Domain C Flashcards

(230 cards)

1
Q

AA’s duty to report to
- Board of Directors
- CEO

A

Directors:
Report on financial condition and expected future financial position

CEO:
Report on Material Adverse Events that required rectification

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2
Q

Responsability when resignation of AA
- Resigning AA
- Newly AA

A

Resigning AA:
Write statement to board of directors and OSFI with reasons and circumstances of resignation

Newly AA:
Request written statement before accepting appointment

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3
Q

How can CFO become AA ?

A

Audit committee provides written statement to OSFI stating that the requirements of both CFO and AA can be adequatly and independently performed.

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4
Q

Requirements for foreign insurance companies to hold asset in Canada under Insurance Companies Act (2)

A
  • Assets vested in Canada and controlled by Chief Agent or Minister of Finance (at least 5M$)
  • Sufficient asset to cover liabilities both in Canada + margin determined by BAAT
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5
Q

Duties of audit committee (3)

A
  • Review annual report before directors
  • Meet with auditor to discuss fairness of report
  • Meet with actuary to discuss portion of annual report that relates to valuing policy liabilities
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6
Q

Key features of Risk Appetite Statement (4)

A
  • Inclusion of Short and Long term strategies
  • Qualitative / Quantitative measures
    Max Loss ratio vs What risks company want to have
  • Forward-looking
    Must be proactive, which future risk are acceptable
  • Consider normal and stressed scenarios
    How much risk in each scenarios
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7
Q

Elements of Risk Appetite Framework (3) + Description

A
  • Statement : Reflects level of risk and type of risk FRFI is willing to accept to meet business objectives
  • Risk Limits: Allocation to risk categories, business unit and lines of business
  • Roles and Responsabilities for implementation
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8
Q

Duty of Chief Risk Officer in Senior Management (2)

A
  • Implementating risk management policy
  • Providing regular reports to Directors, Senior Management and Risk Committee
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9
Q

Definition Corporate Governance

A

Set of relationships between:
- Directors
- Management
- Shareholders
- Other Stakeholders

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10
Q

Actions for non-compliance to OSFI guidelines on risk management limit (3)

A
  • Supervisory activity
  • Discretionary authority to adjust capital requirement
  • Other corrective measures on case-by-case basis
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11
Q

What percentage limits apply to investment concentration ?

A

5% asset in Canada

An insurer’s aggregate market value of investments in any one entity (or group of affiliated companies) should not exceed 5% of the company’s total assets.

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12
Q

What are eligible counterparty risk mitigation techniques in MCT framework ? (3)

A
  • Excess Collateral : Any Collateral above the 100% mark of liabilities to secure the exposure.
  • Letters of credit : Guarantee from bank that it will pay if the original counterparty defaults.
  • Other techniques accepted by OSFI

Reminder: Authorized methods used to reduce the credit risk charges

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13
Q

Capital requirement for large insurer exposure in GUWP
- Formula
- Limits (3)

A

Net Retention (including reinst prem) + Largest Net Counterparty Unregistered Reinsurance Exposure <= Limit

Limit =
- If widely held or regulated: 100% total capital available
- Otherwise: 25% total capital available
- Foreign: 100% net asset available

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14
Q

Gross Underwriting Limit Policy
- Definition
- Key requirements (3)

A

A Gross Underwriting Limit Policy (GUWP) is a formal document for insurers that defines their risk appetite by setting limits on the total gross insurance risk they are willing to accept for a “single insurance exposure”.

Should:
- Define single insurance exposure by class
- Establish limits by class for max gross insurance risk
- Reviewed by Senior Management at least annually

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15
Q

How is a single insurance exposure defined for each class ?
- Property
- Credit
- Surety
- Title

A
  • Property : Total exposure at one location
  • Credit : Exposure related to one or group of connected buyers
  • Surety : Exposure related to one of connected group of contractors
  • Title : Exposure related to title in one location

Reminder :
A single insurance exposure is defined as the maximum potential loss (gross of reinsurance) that could arise from a single “claim-generating event” across all policies related to a specific risk.

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16
Q

Describe approaches used by rating agencies to determine economic capital (3)
- Name of approach
- Rating agency using it
- Description

A

Expected policyholder deficit:

  • EPD for each risk depends on volatility and size of the risk.
  • EPD = Average loss for worst 1% of outcomes
  • Used by AM Best

Stochastic cash flow capital models:

  • Models based on distribution of each risk and simulate repeatedly from them. Cash Flows are projected until all current liabilities are settled
  • Used by Moody’s

Principles-based systems:

  • Evaluate insurer ERM system and internal capital models
  • Capital requirements on a weighted average of its own formula and the client’s economic capital model
  • Used by Std and Poors
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17
Q

Measures taken by rating agencies to ensure consistent rating across companies (3)

A
  • Information gathering and assessment guidelines
  • Ratings should be related to economic capital
  • Analysis and final ratings should be issued by separate bodies
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18
Q

Shortcomings of Rating Agencies (2)

A
  • Conflict of interest since agencies are paid by companies they rate
  • There is history of unreliability. Agencies haver given high ratings to companies that then went bankrupt.
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19
Q

Interactive Rating
- Definition
- Advantage (2)
- Disadvantage (2)

A

Independant assessment of an insurer’s ability to pay claims based on a comprehensive qualitative and quantitative analysis.

Advantages:
- Widely reviewed so reliable
- Insurer may remain unrated without interactive rating

Disadvantages:
- Time-consuming (meeting)
- Expensive

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20
Q

Definition Rating Agencies

A

Financial strength ratings help buyers assess an insurer’s ability to pay claims.

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21
Q

Purpose of Rating Agencies by insurers (3)

A
  • Agents are wary of unrated insurers
  • Regulators may rely on Rating Agency’s Assessment
  • Regulator don’t have the expertise to evaluate financial strength
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22
Q

Lines of business where high financial ratings are important (3) and why ?

A
  • Reinsurance : If downgraded to below investment grade, a reinsurer may not be able to renew
  • Homeowners : Banks may require mortgage insurance from a highly rated insurer
  • Low Freq/High Sev lines : Harder to assess risk and a high rating is a way of proving that insurer can pay claims
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23
Q

ORSA vs FCT
- Forecast period
- Capital requirement operational risk
- Similarities (3)
- Differences (3)

A

ORSA :

  • Forecast period : 3 to 5 years
  • Capital requirement operational risk : Explicitely modeled with other risks faced by company

MCT :

  • Forecast period : >= 3 years
  • Capital requirement operational risk : Based on premium volume and other risks

Similarities:

  • Involve scenario stress testing
  • Assess the capital required related to risk
  • Involve identification of material risk

Differences:

  • Guidelines (CIA SOPs vs OSFI for ORSA)
  • Methods (Quantitative vs Both for ORSA)
  • Reporting (AA vs Management for ORSA)
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24
Q

Explain usage stress testing to calculate internal capital target for ORSA

A

Use stress testing to identify material risks to company operations and measure impact on future financial condition based on set of risk factors, adverse but plausible event. Relate risks to capital needs to determine the internal capital target.

