Chapter 4 - Bonds Flashcards

(95 cards)

1
Q

Bond Issuers (who issues bonds)

A
  1. Sovereign Governments - need to finance budget deficits and cover national debt obligations
  2. Local Authorities - need to raise finance to cover local budget shortfall
  3. Companies - borrow to fund long-term expansion
  4. Supranational Bodies - such as IMF and World Bank issue bonds to fund long term projects
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2
Q

Bond General Characteristics

5 key areas

A
  1. Nominal Value - issued with fixed principal amount known as nominal value (normally £100 in UK or £1000 in US) which remains constant
  2. Price - quoted in terms of amount needed to pay to buy nominal value
  3. Maturity - date nominal value is repaid. Short dated (up to 7 years), medium dated (7 to 15 years), long dated (15+ years)
  4. Coupons - can be fixed or vary (i.e. with inflation). Frequency can also vary (i.e. every 6 months for UK, US, Japanese and Italian govt bonds)
  5. Yield - quoted figure is annual yield, regardless of coupon frequency
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3
Q

Bullet Bonds

A
  • single redemption date
  • most bonds are bullet bonds
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4
Q

Irredeemable/Perpetual/Undated Bonds

A
  • no maturity date although issuer has right to redeem if they wish after a specified date
  • very few in global markets today
  • have been issued by governments (sometimes in the form of war bonds) or by corporates (AT1 bonds issued by banks)
  • most corporate perpetual bonds have equity conversion provision
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5
Q

Redeemable Bonds (callable/puttable)

A
  • Issuer has right to repay the bond at an earlier date
  • Issuer likely to call bond back when cost of replacement finance is cheaper than interest rate paid on callable bond
  • Benefit to investor on callable bonds is that they will receive a premium yield for buying these
  • UK Govt has previously issued double-dated gilt with two maturity dates - can redeem on any day between the two dates
  • Puttable bonds are where holder has right to sell bond back to issuer early. Coupon/yield will be lower due to additional benefit
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6
Q

Bond Coupon Types

4 different types

A
  1. Straights - coupon is fixed
  2. Index linked - linked to inflation measure i.e. RPI in UK with 3 month lag. Those with a deflation floor will receive nominal value at maturity, even if deflation drives principal amount below par
  3. Floating Rate Note - coupons are linked to reference interest rate such as SONIA in UK (sterling overnight index average), SOFR in US or ESTR in Europe
  4. Zero Coupon - no coupon, instead issued at discount to nominal value. Income tax is still paid on the uplift
  5. Step up - coupon increases each year (which is a benefit if rates fall)
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7
Q

Credit Ratings

Definition, 2 main categories

A
  • Provides benchmarking system for govt and corp bonds where bonds or issuers are assessed on how likely cash flow will service and then repay the debt
  • Two categories:
    1. Investment Grade - least likely to default and greatest liquidity (BBB and above for S&P and Fitch, Baa for Moody’s)
    2. Non-Investment Grade - a.k.a high yield. More likely to default so receive higher coupon to compensate (BB+ and below for S&P and Fitch, Ba1 or below for Moody’s)
  • Asset Backed Securities (ABS) are credit enhanced to gain higher credit rating. Rating agencys critisised during GFC for failing to assess risk of these (or more specifically MBS)
  • Downgrade of rating makes it more expensive for Govt’s to raise money, straining national budgets and reducing fiscal flexibility
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8
Q

Spreads

What does it represent and what is it an indicator of

A
  • The difference between the yield on one investment compared to the yield on another expressed in bsp
  • Used as indicator of changes in risk sentiment as wider spread means greater risk
  • Can have different types of spreads:
    1. Term spreads - spread between yield on 10 year gilt to 2 year gilt
    2. Corp/govt spread - spread between 10 year corporate and 10 year govt bond
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9
Q

Covenants

What are they and three common types

A
  • All bonds are issued with covenants which are conditions that provide protection to the bondholder
  • Common Covenants:
    1. Limiting further debt and priority - prevents issuer reducing value of existing bond by prohibiting the issuing of additional debt of higher priority (negative pledge clause) or if higher priority debt is issued, existing debt must be upgraded (check name of this)
    2. Restricting payment of dividends - restrict payment of cash dividends to shareholders based on levels of earnings or cash as excessive dividends can have negative impact on bond value
    3. Restricting sale of assets - assets are only permitted to be sold if proceeds used to purchase new fixed assets (similar to existing asset debt is backed against) or retire debt as sale of assets can reduce value of bond
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10
Q

Sukuk

Definition & five structures

A
  • Islamic financial instruments which comply with Islamic religious law (as conventional bonds are not permissible as Islamic law states all forms of interest are forbidden)
  • Risk is shared between customer and bank and profits divided
  • Sukuk are instruments where group of investors are sold a certificate, and then proceeds are used to purchase an asset that investor group has partial ownership in
  • Issuer must make promise to buy back bond at future date at par value
  • Structures include:
    1. Ijarah (means lease) - sale and transfer of a tangible asset for a specific period of time against a specified consideration
    2. Intifa’a - right to utilise, own or develop any asset or other legal rights of utilising or holding such assets. Similar to Ijarah but investors have right to own the asset (e.g. use the offices in the office block)
    3. Salam - seller supplies goods to purchasers at a future date in exchange for price paid in full in advance. Similar to forward contract but paid upfront. Not tradeable onto someone else unlike Ijarah or Intifa’a. More short term financing. Good delivering must be clearly defined and available for delivery
    4. Perpetual - Sukuk without a maturity date but redeemable any time by issuer
    5. Convertible - right to convert the sukuk into the issuers shares at a later date. Price cannot be below par value of shares
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11
Q

