Final Exam Flashcards

(74 cards)

1
Q

Regression

A

Statistical model predicting outcome Y from predictors X.

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2
Q

Multiple Regression

A

Uses two or more predictors to explain variance in Y.

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3
Q

Unstandardised Coefficient (b)

A

Change in Y (in its units) per one unit of X.

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4
Q

Standardised Coefficient (β)

A

Change in Y (in SD units) per one SD of X.

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5
Q

Intercept (b■)

A

Expected value of Y when all Xs = 0.

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6
Q

Residual (ε)

A

Difference between observed and predicted Y.

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7
Q

Assumptions

A

LINE — Linearity, Independence, Normality, Equality of variance.

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8
Q

Violation Effects

A

Reduce precision, widen confidence intervals.

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9
Q

T-tests and Regression

A

t = b / SE, t-tests are special cases of regression.

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10
Q

Model equation

A

Y = b■ + b■X■ + b■X■ + … + ε

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11
Q

A

Proportion of variance in Y explained by predictors.

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12
Q

Goal of R²

A

Identify unique contribution of each predictor to Y.

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13
Q

ANOVA

A

Compares means across groups; extension of regression for categorical predictors.

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14
Q

Sums of Squares SST:

A

SST: Total variance in data.

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15
Q

Sums of Squares SSM (Model):

A

SSM (Model): Variance explained by group means.

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16
Q

Sums of Squares SSR (Residual)

A

SSR (Residual): Variance not explained (error).

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17
Q

A

SSM / SST; variance explained by predictors.

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18
Q

F-Test

A

Ratio of model variance to residual variance; tests overall model fit.

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19
Q

η² (Eta Squared)

A

Proportion of variance in Y explained by group membership.

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20
Q

df■ (Between Groups)

A

k – 1

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21
Q

p-value

A

Probability of data given null hypothesis (H■).

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22
Q

Null Hypothesis

A

Assumes no group difference or association.

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23
Q

NHST
Null Hypothesis Significance testing

A

Combines Fisher’s evidence and Neyman–Pearson decision traditions.

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24
Q

Statistical Significance

A

Arbitrary threshold (usually α = .05).

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25
Type I Error
False positive (rejecting true null).
26
Type II Error
False negative (failing to reject false null).
27
Effect Size
Quantifies magnitude of effect (independent of sample size).
28
Confidence Interval
Range of plausible values for a parameter.
29
Key Idea
Interpret p-values with effect size, CIs, and context.
30
Causal Criteria
Covariance, Temporal Precedence, Internal Validity.
31
Cross-sectional Design
Measures variables once; cannot infer causality.
32
Longitudinal Design
Measures same variables repeatedly over time.
33
Cross-lag Correlation
Tests if earlier X predicts later Y.
34
Autocorrelation
Correlation of variable with itself across time.
35
Statistical Control
Using multiple regression to adjust for third variables.
36
Mediation
X affects Y through mediator M (explains why).
37
Moderation
Effect of X on Y depends on moderator Z (explains when/for whom).
38
Confound
Variable influencing both X and Y, distorting true effect.
39
Path Diagram
Visual map of hypothesised causal relations.
40
Purpose of correlational approaches to causal claims
Illustrate theory, test mechanisms, clarify assumptions.
41
Path Diagrams (DAGs)
Depict causal assumptions; plan before data collection.
42
Bailey et al. (2024) Four Common Problems
1. Vague Research Questions – unclear cause/effect. 2. Missing Confounds – unmeasured variables affecting X and Y. 3. Over-Control – controlling for mediators or colliders 4. Fat-Handed Interventions – manipulations changing multiple factors.
43
Collider
Variable influenced by both X and Y; controlling for it induces spurious correlation.
44
Over-Control Problem
Removing causal pathway of interest.
45
Under-Control Problem
Failing to account for confounds.
46
Research Specificity
Clear cause, effect, population, and timing.
47
Responsible Causal Claims
Transparent assumptions, measured confounds.
48
True Experiment
Manipulation of IV, random assignment, and control group.
49
Random Assignment
Equalises groups, reduces confounds.
50
Manipulation
Establishes temporal precedence.
51
Control Group
Provides baseline for comparison.
52
Between-Subjects Design
Different participants per condition.
53
Within-Subjects Design
Same participants in all conditions (counterbalanced).
54
Research Design Notation (R,X,O)
R = Random assignment, X = Treatment, O = Observation. EX. R: O■ X O■ / R: O■ – O■
55
Threats to Internal Validity
Selection Bias: Pre-existing group differences. Maturation: Natural change over time. History: Events outside study influence results. Testing Effects: Measurement alters behaviour.
56
Prevention of Threats to internal validity
Random assignment and control groups.
57
Regression to the Mean (RTM)
Extreme scores move toward the mean on retest.
58
Mechanism for RTM
Observed score = True score + Random error.
59
Threats to RTM
Creates illusion of treatment effect after selecting extreme cases.
60
Prevention of threats to RTM
Use control groups equally extreme at baseline.
61
Control Group Purpose for RTM
Distinguishes real change from statistical artifact.
62
Key Message of RTM
RTM is universal; interpret changes cautiously.
63
Quasi-Experiment
No random assignment; still aims for causal inference.
64
Quasi-IV
Naturally occurring variable (e.g., policy, group status).
65
Common Designs of Quasi-IV
1. Posttest-only Nonequivalent Groups: X O / – O 2. Pretest–Posttest Nonequivalent Groups: O X O / O – O 3. Interrupted Time Series: O O O X O O O
66
Threats to Quasi-IV
Selection effects, history, testing, maturation.
67
Small-N Designs
Intensive designs with few participants.
68
Stable Baseline
Repeated baseline before treatment.
69
Multiple Baseline
Staggered interventions across people/behaviours.
70
Reversal (ABA)
Apply and remove treatment to observe pattern.
71
Internal Validity
Strong via repeated measures, control, replication.
72
External Validity
Context-dependent; triangulate with other studies.
73
Epistemic Humility
Evidence is conditional; causal inference has limits.
74
Responsible Research
Transparent, ethical, open, replicable.