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25
Why ORSA is better than FCT ? (4)
- Include all material risks - Include assessment of internal control for better management - Qualitative assess as well as quantitative - Use stress-testing to set internal capital target to reflect risk appetite
26
Key elements of ORSA (5)
- O : Oversight by senior management - R : Risk identification and assessment of materiality - S : Sought good reporting and Monitoring - A : (Audit) Objective Review and Internal Controls - R : Relate risk to capital with internal capital target
27
Goal of ORSA
Enhance an insurer's understanding of the relationship between risk profile and capital needs.
28
Solvency 2 - What is it ? - Pillars (3)
Insurance regulator system to determine required capital levels in European Union. Pillars: - Quantitative (Requirement) - Governance (Supervisory activities) - Transparency (Supervisory reporting and disclosure)
29
Advantages for insurer to identify ENID (3)
- Increase awareness of potential risks by senior management - Assist in calculation of risk loading using freq-sev methods - Increase regulator confidence in company's risk management
30
Elements to consider for ENID loading (3)
- Catastrophes - Court awards - Legislative changes
31
Definition of ENID and ENID loading
ENID is event for which the insurer does not have historical data. Loading: Balancing amount to bring reserves up to amount allowing for all possible future outcomes - Journalist info + - Pending court awarding -
32
Sound Practice for earthquake model component - Version (3) - Validation (3)
Version : - Use more than 1 model - Regular update (1 year) - If In-house PML, compare to alternate model Validation: - Modeled losses vs actual - Tailed losses vs market price for reinsurance - Use global data to supplement limited Canadian earthquake data
33
Financial Resources to support earthquake exposure (4) + Restrictions (USE IN CALCULATION OF EARTHQUAKE RESERVE FOR INSURANCE RISK)
- **Capital and Surplus** Prior approval from OSFI is required under MCT guidelines - **Reinsurance Coverage** In case of whole account, use full stochastic model - **Earthquake Premium Reserve** Voluntary reserve accumulated from earthquake premiums - **Capital market financing** Other risk transfer mechanism (bonds, securities)
34
Multi-region exposure for earthquake PML - Disadvantage (2) - Reporting of PML for foreign insurer - Reporting of PML for canadian insurer
In catastrophe modeling, Multi-region exposure refers to the total financial risk an insurer faces when their insured properties are spread across multiple seismic zones that could be affected by a single, massive earthquake event. **Disadvantage :** - Understates PML for insurers with significant exposure in both zones (since the PML is based on the greater of the PMLs region) - Ignore exposure elsewhere that can have a material impact **Reporting of PML for foreign insurer when there is an earthquake exposure outside of Canada :** - Report PML based on Canada exposure **Reporting of PML for canadian insurer when there is an earthquake exposure outside of Canada :** - Report PML based on worldwide exposure
35
Methods to test completeness, accuracy and consistency of exposure data of earthquake data (2)
- Summarize data and review key statistics - Look at year-to-year change in exposure and compare with historical data
36
Considerations when evaluating PML estimates (4)
- Data Quality (impact on limitations and adjustments) - Non-modeled exposure - Model uncertainty (Safety margin) - Multi-region exposure
37
Name 4 non-modeled exposures of an earthquake model
- Guaranteed Replacement Cost - Adequacy of ITV - Loss Adjustment Expenses - Claim Handling Expenses
38
Key principles / Qualitative / Sound practices for managing earthquake (5)
- **Risk Management** : Oversight of risk management by senior management - **Data Management** : Improve quality of data and get audited - **Models** : Parameters selection in model - **PML** : Compare PML with previous estimate - **Financial Resources** & Contingency Plan : Ensure financial flexibility
39
Practices to improve risk management and valuation process (4)
- DATA : Improve in technology to improve data quality - GUIDELINES : Management should set guidelines - MODELS : Use multiple models - MODELS : Update models regularly
40
Best Practices for earthquake modeling (4)
- Knowledge of assumptions, methods, limitations - Explain why particular model is used vs alternatives - Qualified staff needed to run in-house models regularly - Document use of model with risk management program (Model Assumptions, methods, limitation, data management)
41
GHG emissions scopes requirement - Scope 1 and 2 (4) - Scope 3 (3)
Scope 1 and 2 (2024): - Separate disclosure - Absolute gross emissions - Measurement approach - GHG protocol Scope 3 (2028): - Category 15 mandatory including - Financed emission (Loans / Investment) - AUM emission (Asset Management) - Ins-associated emissions (UW portfolios)
42
Challenges with Climate-Related Scenarios (2)
- Public scenarios (IPCC) not specific enough to model - Time horizon for development is very long so impact of transition, legal and reputational risk is uncertain
43
1st Principle for Climate Risk - Name - What should it look ? (4)
1st : Governance Structure Should look over: - Board oversight - Senior management accountability - Compensation linkages - Clear role and responsabilities
44
2nd and 3rd Principle for Climate Risk - Name of each - How to integrate in model ? (4) - How to consider in management ? (4) - Key process in risk management (4)
**2nd : Business Model Integration** How to integrate in model ? - Identify climate impacts on strategy - Develop Climate Transition Plan - Assess plan achievability scenarios - Set internal metrics/target **3rd : Risk Management Framework** How to consider in management ? - Risk Appetite Framework - ERM Framework - Internal Control Framework - Clear roles Key process in risk management : - Data collection - Tools and models implementation - Monitoring and reporting system - Risk concentration tracking
45
4st Principle for Climate Risk - Name - Uses ? (4) - Requirements (4) - Essential because ? (5)
4st : Scenario Analysis Uses ? - Assess strategy resilience - Identify risk factors - Estimate exposures and losses - Test risk management adequacy Requirements : - Multiple plausible scenarios - Various time horizon - Both physical and transition risks - Understand methodologies and limitations Essential because ? - Historical data is not predictive - Manifest over long time horizons - Relationship are non-linear with potential tipping point - Multiple plausible futures exist that cannot be extrapolated from past - Required forward looking analysis
46
Principles of disclosure for climate risk (6)
- Clear and balanced - Reliable and verifiable - Appropriate size (proportional FRFI complexity) - Relevant - Consistent - Specific and comprehensive
47
Governance Principles for climate risk (5)
- Governance Structure - Business Model Integration - Risk Management Framework - Scenario Analysis - Capital and Liquidity (ORSA, stress-testing)
48
**IMPORTANT** What are the 3 expected outcomes OSFI wants FRFIs (Federally Regulated Financial Institutions) to achieve for climate risk? Considerations for climate risk management
- **Business model and strategy** Understand impact, mitigation, opportunities for climate-related risk - **Governance and risk management** Appropriate to manage risk - **Financial and operational resilience** Resilient through severe climate risk scenario
49
How climate risk transmit to traditional financial risk ? (Transmission channel) - Credit - Market - Insurance - Liquidity - Operational
- **Credit :** Physical damage from flood reduce value of a property (collateral) - **Market :** Perception of heightened risk that affect investment (market price change) - **Insurance :** Increased in frequency or severity weather-related claims - **Liquidity :** GHG intensive portfolio, can be difficult to sell those assets quickly after a catastrophe - **Operational :** Physical damage to premises or potential reputational damages if company is not acting responsibly regarding climate change
50
Why climate risk is important ? (4)
- **TIME :** Manifest over varying time horizons - **TIME :** Can intensify over time - **RISK :** Drive traditional financial risks - **HEALTH :** Can threaten business model vialibility
51
**IMPORTANT** Climate Risk Framework - Type of risk (3) - Definition for each - Examples for each
**Physical Risk :** Risk on asset, businesses and operations arising from more frequent climate related phenomenon induced by climate change and impacts on firm's ability to generate profit. - Ex: Increased claims, Investment values, Assessment of credit risk, Increased work corp claims **Transition Risk:** Risk to a firm's business due to shift towards more sustainable and environmentally friendly operations. - Ex: New techs impacts, Market shift, Policy Changes **Liability Risk:** Failure to address financial and strategy risks arising from climate change through mitigation, adaptation or disclosures - Ex: Board sued due to climate related losses
52
Types of physical risk for climate risk framework (3)
- Acute : Extreme weather events - Chronic : Long-term shift (sea level, temperature) - Indirect : Public health impact
53
Considerations when using IPCC report for scenario analysis of climate risk (5)
- **Implicit assumptions that market, system and chain will function at required level** - **Critical infrastructure risk impact** If a climate event knocks out a regional power grid, the resulting business interruption losses for insurers would far exceed the simple property damage. - **Actions to address climate risk may create risk for another** Sea wall create flood risk for another - **Modeling : Inherent assumptions** - **Modeling : Correlation, sequencing, cascading effect**
54
Types of scenarios for climate risk (2)
- Exploratory : Explore range of alternative plausible scenarios (Stress testing) - Normative : Future outcomes are set from plotted pathways (Reverse stress testing)
55
Systems Thinking - Definition - Benefit
Tool used to consider social, economic, political and technological environment in which firm operates when considering how it will be affected by climate risk. **Benefit:** Assist firm with thinking of interconnectedness of modern economy
56
Considerations when modelling catastrophes for climate risk (7)
- C : Capturing climate related risks in assumptions - A : Allowing for factors other than damage - U : Updating exposure in model - D : Develop scenarios and metrics to estimate transition and liability risk - A : Analyzing different time horizons (Short : Valuation - Medium : Steering - Long : Rebalancing business) - C : Consider non-linearity or step changes that impact climate risks - S : Segregating the effect of climate change by geography
57
Definition social inflation
Increase in costs because of - change in the likelihood of claimants bringing suit - change in awards - change in attitude toward settlement Only for line subject to go to court.
58
Requirements of FCT Base Scenario (3)
- Consistent with business plan only if realistic - In forecast period, base scenario is required to gave MCT > 150% (internal target) - In forecast period, Asset > Liability
