Basis Formula (Basis Risk)
Spot price - Futures Price
Effect of basis strengthening and weakening on short and long hedger?
Minimum-Variance Hedge Ratio formula (Optimal Hedge Ratio) and meaning
h* = ρ * (σ_S / σ_F)
Where
σ_S = std dev of spot
σ_F = std dev of futures
Interpretation: fraction of exposure to hedge using futures
Optimal number of futures contracts formula
N* = h* x (V_A / V_F)
V_A = exposure value
V_F = value per 1 futures contract
Beta Hedging Formula (Equity Portfolios) and adjusting beta
N* = (beta) x (V_P / V_F)
Adjusting Beta: N* = (beta_target - beta_curr) x (V_P / V_F)
How to choose a contract month
Futures closest to but later than hedge horizon
Expected Returns from r, beta and Expected returns of market formula
• E(R_i) = R_f + β_i × (E(R_m) – R_f)
• Use to compute expected returns for portfolios or assets