Ijarah

means lease, what is it and the 7 steps

A
  1. Establish a SPV
  2. SPV Issues a sukuk (which means certificate)
  3. Sukuk sold to investors
  4. SPV uses proceeds to purchase an asset from a company for a set period of time, agreeing to sell it back to them at a later date
  5. SPV leases the asset back to the same company
  6. Lease payments are passed to investors
  7. At the end of the agreement, company buys the asset back and money is returned to the investors
  • feel of bond but exists as issuing company sold then leased back proporty to SPV
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12
Q

Salam Sukuk

what is it

A
  • Similar to a forward contract
  • You buy a commodity today (price known and paid in advance), for delivery on a future date
  • The good must be clearly defined and easily available for delivery
  • Not tradeable onto someone else unlike Ijarah or Intifa’a
  • Usually used for short term finance
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13
Q

Green Bonds

Definition and issues with Green Bonds and the principles

A
  • Funds raised are exclusively used to finance new or existing ‘green’ projects with positive environmental or climate benefits (e.g. clean energy)
  • Additional transaction costs as issuer must track and report use of proceeds
  • Lack of standardisation of what is a green bond (and issue of adding label for marketing purposes which can lead to greenwashing)
  • International Capital Market Association (ICAM) have developed Green Bond Principles (GBP) to promote integrity in green bond market and ensuring availability of info for investors to evaluate environmental impact of bond
  • Conformity with GBP is voluntary, so viewed as best practice, but boosts marketability of bond
  • A bond loosing its ‘green’ status can mean issuer faces reputational damage, ro pay penalties to investors (known as ‘falling from green grace’)
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14
Q

Social Bonds

what is it and the principles

A
  • Similar to green bonds however proceeds used to fund eligible projects with a non-environmental but beneficial theme, typically with social objectives such as affordable housing or health services
  • Like green bonds, can be subject to ‘social washing’
  • ICMA has set of Social Bond Principles (SBP) that are voluntary guidelines where issuers align framerwork to give investors confidence
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15
Q

Sustainability Bonds

example of social bond

A
  • Funds are used to finance combination of green and social projects so more flexible than green or social bonds
  • ICMA has developed Sustainability Bond Guidelines (SBG) to improve transparency and disclosure to the market and so investors can be certain you are doing what you should be
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16
Q

Sustainability-Linked Bonds (SLBs)

example of social bond

A
  • Defined as any type of bond instrument for which financing or structural characteristics vary depending on whether issuer acieves predefined sustainability objectives
  • Proceeds can be used for general purposes, but issuers required to define and commit to sustainability path over a period of years
  • Concerns these bonds are too flexible
  • ICMA issued Sustainability-Linked Bond Principles (SLBP) which outline best practice for launching credible SLB
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17
Q

Blue Bonds

A
  • A bond where the proceeds support marine projects
  • First sovereign blue bond issued by republic of Seychelles with 10 year maturity. Proceeds supported expansion of marine protected areas
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18
Q

Social Impact Bonds

A
  • Raise funds to achieve social objectives with focus on social benefit rather than investment potential
  • Investors receive payouts based on specific social criteria being met so risk more in line with equity than bonds as no fixed return
  • Used by governments for issues such as children in care, homelessness or youth unemployment
  • Also known as pay for success financing as bonds bring together public, private and voluntary sectors to solve issues
  • Social intermidiary will go to investors to sell the bond, money will then go to service provider to tackle the issue (e.g. homelessness)
  • Independant third party will verify that outcomes have been met, at which points investors will receive capital back plus interest
  • If not successful, then investors could not receive anything back
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19
Q

Factors Influencing Bond Prices

A
  1. Interest Rates
    - if rising, causes bond prices to fall which increases yield (inverse relationship)
    - this is because investors would be willing to pay less for the fixed coupon bond as their required rate of return would have increased
  2. Inflation
    - investors require higher return if rate of inflation is expected to rise, therefore prices fall (index linked bond prices tend to rise if higher inflation is expected)
  3. Specific Issue Factors
    - issuers credit rating (which reflects likelihood of default)
    - structure and seniority of the issue (less risky bonds will have higher price so lower yield)
  4. Liquidity
    - more liquid bonds more expensive
  5. Exchange rates (if denominated in a foreign currency)
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20
Q

Bonds as Part of a Portfolio

A
  • Can be held directly or as a bond fund
  • IA produces sector classifications of UK unit trusts, OEICs and ETFs which include: UK gilts (95% invested in UK gilts, 80% in standard gilts), Sterling Corporate Bond (80% in sterling corp bonds with rating of BBB- and above)
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21
Q

