insurance principle
risk reduction by spreading exposure access to many independent risk sources
Market risk (Systemic risk)
risk that remains even after diversification
firm-specific risk, nonsystematic risk, diversifiable risk
Risk that can be eliminated by diversification
covariance
Cov(rS, rB) =
= ⍴SB x σS x σB
correlation coefficient =
= ⍴SB = Cov(rS, rB) / σS x σB
3 rules of two-risky-assets portfolios
Investment opportunity set
Set of available portfolio risk-return combinations
mean-variance criterion
optimal risky portfolio
efficient frontier
Graph representing portfolios that maximizes expected return at each level of portfolio volatility
separation property
(1) determination of the optimal risky portfolio, which is a purely technical problem
(2) the personal choice of the best mix of the risky portfolio and the risk-free asset
index model
Model that relates stock returns to returns on both a broad market index and firm-specific factors
Index model regression equation:
Ri(t) = ɑi + βi x (Rm(t) - Rf) + ei
Alpha(ɑi)
expected RoR in excess of what would be predicted by an equilibrium model such as the CAPM
Beta(βi)
The sensitivity of a security’s return to the return on the market index
beta greater than 1
cyclical/aggressive stocks
beta less than 1
Defensive stocks
Slope of the CAL =
= excess return / variance
e(i)
residual, firm-specific surprise in the security return
Security characteristic line(SCL)
Plot of a security’s predicted excess return given the excess return of the market
variance of the excess return of a stock:
variance(Ri) = variance(βiRm) + variance(ei)
Algebraic representation of the single-index model regression line:
E(Rdisney|Rm) = ɑDisney + βdisney x Rm
R^2 of the single-index model regression line:
R^2 = systemic(explained) variance / total variance
R^2 = (correlation coefficient)^2