59
Ripple effect - Definition - Examples (6)
Event that occurs when an adverse scenario triggers a chain in 1 or more inter-dependant assumptions. **Examples:** - Loss of reinsurance - Forced sale or liquidation - Post-Event inflation - Operating expense (higher loss ratio) - Shift in portfolio mix - Regulatory action
60
Corrective management action after FCT (6)
- Rate increase - Sell and reinvest asset - Tighten UW guidelines - Review investment strategy - Review reinsurance - Review mix of business
61
Types of stress-testing scenarios (5)
- Base : Assumptions consistent with business plan - Adverse : Developped by stress testing assumptions that threaten financial condition - Solvency : Plausible adverse scenario (above 95th percentile) - Going-concern : Adverse scenario more likely and less severe then solvency (Above 90th percentile) - Integrated : Combine risk factors to produce new plausible adverse scenario (low-prob + high-prob)
62
Assess financial condition with stress-testing (3)
1. Base Scenario: MCT > Internal Target 2. Going-concern Scenario: MCT > Regulatory Min (100%) 3. Solvency Scenario: Asset > Liability 4. Final Decision *Only check conditions for years in the forecast period
63
Definition reverse stress-testing and usefulness
Determine how far risk factors need to be changed to drive surplus negative and then determine if it is plausible. Useful to find adverse scenario.
64
Scenario testing vs Sensitivity Testing (3)
Scenario testing vs Sensitivity Testing - **Risk Factor :** Significant changes vs Incremental changes - **Time Horizon :** Observe future state (ripple effect, actions) vs Shorter time horizon, shock immediate - **Complexity :** Complex vs Simpler
65
Focus areas for stress-testing program (5) + Examples
Stress testing is to identify risks (5 risks) - Risk mitigation (Ex: Reinsurance program for flood) - Risk Securitization and warehousing - Risk Reputational (Ex: Flood coverage is optional) - Risk Credit and Counter-party Risk (Ex: Credit risk for reinsurer) - Risk Concentration (Ex: High-risk flood zones)
66
Definition stress testing
**Risk management technique** to evaluate **effects on financial condition** of **specified changes** corresponding to **exceptional but plausible events.**
67
Consideration when selecting a scenario in stress-testing (3)
- Scenario should **cover all important business** and product lines - Create **non-historical scenarios** (external data) - **Cover severe and sustained downturn** (Large losses, loss of reputation, operational risk)
68
Purpose of stress testing (4)
- Identify and control risk to adjust strategy - Complement to other risk management tool - Support capital management identifying severe events - Improve liquidity management
69
Role in stress-testing program for - Analyst - Management - Directors
- Analyst : Build and maintain spreadsheets to do actual calculation - Management : Less technical work and more planning (implementation, management and oversight) - Directors : Integrity of program (overseeing, meet with senior management)
70
How a company's stress testing program can be improved ? (5) *Rudimentary considerations for stress testing
- Documentation available - Robust flexible infrastructure - Controls and reviews - Includes view across organisation and include different risk perspective - Update more frequently
71
What is required management action if capital available below internal capital target ?
If it happens or expected to happens within 2 year, notify OSFI and submit plans to restore capital to internal target level quickly
72
Internal Target Capital - Definition - Considerations (5) *Will give a big scenario and ask ways in which AA likely did not follow appropriate regulatory guidance and describe appropriate action - Reasons (2)
Determined by ORSA. Includes risks specified in capital guidelines and all insurer-specific risks **Considerations:** - Stress Testing - Capital level don't fall under supervisory cap - Cannot consider future capital injections - Cannot consider head-office guarantee action - Analysis forward-looking (do not consider past variability of MCT) **Reasons:** - Gives management time to adress issue - Captures risks not addressed by industry-wide capital guidelines
73
Unwindind of discount - Definition - Calculation methods (3) - Steps to calculate
Difference between discounting the cash flows to the beginning of the period and discounting to the end of the period. **Methods:** - Constant yield curve Assumes the yield curve does not change over time. - Unwinding using spot rates The "end of period" curve is effectively the beginning curve shifted forward by one period. - Expectation hypothesis Based on the market's expectation of how interest rates will change. **Steps :** 1. Calculate CF and PV CF 2. For Constant yield method, Unwinding = PV CF (end) - PV CF (beginning) 3. For spot rates, Unwinding = SUM ( CFt x Spot Ratet)
74
Combined approach steps to calculate liquidity premium
1. Create reference portfolio and calculate rate of return 2. Substract risk-free rate to get indicated liquidity premium 3. Liquidity Premium = r x Indicated Liquidity Premium + Constant
75
Contract features affecting the liquidity premium (3)
Liquidity premium is an adjustment added to the risk-free rate to reflect that insurance liabilities are often less liquid than the financial instruments - **Exit Barriers** If a policyholder can easily exit the contract and demand their money back, the liability is highly liquid and decrease liquidity premium. - **Low Inherent Value** Contracts with low inherent value (doesn't offer much extra to policyholder) tend to increase liquidity which decreases the liquidity premium. - **Exit Value** If a high inherent value must be paid out upon exit, it increases the liquidity of the liability, thereby decreasing the liquidity premium. Reminder : - Inherent value is essentially the cash-out value of the policy (unearned premium). - "Highly liquid" means that the liability can be converted into cash almost immediately at the request of the policyholder.
76
Steps of calculation of Fulfillment Cash Flows (7) - How to allocate CY into issue year ?
1. **Group Data** Decide whether to group your data together into net liabilities or gross and ceded based on availability, volatility and reinsurance 2. **Payment Pattern** Select payment patterns (segmenting data) based on business segments, payout period. 3. **Liquidity Premium** Calculate liquidity premium using a combined approach 4. **Discount Rate + Factors** Calculate discount rate using one of the two approached to have a yield curve 5. **Projected Cash Flows** Calculate projected cash flows using the given projected cash flow percentages (TRIANGLE) 6. **Discounted Cash Flows** Allocate projected cash flows to issue year and calculate discounted cash flows (TRIANGLE) 7. **Fulfillment Cash Flows** FCF = Discounted Cash Flows + Risk Adjustment Risk Adjustment = Factor given x Issue Year Discounted Cash Flows
77
Characteristics a discount rate should possess in IFRS 17 (4)
- Should reflect **Time** value of money - Should reflect **timing** of cash flows - Should reflect **characteristics** of Cash Flow - Should reflect Liquidity **Characteristics** of the liabilities of insurance contracts
78
Do actuaries always have to do the duration calculation for assets themselves ?
No, they can rely on investment specialists. Actuary would be the enquiring professional, and investment specialist would be the responding professional.
79
Duration definition
Measures - the average maturity of fixed future cash flows and - the sensitivity of previous value cash flows to interest rate changes.
80
**Considerations calculation of the duration of liabilities** - Assumption - How to calculate duration by lines ? - How to calculate combined duration ? - GMA : Which components are rate sensitive ? - PAA : Which components are rate sensitive ? - Situation where duration = 0
**Assumption :** Cash flows are interest rate sensitive and discounting consistent with calculation from valuation **Duration by lines :** Some patterns as for discounting then total is weighted average **Duration combined :** - Effective duration - If you already have the durations for individual lines of business or specific product groups, you can calculate the combined duration using a weighted average based on the fair value **Rate sensitivity :** - GMA : FCF are interest rate sensitive, CSM is not Because the CSM doesn't react to market interest rate movements in the same way liabilities do, it effectively has a duration of zero. - PAA : LC is interest rate sensitive, LRC excl LC is not The LC itself is calculated based on discounted fulfillment cash flows, making it sensitive to rate changes. **Situation where duration = 0 :** The duration of a liability is considered zero when the cash flows are not sensitive to interest rate changes. Occurs when : - Claims are expected to be paid out within a year - Liabilities (LIC) are undiscounted
81
Types of Duration (3) - Formulas - Difference between 2 and 3
- **Macaulay :** Weighted average of time where weights are previous value cash flows (fair values) (ALL CASH FLOWS INCLUDING COST OF CAPITAL) - **Modified :** Macaulay Duration / (1 + yield rate) - **Effective :** Duration = (Fair value if yields decline - Fair value if yields rise) / (2 x Initial Price x Change in yield) Should be used when cash flow are dependant on changes in discount rates
82
Credit Risk - Definition - Components (3)
Risk of loss from counterparty's potential inability or unwillingness to fully meet contractual obligations due to insurer. Components: - Balance Sheet Asset (Direct investment like bonds) - Off-Balance Sheet Exposure (Risk not listed) - Collateral and Guarantees
83
What are the components of off-balance sheet exposure in credit risk ? (4)
- **Structured Settlements** Purchase annuity from life insurance to pay claimant - **Letters of credit** Guarantee that a third party will meet its obligation - **Non-owned deposit** Asset held by third party (bank) to secure obligation - **Derivatives** Swaps, options, futures
84
Operational Risk - Definition - Risk included (1) - Risk excluded (2) - Components (3)
Risk of loss from inadequate or failed internal processes people, systems or from external events. - Include Legal Risk - Exclude strategic risk (voluntary choice) - Exclude reputational risk (consequence not cause) **Components:** - Sum of insurance, market and credit risk - Premium volume and growth - Intra-group pooling
85
Diversification Credit - Definition - When it can be appropriate to not add it in calculation ?
Reduction to capital required recognizing that not all risk categories are likely to suffer their maximum loss simultaneously MCT insurance risk factors for each line of business contain an implicit diversification credit based on the assumption that insurers have a well-diversified portfolio of risks for a given portfolio of business
86
Market Risk - Definition - Components (6)
Risk of loss from changes in prices in various market Components: - Interest Rate - Foreign Exchange - Equity - Real Estate - Right-of-use asset - Other Market
87
Market Risk : Real Estate risk - Definition
Risk of economic loss due to changes in value of a property or in the amount and timing of cash flows from a property
88
Market Risk : Right-of-use asset - Definition
