definition of expected value
probability-weighted average of a random variable’s outcomes
two key EV rules
variance of linear transform
Var(aX+b)=a^2 Var(X)
variance of a sum
Var(aX+bY)=a^2Var(X)+b^2Var(Y)+2abCov(X,Y)
when does Cov(X,Y)=0?
when x and y are independant (independence ⇒ zero covariance)
correlation range and meaning
between -1 and 1 measuring linear association strength/direction
why is covariance scale-dependant
it changes with units; correlation is unit-free
sampling mean variance for n i.i.d (independent and identically distributed) observations
Var( X̄ )=Var(X)/n
The standard expression for how the variance of the sample mean decreases as the sample size ( n ) increases.
median vs mode
median splits probability mass at 0.5; mode is most likely value