functions of the foreign exchange market
1.) income- payment for exports: income from foreign investments or other income must be converted to home currency
- ex: toyota must convert US sales to Jap yen
2.) expenses- payment for production costs and services
- ex: dell buys computer components from Malaysia converting dollars to Malaysian ringgits for payment
3.) short-term investments- potential for higher gains short term in other countries
- ex: profit short. term on currency fluctuations through investments
4.) currency speculations- short term movement of funds from one currency to another and profiting from shifts in exchange rates (deliberate investment)
spot exchange rate
the rate at which a foreign exchange dealer converts one currency into another currency on a particular day
- right now, what is the exchange rate between dollar and euro
- float against one another based on supply and demand
forward exchange rate
rate used future transactions- typically quotes for 30, 90, 180 days into the future
- exchange rates have been locked in
Example of computing currency exchange
info given:
- the spot exchange for dollars to euros was 1.00= .8628 euros
- one euro= 1.1590 dollars
- exchange rate tomorrow is $1= .85 euros
what is happening tomorrow if $1 only buys now .85 euors
- euors are appreciating, dollar is depreciating
example conversion problem
example conversion problem (confused?)
sneaker in US cost 100. same shoes cost 150 euros in paris. which is better?
- 100$ x .8638 euros = 86.38 euros
- US is better deal almost by two times
how are exchange rates predicted (how is risk predicted)
fundamental analysis
if demand is up
value of that currency appreciates
technical anaylis
freely convertible
when a gov of a country allows both residents and non-residents to purchase unlimited amounts of foreign currency with the domestic currency (Mexican peso) traded on the markets
externally convertible
when non-residents can convert their holdings of domestic currency into a foreign currency, but ability of residents to convert currency is limited in some way (Russia)
nonconvertible currency
when both residents and non-residents are prohibited from converting their holdings of domestic currency into a foreign currency (brazil, columbia, china)
- they want to control the supply of their currency
exchange rates and managers- key terms
(from least to biggest concern)
- transaction exposure
- translation exposure
- economic exposure (long term)
transaction exposure- smaller
extent to which income from individual transactions is affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange values
- smaller risk but might want to use forward exchange rates)
translation exposure- significant
impact of currency exchange rate changes on the reported financial - - - - statements of a company (like yen depreciating)
economic exposure- significant and long term
extend to which a firm’s future international earning power is affected by changes in exchange rates
(profits-earnings)
timing of payments in int business
lead strategy
lag strategy
lead strategy
pay me early if currency is to appreciate
- bc you want to hold an appreciating asset as long as you can
lag strategy
pay me late if the currency is to depreciate
T/F: to insure against the risk of an unanticipated change in exchange rates, a company can protect itself by entering into a forward exchange contract
True
the extend to which income from individual transactions are affected by foreign exchange fluctuations is know as —- exposure
a.) economic
b.) financial
c.) translation
d.) transaction
ANSWER: d.) transaction