Describe Earth’s energy balance
S_0= solar constant (avg intensity in upper atmosphere)
Alpha = albedo (0.3)
Epsilon = emissivity (0.62)
Sigma = Stefan’s constant
What is radiative forcing and what affects it?
delta F = S_0(1-alpha)-4epsilonsigma*T^4
* Difference between incoming energy from the Sun and emitted by Earth
Solar constant
* Sunspots - greater solar activity
* Faint young sun paradox - Sun was 30% fainter when Earth formed but liquid water present
Albedo
* Snow/ice/clouds have high albedo, water/vegetation/soil has low albedo
* Sulfate aerosols (volcanic and anthropogenic) increase albedo
Emissivity
* Decreased by absorption of IR by greenhouse gases (water vapour, CO2, CH4, CFCs)
List six climate feedback loops and explain them.
Water vapour
* Positive feedback: water vapour is a GHG, absorbs IR causing Earth to warm, increased evaporation (fast - years)
*Negative feedback: water vapour condenses to form high-albedo clouds, causing cooling (fast - years)
CO2
* Positive feedback: CO2 increases causing Earth to warm, sea temperatures rise, solubility decreases so CO2 released into the atmosphere (fast - surface ocean (decades), slow - deep ocean (centuries))
Silicate weathering
* Negative feedback: high temp increases rate of weathering which consumes CO2, leading to cooling (slow - millennia)
Ice
* Positive feedback: high temp causes ice to melt, decreasing avg albedo of Earth, leading to more warming and melting (slow - centuries)
Vegetation
* Increased CO2 means increased rate of photosynthesis in vegetation, hence decreased CO2 and cooling (slow - centuries)
What is climate sensitivity?
lambda = dT/dE = (d/dT(epsilonsigmaT^4))^-1
* Ignores feedbacks
What is the carbon cycle?
What are anthropogenic carbon sinks?
How can palaeoclimate be reconstructed?
Ice cores
* Depth proportional to age (oldest core 800ka - recent climate only)
* Trapped air bubbles used to analyse atmosphere (CO2 conc)
* Gas younger than ice around it (air in snow and firn exchanges with atmosphere)
* Deuterium ice isotopic ratio is a temperature proxy (lighter=warmer)
*d18O also used
Marine sediment cores
* Foraminifera (CaCO3 shells) - d18O ratio
* Benthic - deep ocean temp proxy. Planktic - surface ocean temp and glaciation proxy
* Increased temp decreases d18O
* Glaciation increases d18O as 16O more likely to evaporate, then precipitated and locked away as ice
Describe the trends in climate through the Cenozoic
Describe the recent trend in Northern Hemisphere glaciation and its causes
Milankovitch theory
* Summer insolation controls whether glaciers advance/retreat, affected by orbital parameters
Obliquity
* Tilt of Earth’s axis varies over time (22-24.5deg, period 40ka)
* Increase in obliquity increases summer insolation at poles (poles closer to Sun)
Precession
* Axial precession - rotation of Earth’s rotational axis (period 25ka)
* Elliptical precession - rotation of Earth’s orbit around the sun
* Changes time of year of aphelion/perihelion
* If perihelion coincides with N Hemisphere summer, increased insolation
Eccentricity
* Increased eccentricity means smaller distance to Sun at perihelion, so increased summer insolation
* Only effect which changes solar constant
Evidence
Deep sea d18O data