Fluctuating market lease rates Where lease rate is the cost of using a third party's asset
89
Market Risk : Other market - Definition
Other markets are sold for less than the balance sheet value
90
Market Risk : Equity Risk - Definition
Risk of economic loss due to fluctuation in the value of common shares and other equity securities
91
Market Risk : Interest Rate Risk - Definition
Changes in interest rates will impact assets that change liabilities.
92
Insurance Risk - Definition - Components (4)
Arising from potential for claims or payouts to be made to policyholder or beneficiaries Components: - LIC (reserve) - Unexpired coverage (incl catastrophe) - Unregistered Reinsurance - Earthquake and Nuclear catastrophes
93
Insurance Risk : LIC - Formula - Components (3)
Margin = 1,1 x Risk Factor x (Net LIC issued excl RANF - AIC reheld excl RANF) Components: - Percentage that varies by coverage - LIC net of salvage / subrogation excl risk adjustment - AIC for reinsurance excl risk adjustment
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Insurance Risk : Unregistered Reinsurance - Margin required - Deduction goal - Deduction formula
**Margin** = 20% x (A* + AIC + Cash Outflows fund withheld - Receivables) **Reduction:** Lots of unregistered reinsurance trigger a reduction to capital required (only apply if > 0). ``` Deduction = (A* + AIC + Cash Outflows withheld) - (Receivables + Non-owned deposits RSA + Premiums payable non-owned deposit + Reinsurance Collateral Funds held + Letters of credit (LIMITS = 30% of ARC + AIC) ) ``` where A* = PAA LRC + GMM LRC - GMM ARC CALCULATE REDUCTION (IF > 0, Reduction to capital available, if not, reduction from capital required) THEN CALCULATE MARGIN SUBSTRACT REDUCTION TO MARGIN (MIN 0)
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Definition of self-insured retention
Portion of a loss that is payable by policyholder. Insurer pays and seek reimbursement through Letter of Credit.
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**IMPORTANT** Regulatory adjustments to MCT capital available * Just be able to recognized them
+ CSM associated with title insurance contract +- Adjustments to owner-occupied property valuation - Interests / loans to subsidiaries - Unsecured unregistered reinsurance exposures - Earthquake premium reserve not used as financial resources - Insurance acquisition cash flows - AOCI on cash flow hedges - Goodwill and other assets - Deferred tax assets - Cumulative gains and losses due to change in credit risk - Defined benefit pension fund - Investments in own instruments (treasury) - Reciprocal cross holdings in common share
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Qualitative Considerations MCT capital available (4)
- Availability : Is capital elements fully paid & available to absorb losses ? - Permanence : Until when is the capital element available ? - Absence : Does capital element have an absence of encumbrances & mandatory servicing costs ? - Subordination : Is capital element subordinated to the rights of policyholders in an insolvency ?
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Allocation Principles for capital requirements (5)
Methods to allocate should be: - **Free from bias** Not unfairly favor one line of business - **Accurate when allocating revenue and cost** - **Consistent with other business allocation methods** - **Consistent over time** Shouldn't change frequently - **Systematic and Reasonable** Reminder : Capital allocation principles refer to the standards used to distribute the total required capital of an entity across its various segments or lines of business.
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*** IMPORTANT *** MCT Ratio - Definition - Formula - Requirement (2)
Standardized measure of capital adequacy MCT Ratio = (Capital Available / Capital Required) x 1,5 Requirements : - 100% by federal - 150% by OSFI (named supervisory cap)
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Assess whether a group is onerous (Decision Tree)
A group is onerous if it is not profitable. There is no "unearned profit" to defer. Instead, the net outflow is recognized as an immediate loss in the P&L. To track this, a Loss Component is created within the Liability for Remaining Coverage (LRC). **1. Qualitative Assessment : Facts and Circumstances (ONLY FOR PAA)** - Specific group of contract - Past Losses - Aggressive UW and pricing - Unfavourable Trends **2. IF YES -> Quantitative Assessment :** Calculate difference between FCF and LRC excl LC > 0 If onerous, CSM = 0 and presence of loss component **3. IF YES -> Group is onerous** LC is released into insured service expense and amortized from the LRC over duration of contracts.
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Amortization of CSM - Why ? - Formula
Determines how the CSM is released into profit or loss with effect of new contracts and interest on CSM. Formula: - Proportion of CSM released quarter = Cov Units provided / (Cov units provided + Cov units end of period) - Amortization of CSM = Proportion x Reporting opening CSM
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Definition of coverage units
Quantity of insurance contract services provided by the contracts in group. Determined by quantity of benefits provided.
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Evolution of LRC through life of policy
Inception : No incurred claim, FCF + CSM During : FCF decrease, LIC increase, Paid claims increase End : LRC = 0
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Aggregation of policies AND Allocation of components - Expenses - LRC and CSM - FCF
Aggregation: Portfolios into groups FCF are calculated at portfolio level and then separate into group. All others components are calculated at groups level.
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Definition of - Asset position - Liability position
Asset position : Expected cash inflows > Expected cash outflows Liability position : Expected cash outflows > Expected cash inflows
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Definition of LRC (2)
Entity obligation to: - FCF : Investigate and pay valid claims for insured event that have not yet occured Pay amounts that relate to any investments components not transferred to liability for incurred claims - CSM : Pay amounts that relate to insurance contract services not yet provided
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Calculation : LRC (GMA approach) - Formula - Components of FCF
LRC = Fulfillment Cash Flows + Contractual Service Margin (0 if onerous) Fulfillment Cash Flows : - Future Cash Flows (premiums and claims) - Adjustment time value - Financial risk - Risk adjustment for non-financial risk
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Calculation : LRC (PAA approach) - Formula LRC - Formula LRC excl LC initial and subsequent
LRC = LRC excl LC + LC **Initial :** ``` LRC excl LC = Premiums - Acquisition Cash Flows +/- Amounts arising from decorognition of assets and liabilities ``` **Subsequent :** ``` LRC excl LC = Premiums - Acquisition Cash Flows + Amortization - Insurance revenue - Investments components for LIC + Adjustment Financing Component + Carrying Amount at start ``` * CAN ASK TO CALCULATE THAT VALUE*
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*** IMPORTANT *** Calculation : Loss Component for LRC (5) * REVOIR NUMÉRO POUR CALCULER
To find the Loss Component, you are checking if your Current Pot (LRC) is enough to cover your Future Costs (FCF). **1. Calculate Fullfilment Cash Flows** ``` FCF = Losses (Discounted) - Premium Receivable (excl unearned premium cancelled) (Discounted) + Risk Adjustment + Other Attributable Costs (Remove % of cancellation) (Discounted) + (Deferred Acq Cost (net cancel) - Deferred Acq Cost (Gross Cancel) + Future Acquisition Cost (net cancel) ``` * Risk Adjustment : Apply % on discounted losses * Deferred Acq Cost (net cancel) : Cancellation % is only apply to variable part of cost * Future Acquisition Cost (net cancel) : Cancellation % is only apply to variable part of cost **2. Calculate PAA LRC (excl LC)** ``` PAA LRC (excl LC) = Premium Received - Insurance Revenue - Deferred Acquisition Costs (Gross cancel) ``` **3. Calculate LC = FCF - LRC (excl LC)**
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Recognition of onerous/non-onerous contracts in financial statement - Onerous - Non-onerous - Reinsurance
**Onerous :** It must be recognized even before coverage begins. The net loss is recognized immediately as an "Insurance Service Expense." **Not Onerous :** Only recognized when in force. Profit is deferred as a Contractual Service Margin (CSM) and recognized slowly over time. Same logic if reinsurance is entered into.
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Determining PAA eligibility (4)
1. Coverage period <= 1 year 2. IF NO: Group revenue <= 1% total company 3. IF NO: PAA materially not different than GMA PAA - GMA | < (Aggregate Treshold x (Group Revenue x Group LR)) / Total 4. IF NO : Is there any significant variability in cash flow ? 5. IF NO : Eligible
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Considerations to use MCT to calculate Risk Adjustment confidence interval (3)
- **MIX AND VOLUME :** Insurer's mix and volume of business when aggregating multiple lines and potentially LRC and LIC - **SIZE :** Adjustment for size relative to average insurer in the MCT (Smaller insurer are more volatile, larger spread in distribution) - **TRANSITION ADJUSTMENT :** Remove additional 10% loading on LIC factors for transition to IFRS 17
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Risk Adjustment reinsurance held : Proportional scaling method - Definition - Consideration to have for percentages (3)
Use the same percentage of FCFs for the ceded Risk Adjustment as for the direct one Percentage can be modified for considerations such as : - Commissions - Expense allowance - Reinstatement premium
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Risk Adjustment reinsurance held : Catastrophe models method
Use output from a catastrophe model tailored to an entity's book of business. Select a percentile directly from the given distribution
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Risk Adjustment : Margin method
Select margin that reflects the compensation the entity requires for uncertainty related to non-financial risk *EXACTLY LIKE DEFINITION
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Risk Adjustment : Cost-of-capital method - Definition - Components (3) - Advantage - Disadvantage
Based on compensation an entity requires to meet a target return on capital Components: - Projected capital amounts - Cost of capital rates - Discount rates Advantage : Close to the definition of the RA Disadvantage : More complex because projection of capital requirements is an input to liability calculation
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Risk Adjustment : Quantile method - Definition - Advantage - Disadvantage
Assess probability of the adequacy of FCF. These probs are used to quantify Risk Adjustment using VAR or CTE. **Advantage :** Satisfies disclosure requirements regarding confidence level **Disadvantage :** If misrepresented, it may introduce spurious accuracy
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Methods to calculate risk adjustment under IFRS 17 for non-financial risk (4)