Loan Based Crowdfunding (peer to peer)

Bonds and Fintech. An example of debt crowdfunding

A
  • Consumers lending money to businesses in return for interest and repayment of capital
  • Allows lending of money whilst bypassing banks who would take a fee
  • Will pay a platform fee but this will be lower than bank fees
  • This option is available for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) that are profitable
  • No FSCS protection
  • Can be delays in cashing in, and could not get back what they invested as company may not be in position to pay back when you need the money
  • Most securities not tradeable and often no secondary market
  • Higher risk than money in bank account as borrowers face minimal credit checks so don’t know true extent of risk of loan
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22
Q

Investment Based Crowdfunding

Fintech. An example of debt crowd funding

A
  • Consumers invest directly in business by buying shares or debentures
  • Regarded as high risk as money is often to fund high risk endeavours and investors have little recoruse in case of defualt or fraud
  • Value of shares can be diluted as often multiple funding rounds
  • Often long investment period where money tied up
  • No protection to investors
  • No secondary market and most securities not transferrable
  • FCA banned sale of investment based to retail investors in 2020 which greatly reduced their popularity
  • Different platforms carry different levels of risk
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23
Q

Lending Platforms

Fintech

A
  • Platforms for both loan based and investment based models have emerged as alternative to traditional financing methods
  • E.g. Funding Circle in UK - they will make you watch video/answer questions to ensure you understand risks before investing
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24
Q

