market size
about 47 billion litres of beer
comparing market size
nearly twice the size of USA and much bigger than UK (sales volume)… should be thinking which part to target!
market growth volume
declining: predicted to continue (due to political and macro environment)
market growth value
increasingly rapid: possibly due to inflation
per capita data
relatively small compared to UK/USA, but the market isn’t saturated, so long term per capita consumption may be bigger
On and off trade explanation
drinking beer where you buy it vs. drinking elsewhere… creates 2 market segments with 2 different types fo customers and 2 different customer behaviours… and 2 different lines of distribution (implementation of strategy)
on and off trade value
China= 66:33 UK= 66:33 USA= 50:50
on and off trade volumeChina=
50:50
UK= 50:50
USA= 25:75
on and off trade conclusion
2 potentially serviceable markets, but one is not considerably bigger than the other!
china beer report
psychographic
Chinese aspiring to westerners, so prefer western brands
interest in ‘exotic beers’
flavoured and craft beers
trends towards can and PET
rather than glass bottles… Chinese don’t necessarily see glass as premium
alliances…
between Western and Chinese brewers: many companies are joint ventures
short term downturn in market volume
suggested by passport: but NEXIS data seems to contradict
segmented market
economy beer dominates (75%), but mid-price and premium more profitable… growing by value and volumes, premium imported
why is the market growing by value but decreasing by volume?
mid-priced and premium beer is growing by value and volume as people drink less beer on average but drink more premium beers (trading up), or inflation
Nexis data is…
old, good place to start though, to learn from history
Western entry to Chinese beer market
not a new idea!… need to think about competitions and accessibility
success requires…
resources, resolve and good strategy
Chinese brewers…
are strengthening and expanding: new competition, harder to get into the market
second wave into market…
mergers, acquisitions and partnerships
market is attractive on…
size, value growth and per capita data
market is unattractive on…
market is unattractive on…
price, costs and profitability