- Quantile - Cost of capital - Margin - Combination of methods
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Methods to calculate risk adjustment under IFRS 17 for reinsurance held (4)
- Quantile - Cost of capital - Catastrophe models - Proportional scaling
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Method to calculate risk adjustment under IFRS 17 for catastrophe reinsurance - Why different analysis ? (2)
Cost of capital method with an assumption for required capital set a higher percentile. **Why different analysis ?** - Catastrophe reinsurance covers low-fre, high-sev events - Standard quantile method produce an Risk Adjustment that is too small or even 0
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What are the financial considerations when having a commutation clause for risk transfer ? (3) What are the non financial considerations when having a commutation clause for risk transfer ? (3)
**Financial :** - Amount and timing of cash flows - Discount rate applied to cash flows - Payment pattern of cash flows **Non-Financial :** - Court Decision - Life expentancy of claimant - Quality of reinsurer
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Risk Transfer : Parameters selection Interest Rate - Why choose above risk-free rates ? - Why not ?
**Why choose above ?** Reinsurer's average rate of return is above risk free rate **Why not ?** Result should not depend on quality of reinsurer's investment strategy
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Conditions that limit risk transfer in reinsurance contract (3)
- Commutation clause - Reinstatement clause - Forced Renewals If these features are too restrictive, the contract may fail the 10/10 test or have a low Expected Reinsurer Deficit (ERD), leading to it being classified as a financial instrument rather than reinsurance.
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Risk Transfer : Advantage / Disadvantage of pricing assumptions
Advantage : More in line with reinsurer's view on the risk transfer and incorporate market view of the risk Disadvantage : Assumptions are market driven (may not reflect true expected loss)
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Risk Transfer : Accounting of parameter risk - Explicitly - Implicitly
In general pricing, parameter risk is a part of your profit margin. In reinsurance, the insurer is paying the reinsurer to take on the "parameter risk"—the danger that the claims are much worse than the current data suggests. - **Explicitly :** Giving parameters a probability distribution and incorporate this into simulation - **Implicitly :** Higher expected loss selection and volatility
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Risk Transfer : Incorporation of reinsurer expenses
Not included. Only cash flows between cedent / reinsurer should be considered in ERD (Expected Reinsurer Deficit) calculation.
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Risk Transfer : Incorporation of profit commission
Not included. Result of cedant should not be included in risk transfer analysis.
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Risk Transfer : Methods to evaluate (4)
1. QUALITATIVE : Is transfer of risk self-evident ? -> Intuitively obvious that contracts protects cedant from future events that would adversely impact financial condition 2. QUALITATIVE : If significant loss not reasonably possible but reinsurer assumes substantially all risk (Quota share) 3. QUANTITATIVE : Calculate Expected Reinsurer Deficit = Freq x Sev as a % of premium (IF > 1%, risk) 4. QUANTITATIVE : If reinsurer has 10% chance of suffering a 10% loss, then contract is deemed to have risk transfer
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Requirements common to GAAP and SAP for determining existence of risk transfer in reinsurance (2) *Conditions for a contract to receive reinsurance accounting treatment
- Significant insurance risk is assumed by reinsurer - Significant loss to reinsurer is reasonably possible
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Reasonably self-evident risk transfer - Definition - Requirements (2)
Intuitively obvious that contract protects cedant from future events that would adversely impact the financial condition of ceding company. Requirements : - Done at arms length - There are risk limiting clauses
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Key Principles in assessment of risk transfer (4)
- Use quantitative and/or qualitative approaches - Use professional judgment - Consider overall agreement (Contract, amendments, verbal, written) - Re-check risk transfer when certain conditions occurs (change in terms affect expected future cash flow)
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Risk-limiting features vs Non-Limiting Features in reinsurance - Examples of features (4)
Risk-limiting features: Terms set in advance. Force renewal term that profit reinsurer. Not illegal. **Risk-limiting features examples :** - Retention level high (10%) - Limit on excess of loss - Swing loss ratio - Automatically commuted unless maintenance fee - Pre-set limit **Non-limiting features examples:** - Loss paid when occur - Premium payable in quarterly installment - Reinsurer expense - Taxes
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Reinsurance : FRI informations to OSFI (4)
1. **Reinsurance risk management policy** 2. Ongoing **due diligence** performed on counterparties 3. Complete description of all **reinsurance arrangement** 4. **Stress testing** performed on reinsurance program
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Reinsurance : Key principles of reinsurance (4)
1. Reinsurance risk management policy 2. Due diligence performed on counterparties 3. Clear contract terms and conditions 4. Terms should not adversely affect ceding insurer
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1st Principle : Elements of Reinsurance Risk Management Policy (4)
- Purpose and objectives for seeking reinsurance - Ceding limits A FRI should not cede 100%, or substantially all of its risk (like 95%). - Counterparty risk management - Concentration limits
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2nd Principle : Due diligence - Definition - Factors (6) - Why might OSFI require higher due diligence for unregistered reinsurers? (3)
Research done by company in preparation for a business transaction. - Claim payment record - Balance sheet strength - Funding sources - Management quality and governance - Expected future claims obligation - Retrocession arrangements Unregistered reinsurers present higher counterparty risk because they: - are not subject to Canadian regulatory oversight - Operate different legal/regulatory frameworks - Have greater uncertainty regarding financial strength
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4th Principle : Insolvency clause requirements for third-party reinsurers or affiliated reinsurer in a reinsurance contracts (3)
**THIRD-PARTY REINSURERS:** - FULL PAYMENT : Must provide full payment to insolvent cedant - No reduction due to insolvency - Receivables paid directly to cedant in Canada (dont go through parent or third party) **AFFILIATED REINSURER:** - Receivables paid directly to cedant in Canada Remind : An affiliated reinsurer is a company that belongs to the same corporate group or "family" as the ceding company.
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When will OSFI not recognize capital credit for reinsurance ?
When a foreign insurer ceded Canadian risks back to foreign insurers home office through affiliated reinsurers. (to keep asset in Canada) Reminder : Capital credit is a regulatory "reward" that allows an insurance company to hold less capital because it has successfully transferred some of its risk to a reinsurer.
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Reinsurance : Risks created (4)
- Operational risk - Legal risk - Counterparty risk - Liquidity risk
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Reinsurance : Benefits (6)
- W : Withstand catastrophic events - R : Reduce insurance risks and volatility - A : Access reinsurer's expertise - I : Increase UW capacity - S : Stabilize solvency - E : Efficient capital use
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Approaches which account for time value of money when evaluating runoff of claim liabilities (2)
- Discounting : Discount paid and unpaid amounts back to original period - Substraction : Substract investment income earned during CY on supporting assets and liabilities
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Objectives sought by OSFI for peer review (3)
- Assist OSFI in assessing insurer safety and soundness - Assist AA and provide education - Raise confidence in AA with management, public and regulators
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Roles and duties of AA (4)
- Produce AA report - Valuation of reserve using AAP - Produce financial position report for Directors - Produce material adverse event report to CEO/CFO
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AA : Qualifications (5)
- FCIA - 3 years experience in past 6 years with 1 year in valuation - Continuous professional development - No adverse findings with CIA disciplinary tribunal - Comply with CIA SOP
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Peer reviewer qualifications (6)
**Qualifications :** - Fellow - Cannot have direct financial interest in company (can be indirect) - Cannot have worked for insurer in past 3 years - Must have experience with at least 2 other related companies **Other constraints:** - Can be from same consulting firm as auditor or colleague doing financial statement - Can't be from the same firm as AA
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Peer Reviewer vs Auditor diff (3)
Peer Reviewer vs Auditor : - Standard of Practice : CIA vs CICA - Recalculation : No vs Yes - Verification of data : No vs Yes
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OSFI : Conditions peer reviewer cycle (5)
- Peer review of assumptions and methods every 3 year - Peer reviewer must be change after 2 cycles - Actuary of same firm of previous can perform peer review - A previous peer reviewer can rebecome peer reviewer after one cycle - If no material change, only review reasonableness annually
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OSFI : External peer reviewing expectations (4)
- Did AA use Accepted Actuarial Practice ? - Appropriateness of assumptions and methods - Consider material internal and external changes - Feedback on AA's work and document process
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*** IMPORTANT *** AA : Report to take responsability of work of others (2) - Why choose the first report ? (4)
- Report with reservations : Used but not take responsability - Change in assumption or methodology affecting disclosure items - Liabilities different from those calculated by actuary - New appointment (predecessor AA's work) - Takeover of insurer with insufficient records - Report without reservations : Used and take responsability
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AA : Items that can be set by others (4)
- Discount Rate - Level of aggregation - Contract boundary - Risk adjustment for non-financial risk
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Differences in wording of AA's opinion IFRS 17 vs Old (3)
