it is casual.
What is Exposure-response? (BHC)
AKA - Biological gradient
Is increased exposure to the possible cause associated with an increased response (i.e. an increased likelihood of an effect)? Greater exposure often leads to a greater incidence of the effect, however in some instances the mere presence of the cause can trigger the effect
What is Consistency? (BHC)
AKA - reproducibility
Have similar results been shown in other studies? Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect.