Prediction?
Signs of eruption detected in January:
Rapid expansion of the Earth’s crust and deformation.
3000 small earthquakes.
ICP warning system.
Monitoring?
Icelandic Meteorological Office: Seismometers and satellites
Preparation?
Hazard assessment plan
2006- full scale evacuation exercise
500+ evacuated from area in early March
Primary impacts?
5-10 km eruption plume of ash.
Glacial floods- roads washed away and 700 people evacuated.
Secondary impacts?
Ash cloud spread to Europe: 48% air traffic grounded for 8 days. 1.3 billion euro losses.
Jökulhaup river swelled to 100x normal capacity.