- **IFRS Compliance :** Liabilities valuation complies with relevant IFRS standards - **Appropriate for Financial Statement :** AA no longer opines that liabilities make appropriate provision for all obligations. Liabilities provision is appropriate for inclusion in financial statement. - **Broader Scope :** Scope of fairly present is broader. More extensive presentation and disclosure requirements
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IFRS 17 vs Current SOP : Valuation of liabilities (4)
**Level of aggregation :** Separate profitable vs non-profitable contract **Measurement approach :** Determine onerous vs non-onerous contract **Discounting :** Yield curve LIC 1. Do not have to discount LRC if coverage period < 1 year or if discounting not significant 2. Discount Rate is to reflect characteristics of the liability **Risk Adjustment :** Risk adjustment based on appetite and tolerance /* ALL INFO ARE FOR IFRS 17
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Enquiring Professional - Definition - Communication actions (3)
Professional who will consider the work of other professional. Actions: - Notify responder that work is being used - Ask if responder is a professional - Ask if professional was appointed to do the job intented to be considered
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Responding Professional - Definition - Communication actions (3)
Professional of whom the work is being used by enquiring professional. Actions: - Discusss any problem with work including materiality - Confirm to enquiring professional that he is a pro - Confirm he was appointed to do the work intended
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Definition of model
A practical representation of relationships among entities using Financial, Economic, Mathematical and Statistical concepts.
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Definition of model risk
Risk of drawing incorrect conclusion due to limitations or flaws of underlying model.
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Evaluating risk exposure of model : Considerations - Severity of failure (3) - Likelihood of failure (4)
**Severity of failure :** - Financial Significance - Importance of model - Frequency of use **Likelihood of failure :** - Complexity - Expertise of user - Documents - Testing
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Key elements of a model (5)
- Specification : Description parts and interactions - Implementation : Systems - Limitation - Run : Input/output - Documentation
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Purposes sensitivity testing for a model (4)
- Validate a model - Understand relationship between input/output - Develop sense of confort with model - Test assumptions outside expected range, singly and then in combination or with non-linear relationship
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Quality Assurance Considerations (6)
- Significance - Purpose - Vulnerability to error - Complexity - Expectations of user - Legislative requirements
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Items considered before using another's person work (3)
- Qualification - Communication - Awareness
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Types of actuarial reports (4)
- External : Formal and Detailed (Narrow) - Internal : Depending on use (Wide) - Oral - Summary
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Subsequent Event Decision Tree
**If actuary become aware of event before calculation date** *Reflect event in work* **If actuary become aware between calculation and report date** - Reveal a calculation error ? If yes, *reflect in work* - When did it occur? On or before calculation date, *reflect in work* - Make entity different ? On or before, *reflect in work* - Purpose of work ? Report as it will be as a result of event, *reflect in work* - If nothing respected, *report event but do not reflect in work* **If actuary become aware after report date** - Would event have been reflected in work if it were a subsequent event ? If yes, *no action needed* - Does event invalidate report ? If yes, *Amend report and disclose it* - If nothing respected, *report event but do not reflect in work*
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Definition Subsequent Event
An event of which the actuary becomes aware after the calculation date but before the corresponding report data.
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Definition of Materiality
An **omission/over-statement or understatement** will materially affect **user's decision making or expectations**.
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Characteristics of company that affect materiality standards (5) * Which company between the 2 in the given scenario would have the greater materiality standards ? (More rigorous = More regulatory)
- **Size** Smaller companies should have smaller standard since less capital - **Type of business** Long tail and short tail are different - **Access to capital** - **Net Retention** - **Stage of organization's life cycle** Newer should have smaller standard
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Considerations disclosure of materiality level (3)
- Sophistication of user - Importance of concept of user - Complexity of concept
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Materiality Level / Standard - FCT vs Valuation Work
**FCT :** Larger standard. Less rigourous. Focused on trends and big picture solvency. Used in scenario testing **Valuation :** Smaller standard. More rigourous. Even small errors can misstate the balance sheet or income statement. Used in Financial Statement
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Financial metrics for materiality level for : - Regulation - Appraisal - Financial Statements
- Regulation : MCT Ratio, Regulatory Capital - Appraisal : Net income, Net worth - Financial Statements : Net income, Net Capital Reminder : While financial statements tell you what the company is worth on paper today (book value), an appraisal looks at the "total value," including the potential for future profits.
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Calculation : Net Income in Financial Statements
``` Net Investment Income = Insurance service result + Net Investment Result + Other Income and Expenses - Taxes (Current + Deferred) + Discontinued Operations ``` Reminder : Discontinued Operations refer to components of an insurer's business that the company has either already disposed of or has classified as "held for sale."
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Calculation : Investment Yield in Financial Statements
**Numerator** = 2 x (Investment Return + Share of Net Income Equity account invest) **Denominator** = Total Asset(x) + Total Asset(x-1) - Investment Return - Share of Net Income Equity account invest **Yield** = (Numerator / Denominator) x 100
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Accounting Principles : SAP vs GAAP - Objective - Intended User - Asset recognition - Deferred income taxes - Treatment reinsurance
**SAP (Statutory Accounting Principles) :** - Objective : Measure ability to pay claims - Intended User : Regulators - Asset recognition : When expense incurred - Deferred income taxes : Net - Treatment reinsurance : No **CGAAP (Canadian Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) :** - Objective : Measure earnings - Intended User : General Audience - Asset recognition : Defer matching with expense - Deferred income taxes : Gross - Treatment reinsurance : Yes
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Accounting Concepts : Fair value vs Historical Cost to value an asset
Fair Value : Record asset at a value that would be bought or sold for in open market Historical Cost : Record asset at the original purchase price less depreciation
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Accounting Concepts : Principle-based vs Rule-based system
Principle-based : Accounting concept that must be interpreted and applied. More flexible. Rule-based system : Accounting concept with strict rules that have to be followed. Easier to understand and audit.
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Accounting Concepts : Liquidation vs Going-concern basis
**Liquidation :** Accounting concept where elements are valued on a runoff (REGULATORS) to see if insurer is able to render obligation **Going concern :** Accounting concept where elements are valued on a normal and continued basis (INVESTORS)
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Definition of Commutation and Reason
An agreement between ceding insurer and reinsurer that provides valuation, payment and complete discharge of all obligations. Close with one payment. Reinsurer gives ceded claims back to original insurer. Reason : Reinsurer insolvency, desire to finally
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Commutations : - Advantages Insurer / reinsurer (4) - Disadvantage Insurer (2)
**Insurer advantages :** - Remove reinsurance credit risk - More efficient claim handling - Immediate cash flows - Decrease expense cost **Insurer disadvantages :** - Adverse development on claims - Capital requirements go up to support increased liability **Reinsurer advantages :** - Stability for long-tailed line - Decrease claims expense - Decrease UW leverage - Exit market quickly
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Definition of Contract Boundary
The contract boundary defines the cash flows that should be included when measuring the insurance liability arising from a contract.
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Risk Adjustment : Principles - Higher (4) - Lower (3) *Gives lines of business or stakeholders and ask which one would result in higher risk adjustment ?
**Should be higher for :** - Risks with less info - Low freq / High sev risk - Longer duration contracts (> 1 year) - Wide loss distribution risk **Should be lower for :** - Emerging experience - Pooling similar risk - Negatively correlated risk (will offset each other)
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Examples of material changes that peer reviewer must consider (3)
- System change - Valuation assumption change - Valuation method change
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Describe Windows & Walls approach for Solvency II
Gives windows for insurance regulators to look into group operations but maintains the walls at the statutory legal entity level (capital cannot be shared)
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CALCULATION : Regulatory Action under Solvency II - Solvency 2 Capital Requirement - Regulator Action
SCR = VAR at percentile 99,5% Boundaries for regulator action: Capital Available - Liabilities - Risk margin > - Solvency capital requirement -> IF BELOW, INTERVENTION - Minimum capital requirement -> IF NOT, CANNOT OPERATE
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Key elements that should be included in Climate Transition Plan (3)
- Metrics and targets for measuring progress - Alignment with business strategy - Assessment of achievability under different scenarios
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Things AA should comment on climate risk based on IAA (2)
- Regulatory and legal changes that can emerge rapidly over short time frames - New products and designs as well as industry developments