Government Bonds in Developed Markets

UK, US, EU and Japan

A
  1. UK - gilts are issued and managed by DMO, interest paid twice a year. Rated AA-
  2. US - treasury bonds (over 10 year maturity), note and bills issued by US Treasury. Some ABS are issued by govt sponsered entities (GSEs). Rated AA+
  3. EU - each country retains sovereign control over their own debt
  4. Japan - Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) issued by government. Coupons paid semi-annually
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25
Government Bonds in Emerging Markets
- Historically only formed small part of global bond markets due to limited issuance, poor data quality, market illiquidity and regular economic crises - Brady Bonds first issued in 1980 to overcome issue of LatAm govts defaulting on debt. Defaulted bank loans converted into collateralised ZCBs. Issued in USD as investors do not want to purchase things in local currency - Risk and return varies (e.g. China is A rated whilst Argentina CCC+ according to Fitch) - Currently worth 28% of global bond issuance - 'Hard currency' (currencies which are seen to be more stable) Eurobonds are example of buying bonds with exposure to credit risk but you are removing FX risk
26
UK Inflation Linked Bonds | what are they, how to calculate inflation adjustment
- Coupon and principal adjusted in line with inflation index (e.g. RPI in UK, which will be more in line with CPIH in 2030) - To calculate inflation adjustment factor: = (RPI on coupon date - 3 months) / (RPI on issue date - 3 months) x 1% - Inflation adjustments have indexation lag which is amount of time between when inflation is measured to bond payment (8 months for gilts issued before 2005, 3 months for gilts issued after) - Inflation linked gilts currently account for 24% of govt debt so they are looking to reduce this as it puts them at risk of an inflation shock
27
Foreign Currency Debt Issues
- some govts issue foreign currency bonds to finance foreign currency reserves - e.g. in UK, there are outstanding bonds in dollars and euros (trade like eurobonds not gilts) - hard currency market is broadest category of sovereign debt in emerging markets - most issued in US dollars which offers investors lower currency exchange risk
28
STRIPS (Seperate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal Securities)
- Coupons and the bond are stripped apart, so different people can receive redemption proceeds to the coupon - key benefits of this are that investor can pricisley match their liabilities, removing reinvestment risk - Only gilts designated as 'strippable' are eligible Only Gilt-Edged Market Makers (GEMMs), the BoE or the Treasury are able to strip gilts
29
Green Government Backed Products
1. Green Government Bonds - first issued in 2021, developed in accordance with ICMA Green Bond Principles - proceeds allocated to clean transport, climate adaption, renewable energy etc. - aimed to raise £15 billion but investor demand exceeded £100 billion 2. NS&I Green Savings Bond - fixed term products where savings contribute towards green projects - rate of interest taxable and fixed for three years - no withdrawals till end of term
30
Government Bond Issuing Agencies
- primary responsibility of issuing agency is to ensure govt is able to borrow money to fund budget deficit - can either issue new bonds or a tranche of existing stock - once issued, secondary market trading overseen by issuing agency and stock exchange - DMO is issuing agency for UK govt - 25% of UK govt debt is inflation linked, putting them at risk of inflation shocks. Govt is therefore reducing this proportion over merdium term
31
Government Bonds - Competitive vs Non-Competitive Auctions
1. Competitive - investors apply for new bonds at price they are willing to pay - bids sent to GEMMs - bonds issued to highest bidders at their bid price so no single final price - bid-to-cover ratio expresses the demand for bond issue and calculated via no. of bids received/no. of bids accepts. Ratio below one suggests amount bid for is less than amount offered. Ratio over two suggests successful auction 2. Non-Competitive - applicants apply directly to DMO and receive bonds applied for in full, at weighted average of accepted prices - in UK, can apply for up to £500k of nominal value
32
Intermin Funding (TAPS)
- Where governments issue smaller quantities of stock to improve liquidity or market efficiency - In UK, issuing agency sell stock through primary dealers (GEMMs) - Issued stock could be the result of failed funding auction from previous issue - A tap is an issue of a gilt by issuing agency for exceptional market management reasons and not on a pre-announced schedule, so issuing agency can quickly issue smaller quantities of govt bonds by tap at short notice
33
Primary Government Bond Dealers | e.g. GEMMs
- Banks and other financial institutions approved to trade securities with a national government, with intention of reselling securities to others - provide liquidity by quoting two way prices under all market conditions throughout trading day up to size agreed with issuing agency - must participate actively in bond issuance by bidding competitively in all auctions - must provide information to issuing agency on closing prices, market conditions and their dealer's positiopns and turnover - Their privileges include: 1. executive rights to competitive phone bidding at govt auctions (they don't get money for this but they are able to see flow of information) 2. exclusive facility to trade as a counterparty of DMO in secondary market operations 3. exclusive acess to inter-dealer broker screens
34
Gilt-Edged Market Makers (GEMMs) | Example of a primary dealer
- primary dealers in gilt market in UK - must provide two way prices at size agreed with DMO but no requirement to use paticular system - free to choose how to disseminate their prices - Can provide quotes in gilt edged securities or index linked gilts - Must take part in weekly gilt auctions - Must report to DMO at end of the day on prices, position sizes etc - Priviledges include taking part in DMO secondary market operations, and exclusive access to gilt inter-dealer broker screens - If bid-cover ration below one, they are required to take up remaining gilts (underwrite the issue)
35
Broker-Dealers
- Perform dual role as brokers (agents) who buy/sell govt bonds on behalf of their clients and dealers (principals) who buy/sell for their own account - Don't have same obligations/privilages as GEMMS (don't have to provide two way prices) - Often traditional financial service firms and large banks (not GEMMs) - Facilitate free flow of govt bonds on open market, and ensure their is a market in the securities for their clietns - Bound by 'best execution' rules (outlined in MiFID)
36
Inter-Dealer Brokers (IDBs)
- Brokers than act soley between GEMMs - Arrange deals anonymously between primary dealers (GEMMs) - Not allowed to take principal positions - Act as agent (broker) but settle position as if they were the principal (dealer) - so GEMMs maintain anonimity - Used when GEMMs need to buy gilts to provide to their clients - GEMMs often do not want to deal directly with each other as don't want others knowing their trades
37
Repo Market for Government Securities | what is a repo and reverse repo, benefits to both sides, SRF
- Sale and repurchase agreement where seller of gilts agrees to buy them back at a specified future time (essentially borrowing cash using gilts as collateral) - Price bought back at is price sold at, the interest charged is called the repo rate - Legally binding - The reverse repo is the person who lends money and then holds gilts until they are bought back (essentally lending cash) - Benefit to borrower is potentially cheap source of short term finance due to the collateral posted - Benefit to lender is the security gained by holding a gilt - Standing Repo Facility (SRF) enable counterparties (GEMMs) to enter into reverse repo arrangements with central banks, often to cover a short position on the bonds. This enables smooth running of government bond market
38
Stock Borrowing and Lending Intermediaries (SBLIs)
- Pool large blocks of securities from institutional investors (e.g. pension funds) which are then loaned out to borrowers to cover short positions - Once the short position is closed out (with full purchase), borrowed bonds are transferred back - Commission usually 0.50% which is split between SBLI and lender - Minimal activity in this space in the UK since 1996 with introduction of repo market - Sometimes the lender will demand collateral
39
Government Bond Settlement Times
- UK, US, China and Japan govt bonds settle T+1 - European govt bonds settle T+2
40
CREST
- CREST is the central securities depository in the UK and is a same day clearning system allowing share and bond holders to hold assets in dematerialised form - Clears trades by matching settlement details provided by buyer and seller - Trades settle when CREST updates the register of the relevant company, and at same time moves money, and issues a receipt notification - For OTC trades, LCH (a clearing house for CREST) assumes responsibility for settling the transaction - CREST collects SDRT on behalf of HMRC
41
Bond Futures
- Can effect prevailing price of bonds as indicate markets expectation of future interest rates - US 10 year Treasury is most active future contract as can hedge exposure to variety of fixed income assets, as well as opportunity to speculate on future direction of interest rates - Futures contract can be settled as cash or by delivering the bonds
42
Corporate Bond Market | How they are traded
- Market dealing tends to be away from major exchanges in decentralised dealer markets - Corporate issuer appoints a dealer to act as distributor and underwriter on their behalf and bonds issued via a placing - Dealer effectively acts as a market maker by being willing to buy or sell bonds
43
Debentures
- Most corporate bonds issued are debentures - In some countries, it means debt which is backed by a specific asset (secured debentures) - In others, no security is provided (unsecured loan stock) - No requirement for security, but means coupon will be higher
44
Eurobonds
- Bonds denominated in a currency other than that of the market in which they are issued - Allow issuers to access debt financing outside their domestic markets - Primarily held by institutions and mostly issued in bearer form - Traded OTC and trades matched through TRAX - Settled T+2 by major clearing houses such as Euroclear who hold certificates in vaults (they are immobalised and instead re-registered) - Unsecured debt so issued by highly rated companies - No withholding tax - Overseen by ICMA - Accrued interest calculated 30/360
45
Foreign Bonds
- Bonds issued in a domestic market by a foreign company in the domestic market's currency - Regulated by the domestic markets authorities - Attractive to investors seeking foreign credit exposure without currency risk
46
Global Bonds
- Debt instruments issued simultaneously in multiple markets - Issued in major international currencies and marketed to wide investor base - They are registered securities (electronically held) and subject to regulations of the countries in which they are sold
47
Fixed Charge | A type of collateral issued over debt
- A fixed charge (collateral) over a definable asset of the company - Usually land or freehold buildings as they are easily distinguished and the value will not significantly fall over term of debenture - Company cannot sell the asset without the lenders permission - If company fails to pay interest or repay capital, debenture holder can: 1. Appoint a receiver and get income from the assets held under charge 2. Take possesion of asset and sell it, using proceeds to repay debenture and then returning any excess to company
48
Floating Charge | A type of collateral issued over debt
- Equitable charge on all the company's assets, both present and future, on terms that the company is able to use the assets in the normal course of business - Useful as allows the company to borrow without pledging specific assets - Assets are often stock
49
Redemption of Corporate Bonds
1. Bullet Bonds - principal repaid all at once on maturity 2. Serial Bonds - principal redeemed in instalments at regular intervals. Purpose is to protect bond holders as they are less risky 3. Optional Redemption - allows issuer to redeem bond if certain circumstances arise (callable/puttable) 4. Perpetual - no redemption date
50
Different Coupon Types on Corporate Bonds
1. Fixed Rate - coupon fixed throughout life 2. Zero Coupon - no coupons paid, investors instead receive difference between purchase price and nominal value at maturity 3. Discounted - a bond with no coupon or one with a coupon rate substantially lower than current interest rates. Bonds issued at discount to nominal value. Classed as deeply discounted if price is more than 15% lower than par value 4. Floating Rate Notes (FRNs) - coupon fluctuates with market rate of interest e.g. SONIA. Investors earns set rate above the index. These can have floors or caps where if index falls/rises to a set level, the coupon will be locked (known as mini-mazx bond) 5. Dual Currency - coupon and redemption are different currencies
51
Equity Sweeteners | Corporate Bonds
- issues of corporate bonds can include equity sweeteners either by issuing bonds that can be converted into equity or attaching warrants that give the bondholder the right to buy a certain number of shares at a pre-agreed price and future date
52
Convertible Corporate Bonds
- gives the holder the right, but not obligation, to convert the bond into predetermined number of ordinary shares - conversion opportunity is open for defined window - give holder saftey net of the bond with potential growth potential of equity - convertible bonds count as deferred shares so issuer must assume they will be converted - pay a lower coupon than conventional bonds - subordinated debt instruments - sometimes require holder to provide extra capital to convert - complex to value
53
Convertible Bonds Advantages + Disadvantages to Issuer
1. Advantages to Issuer include: - No immediate dilution to current shareholders at time of issue - Lower coupon than conventional bond - Suitable when assets not available to be secured against - Suitable for finance periods with long payback periods - Once converted, no longer need to pay coupon 2. Disadvantages to Issuer: - If company performs poorly, still have to pay coupon - Can't be certain they are issuing deferred share capital (could have to pay back amount borrowed)
54
Convertible Bonds Advantages + Disadvantages to Holder
1. Advantages to Holder: - security of fixed income asset, offering downside protection, with potential to participate in share growth - convertibles rank above shares in event of liquidation - offer higher yields than shares - very marketable - receive a regular coupon 2. Disadvantages to Holder: - dilution may reduce value of existing investor's shares and their proportional ownership - offer lower yields than equivalent straight bonds - attractiveness of convertible could be tainted by issuer call options - if anticipated share growth not achieved, holder will have sacrificed yield for no benefit - if not converted, sacraficed lower yield for no benefit
55
Convertible Bonds Conversion Ratio | including conversion price, conversion value and conversion premium
- Shows number of shares that each £100 nominal of the bond can convert to **Conversion Ratio = nominal value / conversion price of shares** - Conversion Price - shows price shares will need to reach to make you want to convert you bonds and is = convertible price / conversion ratio - Conversion Value - shows what your shares would be worth if you converted today and is = current share price x conversion ratio - Conversion Premium - shows how much more expensive to buy shares through converting bond than buying in open market and = conversion price - share price / share price
56
Contingent Convertible Bonds (CoCos)
- Conversion is contingent upon another event occuring such as solvency ratios dipping below a certain level (conversion would help the solvency ratio), rather than convertible at choice of investor - Most common type of convertible bond that converts to equity - Riskiest bond in capital structure so investors require higher return - Principal write-down CoCos are where investors contractually agree to absorb losses through cancellation of their entitlements - Commonly used by banks who need to issue set level of tier one capital (such as shares). So if ratio falls below solvency ratio, they will automatically convert these to equity to bring ratio back up - As investor, do not want conversion to happen as usually happens in times of stress
57
Warrants
- Entitle hodler to a certain number of shares in the issuer at a pre-defined price - Coupon often lower than conventional bonds - Like a call option to buy shares in the issuer
58
Corporate Bond Issuance
- Most common method of issuance is a placement - Issuer awards mandate to lead manager - Lead manager then obligated to issue bond and ensure issue is taken up - In normal issues, lead manager can amend the terms of the issue (coupon and maturity) depending on market conditions - A bought deal is where lead manager purchases the entire issue, which transfers the risk of not being able to sell from the issuer to the lead manager - Lead manager can create group called a Syndication which includes other banks and each receives a portion of the deal
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Pricing Bonds for Annual Coupons
- Most bonds have definitie schedules of cash flow values with precise timings so suited to application of discount cash flow technique - To calculate price, find the present value of the coupons, then add to the present value of the redemption value using annuity formula: **PV of coupons = A/r x (1 - 1/(1+r)^n)** - inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates (as interest rates rise, bond prices fall which pushes up yield) - when coupon rate on the bond is equal to the prevailing interest rate, the bond will be valued at par
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Pricing Bonds for Semi-Annual Coupons
- For semi-annual coupons, use the same annuity discount formula, but we must halve the copon, halve the yield and double the number of periods
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Pricing Bonds for Irredeemables
- No PV for the principal as no redemption date - **PV = C / r**
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Pricing Bonds for Zero Coupon (or STRIPS)
**PV = P / (1+r)^n**
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Pricing Bonds for Inflation Linked | 4 steps
- Calculate the real yield, given nominal yield and inflation (real yield = nom yield/ inflation - 1) - Discount each cash flow by the real yield and sum to get the real price using annuity formula - Multiply the real price by the index ratio
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Clean and Dirty Prices | including accrued interest formula
- Bonds quoted on clean price but settle on the dirty price - When a bond is purchased between interest payments, a payment is made to seller to compensate the seller for interest that built up but wasn't paid out (accrued interest) - Dirty price will rise as coupon builds then fall back as stock market ex-dividend - Where the purchase is cum-dividend: **Dirty price = clean price + accrued interest where accrued interest = coupon x (accrued days/days in period)** - Where the purchase is ex-dividend, seller receives all the dividend so pays some back to the purchaser: Dirty price = clean price - accrued interest
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Flat Yield | How to calculate, how useful and limitations
**% = annual coupon rate / market price x 100** - only considers coupon and ignores any capital gain/loss - best suited to short term investors who are focused on income (or irredeemable bonds), rather than those holding to maturity - ignores redemption flows - ignores timing of cash flows and time value of money - can't account for non-constant returns (such as inflation linked bonds)
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Japanese Gross Redemption Yield | How to calculate, how useful and limitations
- overcomes issue of flat yield in that doesn't ignore capital gains or losses - uses flat yield, then adds average annual capital gain/loss to redemption: - **= coupon + [(100-clean price)/no. of years to redemption] / clean price x 100** - provides more complete picture of return - ignores timing of cash flows and time value of money - assumes linear capital growth rather than compounded, which leads to overstament of capital gain/loss
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Gross Redemption Yield | How to calculate, how useful and limitations
- accounts for coupons and gains through to maturity - useful for non-taxpaying, long term investors (gross) such as pension funds - Calculated by finding the IRR of the bond's cash flows: 1. Calculate Japanese GRY to find indication of yield 2. Find Net Present Value of bond (using annuity calculation) at yield below Japanese GRY (R1), (N1 is then price of bond at R1 - actual price of bond) 3. Find Net Present Value of bond (using annuity calculation) at yield above Japanese GRY (R2), (N2 is then price of bond at R2 - actual price of bond) 4. Calculate GRY by interpolation: **R1 + (N1/N1-N2) x (R2-R1)** - considers all cash flow returns and their timing - assumes interest rates will remain constant throughout lifetime of bond, and therefore copouns will be reinvested at the same rate - will overstate return if bond not held to maturity
