Odds ratio
An estimate of RR when you can’t calculate risk
Odds of event in exposure group
OVER
Odds of event in control group
Meaning of OR or RR > 1
Exposure assoc with higher odds of outcome
Meaning of OR or RR = 1
Exposure doesn’t affect odds of outcome
Meaning of OR or RR < 1
Exposure assoc with lower likelihood of outcome
Relative risk
AKA risk ratio
Risk of events in exposure group
OVER
Risk of events in control group
Odds
Events in a group
OVER
Nonevents in the group
*similar to risk for rare events
Risk
= probability
Events in a group
OVER
Total number in the group
Relative risk reduction
1 - RR
Absolute risk reduction
Risk in control group
MINUS
Risk in exposure group
Number needed to treat
1 / ARR
P value
The likelihood that the difference between groups was due to chance
Significant P value
<0.05 (the smaller the better)
Prevalence
Existing cases at a particular time point. Expressed as a proportion or percentage
Incidence
Number of new cases in a population over a time interval. Expressed as a rate
Sensitivity
True positive
OVER
Disease positive (True pos + False neg)
A sensitive test is very good at detecting the disease.
SNOUT - a SeNsitive test when Negative rules OUT
Specificity
True negative
OVER
Disease negative (True neg + False pos)
A specific test tends not to give many false positives
SPIN - a SPecific test when Positive rules IN
PPV
True positive
OVER
Test positive (Tru pos + False pos)
NPV
True negative
OVER
Test negative (True neg + false neg)