Exponential Smoothing with trend adjustment
Initialization
trend line time series
ao = yo - (1 - alpha / alpha) x bo
Exponential Smoothing with trend adjustment
Update level demand
trend line time series
at = alpha x yt + (1-alpha) x (at-1)
Exponential smoothing with adjusted trend line
update trend
trend line time series
bt = alpha x (at - at-1) + (1-alpha) x bt-1
Exponential Smoothing with trend line adjustment
Forecast
trend line time series
Pt + tau = at + bt x (1-alpha)/alpha + tau x bt
Exponential Smoothing
Forecast
level demand trend series
Pt = alpha x yt + (1-alpha) x Pt-1
Procedure of Silver Meal Heuristic
Procedure of Wagner/Within Algorithm