Environmental scanning
Identify and anticipate PTOs (potential problems, threats, and opportunities)
- external environment: competitors, economy
- internal environment: strategy, tech, culture
Labour demand forecast
Project how business needs will effect HR needs
- qualitative method: Delphi, expert
- quantitative method: trend analysis, regression analysis
Labour supply forecast
Project resource availability from internal and external sources
Trend or ratio analysis
Regression analysis
Presupposes that a linear relationship between one or more variables
Skills inventory
What do employees look like in terms of skills and qualifications (basically the KSAOs of current employees)
Replacement chart
Shows 2-3 potential candidates for positions of interest. Shows things like:
- age (important for retirement)
- performance grade
- are they ready for a promotion
Things to consider with promoting/ replacing employees
Markov’s model
Forecasting model that uses rates of movement between various jobs levels based on historical patterns. Uses five options for movement of an employee:
- stay in current job
- promotion
- lateral transfer
- exit (all kinds)
- demotion
Calculating movement of employees in Markov model
Expected movement= initial staff x transition rate
Shortage or surplus= initial staff- predicted number of staff
Gap analysis
Reconcile surplus or shortage of labour
Action programming
Implement recommended solution based on gap analysis
Control and evaluation
Monitor effects of HRP by defining critical criteria
Factors of labour supply forecast
Succession planning/ management
Process of ensuring a pool of qualified employees are trained and available to meet strategic objectives of the company (I.e., for positions company heavily relies on)
- difference from replacement process: aimed specifically at key positions (C suite and management)
Why promote from within?
Promote from within
- insider knowledge (mission, vision, values, operations)
- reduce spending on recruitment
- employees know they have a future at the company
- retention strategy
- shorter adaptation period
- train and develop employees to company specifications
What use outsiders for succession planning?
Receptive externally
- reduce homogeneity (new ideas)
- change culture and habits
- reduce internal politicking and infighting
- there might not be qualified candidates internally
- supports a turnaround strategy
Succession management steps
1 align succession plans with strategy
2 decide who does assessment
(Ex. Committee of stakeholders)
3 identify required competencies
4 identify internal candidates with potential
5 develop potential candidates
6 evaluation and selection
Development activities
70/20/10 model for career development
70% hands on job experience
20% mentoring and coaching
10% formal training and education
Relay (succession management)
Retiree passes job to designated successor
-pro: focus resources on single candidate
- con: if the candidate doesn’t work out there is uncertainty
Horse race
Develop a pool people (focus developmental efforts on all candidates)
- pros: more than one candidate (in case one doesn’t work out), people know they can grow in the company
- cons: more expensive, don’t know who will be in the position until the end
When do you use relay succession?
When do you use horse race succession planning?