What are the root meanings of “epidemiology”?
Epidemiology = study of distribution + determinants of health states in populations
What is incidence?
Number of new cases of disease in a population at risk over a given time. Measures risk of developing disease.
How is incidence calculated?
New cases ÷ population at risk.
Why must population be “at risk”?
People already with disease cannot become new cases.
What is prevalence?
Total cases (new + existing) at a point in time. Measures burden of disease.
What is mortality rate?
(# deaths from a disease ÷ total population). Measures fatality in a population.
What is morbidity?
Illness/disease presence (not death).
A person may have multiple morbidities at once.
What is an exposure?
A potential cause (independent variable).
What is an outcome?
Health condition potentially influenced by exposure (dependent variable).
How do cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort differ?
Which study design CANNOT determine temporality?
Case-control (exposure measured after disease occurs).
Define “cases.”
Individuals with the disease/outcome of interest.
Define “controls.”
Individuals without the disease/outcome.
Must represent the population from which cases arose.
Ideal situations for case-control studies?
What is required when selecting cases?
Key inclusion rule for controls?
Must NOT have the outcome.
Why might controls have another condition?
To equalize healthcare system interaction (reduces confounding).
Formal definition of odds?
Probability event occurs ÷ probability it does not.
OR: (# with event ÷ # without event).
Why is odds different from risk?
OR > 1 means?
Exposure more common in cases → positive association.
OR = 1 means?
No association. Null hypothesis.
When is an OR significant?
When 95% CI does NOT include 1.0.
Why are CIs narrower with larger sample sizes?
More precise estimate; less variability.