Foreign Exchange Market
Market for converting currency of one country into that of another country.
Exchange Rate
The rate at which one currency is converted into another.
- Future exchange rates cannot be accurately predicted.
Functions of Foreign Market Exchange
Bussinesses use the Foreign Exchange Market to:
Currency Speculation
Typically involves the short-term movement of funds from one currency to another in the hopes of profiting from shifts in exchange rates.
Carry Trade
A kind of speculation that involves borrowing in one currency where interest rates are low and then using the proceeds to invest in another country where interests are high.
Insuring Against Foreign Exchange Risk
Exchange Rate
Rate at which a foreign exchange dealer converts one currency into another currency on a particular day.
Forward Exchange
Occurs when two parties agree to exchange currency and execute the deal at some specific date in the future.
Currency Swap
The simultaneous purchase and sale of a given amount of foreign exchange for two different value dates.
- Transaction between international businesses and their banks, between banks, and between governments
Foreign Exchange Market
Arbitrage
Refers to the purchase of securities in one market for immediate resale in another to profit from a price discrepancy.
Law of One Price
States that in competitive markets free of transportation costs and barriers to trade (such as tariffs), identical products sold in different countries must sell for the same price when their price is expressed in terms of the same currency.
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
Efficient Market
Has no impediments to the free flow of goods and services, such as trade barriers. It is a market where prices reflect all available information.
Money Supply and Price Inflation
Bandwagon Effect
Movement of traders like a herd, all in the same direction and at the same time, in response to each other’s perceived actions.
Summary of Exchange Rate Theories
Approaches to Forecasting
Fundamental Analysis
Techincal Analysis
Currecnies can be:
Freely Convertible
A country’s currency is freely convertible when the government of that country allows both residents and nonresidents to purchase unlimited amounts of foreign currency with the domestic currency.
Externally Convertible
Limitations on the ability of residents to convert domestic currency, though nonresidents can convert their holdings of domestic currency into foreign currency.