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Net Redemption Yield | How to calculate, how useful and limitations
- similar to GRY but considers after-tax cash flows so useful for tax paying investors - To calculate, take JGRY and multiply by 100 minus tax rate) - **flat yield x (100 - tax rate)% + [(100-clean price)/no of years to redemption] / clean price x 100** - or use interpolation method as with GRY but multiply coupon by 100 minus tax rate - accounts for all cash returns and their tax implications - only represents the net return that will be realised if interest rates remain stable
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Grossed-up Equivalent Yield | How to calculate, how useful and limitations
- shows equivalent gross yield would be for a taxpayer who receives the net yield after paying income tax - **NRY / (1 - tax rate)** - allows comparions on taxable and tax-exempt investments on like for like basis helping investors to decide if gross coupon is still worthwhile after tax - supports portfolio decisions for investors in higher tax brackets - assumes investors tax rate remains constant - ignores impact of CGT on redemption - assumes all income taxed at same marginal rate
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Finding Floating Rate Notes (FRNs) Price
**FRN price = (next coupon + 100) / (1+r)^n** - can also work backwards on the above to get the yield
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Calculating Index-Linked Bond Yields Given Price
- Method: 1. Divide by the index ratio to arrive at the real price 2. Use interpolation method to calculate the real GRY using the real price 3. Find the nominal yield using the Fisher relationship: (1+r) = (1+i) + (1+R)
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Calculating Index-Linked Bond Price Given Yield
1. Find real yield given fisher equation (1+nominal interest) = (1+real interest) x (1+inflation) 2. Find real price given real yield 3. Multiply by index ratio to get inflation adjusted price
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Yield Curve | what does it show and what do different curves suggest
- shows relationships between bond yields and their maturities - the shape indicates the market expectation of interest rates - normally the curve is upward sloping i.e. the longer dated securities typically have higher yields as they are more risky - inverted yield curve indicates low confidence amongst investors about the state of the economy. Can also indicate a recession. Cutting interest rates may be considered to boost spending - flat curve can suggest investors expect little change or are unsure on future path in interest rates - supply and demand influences supply curve - You will sometimes see the curve flatten off at the end - likely due to demand from pension companies
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How Liquidity Preference Explains Shape of Yield Curve | what is liquidity preference and what yield curve does it suggest
- Explanation that interest rates derive from theories of supply and demand - stated by Keynes - Investors prefer liquidity so need to be compensated for holding less liquid securities, therefore higher yield on longer dated - Investors want liquidity for one of three reasons: 1. Transactions motive - need liquidity for investment opportunities 2. Precautionary motive - need liquidity for emergency expenses 3. Speculative motive - in case any speculative opportunities - Demand for money reflects a preference to hold it to remain liquid - Spot rates are core focus of market participants seeking best trade off between liquidity and return - This explains yield curve as normal, upward sloping
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How Expectations Theory Explains Shape of Yield Curve | what is expectations theory and what yield curve does it suggest
- States shape of yield curve will vary according to investors expectations of future interest rates and inflation - If believe interest rates will rise, will sell long dated bonds and buy short dated as investors will be able to secure higher rates in future - This causes price on longer dated bonds to fall, causing yield to rise - This explains normal yield curve - If you belive interest rates will fall, will buy longer dated bonds, and sell shorter dated nonds. - This causes price on longer dated bonds to rise, causing yield to fall - This explains inverted yield curve - Flat = expectation interest rates won't change - Steepness of curve reflects expected rate of change - Yield curve is reflection of spot rates and spot rates in turn a reflection of market expectation of forward rates
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How Preferred Habitat and Market Segmentation Explains Shape of Yield Curve | what is Market Segmentation and what yield curve does it suggest
- Suggests different categories of investor who are interested in different segments of the maturity spectrum - Typically banks more interested in short term, while pension funds more interested in long term - This theory explains tendancy for 'wiggle' in the middle of the curve as the two ends of the curve react to different sets of business data - This gives rise to two markets concentrated at opposite ends of yield curve, where prices are driven up, and yields fall
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How Supply Side Factors Explains Shape of Yield Curve | what is supply side factors and what yield curve does it suggest
- stock availability at certain maturities could lead to excess or shortage of stock, and therefore an irregular yield - often more of a problem at the longer end - some argue QE (where central banks buy back govt bonds), have muddied yield curve predictive powers as purchase was often of the longer dated bonds, reducing the supply, raising the price and therefore reducing the yield, making the curve flatter
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The Theoretical Yield Curve
- Likely that actual shape of the yield curve is influenced by liquidity preference, market expectation and preferred habitat theory in sense that short term dominated by expectations of future interest rates, whilst medium/long term more influenced by expectations of inflation and the liquidity premium - From theoretical point of view, upward-sloping curve suggests spot rate lies above it, and forward rate lies above that
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Bond Forward Rates | What is it and how is it calculated
- Rate of interest that can be locked in today, for a deposit or borrowing that will settle on a set date in the future - 1F2 means 1 year rate that starts in 1 years time - Need to know spot rate before calculating which is what we expect the interest rates to be - Banks will calculate the forward rate using the no arbritage method - this means there should be no difference between investing the money for two years, and then investing the money for one year and agreeing now to roll the money over into another one year deposit - Calcualting 1F2 given spot rate for year 1 (r1) and year 2 (r2): (1+1F2) = (1+r2)^2 / (1+r1)^1