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What document are needed if a comprehensive reinsurance contract isn't signed by the effective date?
Summary documents that include: - Premium paid by cedant - % of risk assumed by reinsurer - Risk reinsured - Duration of coverage - Etc **Why would it not be signed ?** In the high-stakes world of reinsurance, the "effective date" often arrives before the lawyers have finished arguing over the fine print.
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Could the given scenario lead to the AA reporting with reservation in the financial statements ? (4)
1. **Consistent with IFRS 17 ?** 2. **Consistent with AAP ?** 3. **Similar to what AA would have chosen ?** 4. **Evaluate materiality** Diff scenario vs AA's estimate and if it falls in the Materiality Standard (Net Income, Equity)
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**IMPORTANT** LIC calculation (4)
**1. Undiscounted cash flows** **2. Discounted cash flows** **3. Risk Adjustment for non financial risk** - Capital Held = (Unpaid Losses / (Liability/Surplus)) * % Capital for non-financial risk - COC Rate = ROE after-tax/(1-tax rate) - Investment Income on Equity - Cost of Capital = Capital Held x Cost of Capital Rate - Discount the results and sum **4. LIC = PV(Cash Flows) + Risk Adjustment**
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The company has chosen to use the top-down method to determine a discount curve for the liability for incurred claims (LIC) of its personal auto insurance portfolio. Fully explain whether the company can use its own assets to derive this discount curve ? and for LRC of ins contract issued ? and for LRC of reinsurance contract held ?
Reminder : Top down approach use a yield on a reference porfolio of assets to calculate discount curve. Under the top-down method the reference portfolio must match the characteristics of the liabilities, including liquidity. - **LIC -> Illiquid** Once a claim happens, the "payout" is fixed by the accident/legal process. The policyholder cannot "cash out" their claim early or trade it. CANT USE OWN ASSET - **LRC for insurance contract issued -> Liquid** The policyholder has the "option" to take the money and leave, the liability is considered liquid. CAN USE OWN ASSET - **LRC for reinsurance contract held -> Liquid** Ceding company has the right to cancel the reinsurance treaty and receive a return of unearned premium.< CAN USE OWN ASSET
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Risk-attaching vs loss-occurring quota share treaty - Measurement method (PAA or GMA)
Entities can opt to use the PAA for **loss-occurring reinsurance contracts** where the coverage period can be easily defined as one year or less based on the contract’s effective date and expiry date. For 12-month **risk-attaching reinsurance treaties** covering underlying insurance contracts with terms of 12 months, the reinsurance coverage would usually span two loss occurrence years, assuming that underlying contracts are underwritten throughout the year.
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Appropriateness of using bootstrapping to determine RA ?
Support since this is a specialty company Produce results that more closely resemble what historical data of this company has shown can happen.
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States four factors that may differ between reference portfolio vs insurance contracts and describe
- **Liquidity** Fixed percentage of asset reference portfolio spread over risk-free rates and an additional constant adjustment to reflect the difference between the liquidity characteristics of the insurance contract and the asset reference portfolio. - **Investment Risk** - **Timing** Assess the consistency of the timing of payments between the assets in the reference portfolio and the insurance contract liabilities - **Currency Risk** Select a reference portfolio made up of investments denominated in the same currency as the insurance contracts
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State 1 advantage and 1 disadvantage of top-down method for determining discount curves.
**Advantage:** Does not require the explicit derivation of a liquidity premium **Disadvantage:** Complexity of the derivation of a reference portfolio rate and applicable adjustments.
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*** IMPORTANT *** Methods for selecting a discount rate (3) - Definition - Formula (practice excel)
**Bottom-up approach :** A liquid risk-free yield curve is adjusted to reflect the differences between the liquidity characteristics of market financial instruments and the liquidity characteristics of the insurance contracts. Discount Rate for each year = Risk-free rate + Liquidity Premium **Top-down approach :** The yield to maturity of a reference portfolio of assets is adjusted to eliminate any factors that are not relevant to insurance contracts. Discount Rate for each year = Reference portfolio - Credit Risk - Market Risk The reference portfolio must match the liquidity characteristics of insurance liabilities. **Hybrid/Combined approach :** The hybrid approach estimates the liquidity premium using a top-down approach. You then use this liquidity premium in the bottom-up approach to get the final selected discount rate.
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Describe the apriori assumption about future discount rates used to unwind discount under - Constant yield curve method - Spot rates method
**Constant yield curve method :** Using the same discount curve at the beginning and end of the period. It corresponds to the a priori assumption that the discount curve will remain the same at the end of the period. **Spot rates method :** Using an end of period discount curve that is equal to the beginning discount curve shifted by one period.
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***IMPORTANT*** What is a locked-in yield curve? When it is used ?
Locked-in yield curves refer to yield curves determined at the initial recognition of the group of contracts. Ex : Locked-in rate is the rate at the date the claim was incurred. **Locked-in yield curves would be used when:** - Entity uses PAA and there is a significant financing component
196
***IMPORTANT*** Steps to calculate insurance revenue
1. Calculate Revenue PAA Contract 2. Calculate Revenue GMA Contract 3. Calculate Revenue VFA Contract 4. Sum all revenue Equivalent of earned premium for each group You can also deduced the insurance revenue using the LRC formula. ``` LRC (end of period) = LRC (Opening) + Premium Received + Acquisition cash flows amortized - Acquisition cash flows paid - Insurance Revenue ```
197
***IMPORTANT*** Steps to calculate insurance service expense
Equivalent of incurred claims for each group ``` Insurance Service Expense = Claims Paid + Increase in LIC excl RA + Increase in RA + Acquisition Expenses Amortized - Increase in LIC excl RA related to IFE ```
198
***IMPORTANT*** Components of net expenses from reinsurance contract held
- Reinsurance Premium - Recoverables for reinsurance - Non performance risk of reinsurer Equivalent of earned premium for reinsurance
199
***IMPORTANT*** Steps to calculate insurance service result + Signification
``` Insurance service result = Total insurance revenue - Insurance service expenses + Net expenses from reinsurance contract held ``` The insurance service result, under IFRS 17, represents the net profit or loss from an insurer's underwriting activities.
200
***IMPORTANT*** Steps to calculate net insurance service result
Remove expense from reinsurance from insurance service result
201
**IMPORTANT** Calculate Liability for Remaining Coverage (LRC) balance for the policy at initial recognition
LRC at initial recognition = Premium received - Acquisition Cost
202
**IMPORTANT** Calculate the insurance revenue and Liability for Remaining Coverage (LRC) balance for the policy at end of year 1, 2, 3
``` LRC balance = LRC (start of period) + Premium received + Insurance Finance Expense - Acquisition CF amortized - Insurance Revenue - Investment Component for LIC ``` Where Insurance Service Expense = LRC at beginning * Discount Rate
203
**IMPORTANT** Identify considerations when estimating the risk of non-performance of a reinsurer. (4)
- **STRENGTH :** Financial strength of the reinsurers - **HISTORY :** History of claims / coverage disputes with reinsurers - **DELAYS :** Delays in payments and concentration risk - **LENGTH :** Length of time over liabilities are expected to be settled
204
**IMPORTANT** Describe Risk Adjustment for non financial risk Describe Risk Adjustment for reinsurance held How the cost of reinsurance can be used to determine the risk adjustment for reinsurance contracts held ?
**Risk Adjustment for non financial risk :** RA adjusts PV to reflect the compensation the entity requires for bearing uncertainty about the amount and timing of *cashflows* for non-financial risks. **Risk Adjustment for reinsurance held :** RA adjusts PV to reflect the compensation an entity requires for bearing uncertainty about amount and timing of *reinsurance cashflows* for non financial risk **How the cost of reinsurance can be used to determine the risk adjustment for reinsurance contracts held ?** The risk adjustment is directly related to the cost of reinsurance as its essentially the compensation an entity requires to relieve themselves of the risk. We can select a higher percentile using different methods.
205
**IMPORTANT** Compare 2 quota share treaties - Quota share with fixed ceded % - Quota share with variable ceded % based on - Accounting - Presence in income financial statement - Potential risk
**Fixed :** - Accounting : Simple, single ceded prem and loss for entire portfolio - Financial Statement : Shrinks entire portfolio by a fixed scale so all ratios are staying the same - Risk : Protected proportionally, if a specific class of business sucks, u are tied at a constant rate **Variable :** - Accounting : Complex. Require policy by policy accounting. Increase the risk of error and audit burden. - Financial Statement : Net result can be pretty different from gross since % change. Safer net income but higher ceded commission - Risk : Keep the best and ceded the rest. If anti selection, reinsurer will raise prices or cancel treaty
206
**IMPORTANT** Capital Available - Formula (including limits) - Common Equity components (8)
``` Capital Available = Common Equity + B + C + Non Controlling Interest +/- Regulatory Adjustment ``` **Apply Limits :** - B + C < 40% * (Total - AOCI) - C < 7% * (Total - AOCI) **Common Equity Component :** - Common Share - Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income - Nuclear And Other Reserve - Retained Earnings - Other Capital - Contributed Surplus - Share Premium - Residual Interest (Non-Stock)
207
**IMPORTANT** Capital Required - Formula
Capital Required = Insurance Risk + Credit Risk + Market Risk + Operational Risk - Diversification Credit *Be able to calculate each risk margin to get capital required
208