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Bond Spot Rates (a.k.a zero coupon rates) | What is it and how is it calculated
- Rate of interest that applies today to some point in future - Not the same as yield - Rate of interest that can be agreed for a deposit or borrowing from today for a fixed period - To calculate, use simple discount formula on each of the seperate cash flows (i.e. a 2 year 4% bond can be broken down into 2 cash flows, £4 after 1 year and £104 after 2 years: = coupon /(1+r)^n
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Deriving the Spot Rate from a Bonds Price | How to calculate
- Derive the cash flows in order of maturity using following discount formula, as you will need to use the prevuous spot rate as the next r value: = (coupon + redemption value) / (1+r1)
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Link Between Spot and Forward Rates
- spot rates are the geometric mean of the forward rates so can be derived from each other - E.g. two year spot rate equals current eone year rate multiplied by one year rate in one years time - (1+1F2) = (1+r2)^2 / (1+r1)^1 - the yield, which is a weighted average of the spot rates, exhibits less volatility than the spot rates and far less than the forward rates -
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Relationship Between Yields, Spot Rates and Forward Rates **TO GO OVER**
- spot rate is geometric mean of the forward rate and their movements relatively lag behind those of forward rates
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Interest Rate Risks | risk of holding bonds
- Rise in interest rates will push price of existing bonds down - Most important risk due to relationship between interest rates and bond prices - Duration and modified duration (volatility) is way of measuring this risk - Interest rate reinvestment risk can be mitigated by matching Macaulay Duration of the bond with term of the investors liability
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Inflation Risk | risk of holding bonds
- Risk that future value of an investment will be reduced by unanticipated inflation - Can be mitigated with inflation linked bonds
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Credit or Default Risk | risk of holding bonds
- Risk that the issuer defaults on its obligation to pay coupons or repay the principal - Ratings assigned by companies such as Fitch are intended to help assess this risk - Can be mitigated by investings into more highly rated bonds, however you will then receive a reduced yield
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Liquidity Risk | risk of holding bonds
- Risk that the bond will not be easily sellable in the market - Smaller issues more subject to this risk
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Currency Risk | risk of holding bonds
- Risk arises when converting cash flows received from overseas investments denominated in foreign currencies, back into the domestic currency of the investor
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Issue-Specific Risk | risk of holding bonds
- Can arise from factors specific to individual bond issue such as issuer options like the right to call for early redemption
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Fiscal Risk | risk of holding bonds
- Risk that withholding taxes will increase
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Bond Sensitivity to Different Factors | Interest Rates, Maturity and Coupon
1. Interest Rates - Longer dated bonds more sensitive to interest rate variations 2. Maturity - Longer dated bonds more exposed to movements of the GRY, as it has longer to maturity 3. Coupon - Lower coupon bonds demonstrate greater sensitivity to yields
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Macaulay Duration | What is it, how to answer in exam
- This is the economic life of a bond i.e. how long (in years) it takes for the cost of a bond to be repaid by its cash flows - Measures the weighted average term to maturity (duration) of the cash flows from the bond - **= sumof(t x PVt) / Price** - To calculate in exam, create four headings (Period, Cash Flow, PV of Cash Flow, prev column x t). Then sum right hand column and divide by price (sum of third column) to find Macaulay Duration - Duration one of most useful ways of assessing the risk of holding a bond as the longer the duration, the longer the average maturity, and therefore the greater the sensitivity to interest rate changes - The sooner a bond's payments are made, the less sensitive it will be to interest rate fluctuations - Higher coupon = lower duration (less risky as quicker to get money back) - Longer to maturity = higher duration (more risky as more time to get money back) - Higher yield = lower duration (less risky as quicker to get cash back) - For ZCBs, the duration will always be equal to bonds time to maturity - For fixed coupon, the duration will always be shorter than time to maturity
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Modified Duration | What is it
**= - Macaulay Duration / (1+yield)** - Gives an approximation of how a bond's price in % will change for a 1% change in yield - Use negative number for modified duration due to inverse relationship between price and yield - A modified duration of 4% means if bond yields fall from 7% to 6%, the bonds price will rise by 4% - A higher modified duration is better if you think interest rates (yield) will fall - Linear measure that tends to overstate drop in bonds price but understate its rise - The difference between modified duration and the actual price is Convexity
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Convexity | What is it, how to answer in exam
- The relationship between bond prices and yields is not linear. Relationship is actually curved - Convexity is therefore a measure of the curvature in the relationship between bond prices and bond yields that demonstrate how the duration of a bond changes as interest rates change - A bond with a higher convexity will always have a higher price whether interest rates rise or fall (all other things being equal), so you'd always want to own this bond (price would rise more if yields fell 1%, and fall less if yields rose 1%) - As convexity increases, systemic risk of portfolio increases (this isn't true but included in textbook) - In exam, add extra column to table for Macauly Duration, where you times the (Pv x t) value by (t+1), also draw diagram showing modified duration as a straight line, then two curved lines showing the convexity of bond A and B - The difference between modified duration and the actual price is the convexity error which can be estimated with the convexity adjustment: = 0.5 x Convexity x Yield Change^2 x Bond Price - Higher number means greater degree of curvature - Callable bonds have a negative convexity as modified duration falls as yields fall
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Basis Point Value (BPV)
- Represents how much the actual price of a bond will change if the yield changes by 1 basis points so a finer measure of sensitivity than modified duration - Also known as price value of a basis point - **= Modified Duration x (Bond Price / 10,000)** - e.g. if interest rates move by 1bp, and BPV is 0.04, you would gain/lose 4p for every £100 nominal owned