*** IMPORTANT *** Capital Required - Insurance Risk margin - Each component margin formulas (4)
``` Insurance Risk = LIC margin + Unexpired coverage including catastrophes + Unregistered reinsurance + Earthquake and Nuclear Catastrophes ``` **LIC MARGIN :** ``` Margin = 1,1 * Risk Factor * (Net LIC issued excl RA - AIC held excl RA) * If no reinsurance involved, AIC held = 0 ``` **UNEXPIRE COV MARGIN :** ``` Margin = Risk Factor * max (Net Unexpired Coverage, 30% * Net Premium received in past 12 months) ``` Where ``` Unexpired Coverage = (LRC excl LC + Unamortized reinsurance commission + Unamortized insurance acquisition cash flow + Premiums receivables) * ELR + Fixed administrative costs ``` **UNREGISTERED REINSURANCE :** ``` Margin = 20% * (A* + AIC + Cash Outflows fund withheld - Receivables) where A* = ARC for reinsurance + PAA LRC + GMM LRC - GMM ARC ``` **EARTHQUAKE COMPONENT :** ``` Margin = 1,25 * (Premium Reserve + Risk Exposure - Financial Resource) where Risk Exposure = (EAST PML500^1,5 + WEST PML500^1,5)^(1/1,5) Financial Resource = Capital/Surplus + Reinsurance Coverage + Premium Reserve + Capital Market Financing ``` **NUCLEAR COMPONENT :** ``` Margin = 1,25* (Premium Received - Premium Paid - Commission) ```
209
**IMPORTANT** Deduction for unregistered reinsurance from capital available or required (depending on +/-)
``` Deduction for unregistered reinsurance = ( A* + AIC (Adjustments for Insurance Contracts) + Cash Outflows fund withheld ) - ( Reinsurance Receivables + Non-owned Deposits RSA + Premiums payable non-owned deposit + Reinsurance Collateral + Letters of Credit (LIMITS = 30% * (A + B)) ) where A* = PAA LRC + (GMM LRC - GMM ARC for reinsurance) + ARC for reinsurance ```
210
What is the meaning of a factor of change for risk adjustment ?
Means the regulator wants your RA to be X% higher than what you reported in your IFRS 17 Risk Adjustment.
211
**IMPORTANT** Capital Required - Credit Risk margin - Each component margin formulas
``` Credit Risk = Balance Sheet Assets + Off-Balance Sheet Assets + Collaterals and Guarantees ``` ``` For each component, the margin = SUM (Risk Factor * Credit Conversion Factor * (Credit Equivalent Amount - Eligible Collateral)) for each asset. ```
212
*** IMPORTANT *** Capital Required - Market Risk margin - Each component margin formulas
``` Market Risk = Interest Rate Risk + Equity Risk + Right-of-use assets Risk (GIVEN) + Real Estate Risk + Foreign Exchange Risk + Other Market Risk (GIVEN) ``` **INTEREST RATE :** ``` Interest Rate Margin = | (Asset Duration x Rate Shock x Asset Value - Liability Duration x Rate Shock x Liability Value) | ``` *For each asset that are interest rate sensitive, multiply shock, duration and value and sum them. Same thing for liability *Rate Shock = 1,25% **EQUITY :** ``` Margin = 30% * (Common Shares + Joint Ventures + Futures + Forwards + Swaps) ``` **REAL ESTATE :** ``` Margin = Sum (Value of Property x Risk Factor) for each property ``` * Risk Factor Owner-Occupied Property = 10% * Risk Factor Investment Property = 20% **FOREIGN :** ``` Margin = 10% x max (Long Position; Short Position) ``` * Long Position = Foreign Assets - Foreign Liabilities
213
*** IMPORTANT *** Capital Required - Operational Risk margin - A and B formulas
``` Operation Risk = min (30% * (Insurance Risk + Market Risk + Credit Risk); A + B) A = Risk Factor * (Insurance Risk + Market Risk + Credit Risk) + Risk Factor * Direct Written Premium + Risk Factor * Premium Ceded + Risk Factor * Premium Assumed + Risk Factor * Growth above 20% * (Direct Premium + Assumed Premium) / (1 + Growth) B = Risk Factor * Assumed WP intra-group pooling + Risk Factor * Ceded WP intra-group pooling ```
214
**IMPORTANT** Capital Required - Diversification Credit formula
``` Diversification Credit = Insurance Risk + Market Risk + Credit Risk - SQT ( Insurance Risk ^2 + (Market Risk + Credit Risk)^2 + 2 * Conversion Factor * Insurance Risk * Asset Risk ) ```
215
Complete the blanks : **Scope** I have examined the policy liabilities of [Company Name] for its consolidated balance sheet as at December 31, 202X, and their changes in the consolidated statement of income for the year then ended. My examination included the insurance contract liabilities and reinsurance contract assets, including the Liability for Incurred Claims (LIC) and the Liability for Remaining Coverage (LRC). I have also examined the related _________________ in the notes to the financial statements. **Data and Methodology** I have relied upon data provided by the Company and have performed such tests as I considered necessary to satisfy myself as to the ____________________ of the data used in the valuation. The valuation conforms to ____________________ in Canada, which includes the selection of appropriate assumptions and methods and the consideration of materiality. **Opinion** In my opinion: The data are _________________ for the purpose of the valuation; The methods and assumptions used are appropriate to ________________ of the Company and the insurance and reinsurance contracts; and The amount of policy liabilities, as determined in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standard 17 (IFRS 17), makes appropriate provision for all _________________ and is appropriate for inclusion in the __________________. [Signature] [Actuary's Name], FCIA Appointed Actuary [Date of Report]
**Scope** I have examined the policy liabilities of [Company Name] for its consolidated balance sheet as at December 31, 202X, and their changes in the consolidated statement of income for the year then ended. My examination included the insurance contract liabilities and reinsurance contract assets, including the Liability for Incurred Claims (LIC) and the Liability for Remaining Coverage (LRC). I have also examined the related **disclosures** in the notes to the financial statements. **Data and Methodology** I have relied upon data provided by the Company and have performed such tests as I considered necessary to satisfy myself as to the **accuracy and completeness** of the data used in the valuation. The valuation conforms to **accepted actuarial practice** in Canada, which includes the selection of appropriate assumptions and methods and the consideration of materiality. **Opinion** In my opinion: The data are **sufficient and reliable** for the purpose of the valuation; The methods and assumptions used are appropriate to **the circumstances** of the Company and the insurance and reinsurance contracts; and The amount of policy liabilities, as determined in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standard 17 (IFRS 17), makes appropriate provision for all **policy obligations** and is appropriate for inclusion in the **financial statements**. [Signature] [Actuary's Name], FCIA Appointed Actuary [Date of Report]
216
**IMPORTANT** Calculate Insurance Finance Expense
Increase in LIC based on interest accretion and change in discount rates
217
**IMPORTANT** Calculate Net Insurance Service Ratio
Insurance Service Expense + Net Expense from Reinsurance Contracts Held / Total Insurance Revenue + Allocation of reinsurance premiums This ratio measures the combined cost of claims, expenses and reinsurance expense relative to net premium earned. (Underwriting performance)
218
**IMPORTANT** Describe how the risk adjustment as a percentage of PV CF would differ between gross and ceded under: - A quota share treaty - Excess of loss treaty covering losses above a fixed dollar threshold
**Quota Share :** The % would be the same between gross and ceded, since ceded would be a % of gross cash flow **Excess of loss:** The risk adjustment % would be higher for the ceded compared to gross, since the excess of loss treaty would have higher volatility for the ceded portion
219
**IMPORTANT** Contrast the General Measurement Approach (GMA) and the PAA with respect to each of the following: - when a quantitative onerous contract test is required - How insurance revenue is determined
**For GMA** For GMA, a quantitative onerous contract test is always required. Determination of insurance revenue may need to take into account of the expected patterns of premiums, claims, and how CSM is amortized over the period. **For PAA** For PAA, the quantitative onerous contract test is only required if the qualitative test of facts and circumstances indicate that the group of contracts is likely to be onerous Determination of insurance revenue can be either based on passage of time or the expected pattern of ISE.
220
Difference between the CSM for insurance contracts issued and the CSM for reinsurance contracts held (1)
CSM for reinsurance can be positive or negative CSM for insurance can only be positive
221
Excess (Deficiency) amount of unpaid claims during CY XXXX for AY XXXX-1 and prior
``` Excess (Deficiency) = Undiscounted unpaid for AY XXXX-1 and prior for CY XXXX-1 - Undiscounted unpaid for AY XXXX-1 and prior for CY XXXX - Paid claims in CY XXXX for priors AYs ```
222
Provide a recommendation on the selection of a reinsurer based on financial ratios. (4)
- **ROE =** Net Income / Average Equity > 5,4% to be good - **ROA =** Net Income / Average Assets > 2,6% to be good - **ROR =** (UW Income + Investment Income + Income from subs) / Gross WP > 6,2% to be good - **Net UW Leverage Ratio =** Net Premium Written / Equity < 300%
223
Disclosure requirements related to the RA (2)
- Disclosure of the confidence level corresponding to the reported RA - The actuary needs a secondary method to quantify the confidence level corresponding to the RA (such as quantile method)
224
Describe two key principles in the determination of the coverage unit to use for the recognition of the CSM in profit and loss in a reporting period.
**Key principle #1** Optional to use discounting. If used, based on judgment, but applied consistently. **Key principle #2** Not be based on expected claims or release of risk adjustment Is related to the amount that can be claimed by the policyholder.
225
Calculate Adjusted Equity
``` Adj Equity = Equity - Non-Controlling Interest - Catastrophes Reserve - Unregistered Reinsurance ```
226
Calculate Agents and Brokers Balances Due From Subs and Associates as a % of Adjusted Equity
Ratio = (Receivables Agents/Brokers + Receivables Subs/Associates) / Adjusted Equity
227
Calculate Claims Development as a % of Adjusted Equity
Ratio = Excess (Deficiency) / Adjusted Equity
228
Margin % for MCT Capital Required by risk - LIC - Unexpired Coverage - Unregistered Reins - Nuclear + Earthquake Reserve - Equity - Real Estate - Foreign Exchange
**Insurance Risk:** - LIC = 1,1 * Risk Factor - Unexpired Coverage = Risk Factor - Unregistered Reins = 20% - Nuclear + Earthquake Reserve = 1,25 **Market Risk:** - Interest Rate = No risk factor - Equity = 30% - Real Estate = 10% (Owner-Occupied) / 20% (Investment Property) - Foreign Exchange = 10%
229
Briefly describe whether an explicit risk adjustment calculation is required for the liability for remaining coverage (LRC) under premium allocation approach (PAA).
For an entity using PAA, an explicit RA calculation for the LRC is not required for financial reporting purposes for groups that are not deemed onerous.
230
Discuss the circumstances leading to the recognition of a significant financing component with regards to the policy characteristics and the benefits to the parties that are part of the insurance transaction.
A significant financing component is recognized because the policy premium is received by the entity more than a year prior to the service being provided. The transaction thus benefits the entity as the policyholder finances the entity's activities by the pre-payment of the premium.