What is prevalence?
What is it affected by?
What is point prevalence?
Number of current cases at a given moment.
Increased by prolonging lives of sufferers.
Decreased by cures and deaths.
No of sufferers/No at risk
What is the crude death rate?
What is the age-specific death rate?
No of deaths per 1000 population
No of deaths per 1000 in an age group
What are the four disadvantages of case controlled studies?
What is the incidence?
How do you calculate the incidence rate?
No. of new cases in a given time
Rate=number of new cases/person-years
Person-years=Number of people observed x Number of years observed
What three things can apparent associations results from?
-Chance
-Bias:
Selction, Information
-Confounders
What are Confidence Intervals?
How do you calculate them?
Values you can be 95% sure the true value lies between.
What are the 6 uses of mortality data?
State and define the fertility determinants
What is fertility increased and decreased by?
Fecundity - Physical ability to reproduces
Fertility - Realisation of fecundity
Conceptions - Liver births + miscarriages + abortions
Increased by sexual activity + economic climate
Decreased by contraception and abortions
What is publication bias?
Studies with significant/favourable results are more likely to be published
What are the disadvantages of using historical controls? (3)
What are population estimates?
Applying what’s known abouts births, deaths and migrations to the present population
What are the characteristics of the ideal outcome? (12, but divide into 6 groups of two)
Appropriate: to patient, clinician, society
Valid: reasonably linked to treatments compared
Specific
Reliable: different people in different settings with same results
Simple and sustainable: repeatable
Cheap and timely: not expensive or long
What are the four advantages of case-controlled?
What is the paradox of the commons, you sexy beast?
The principal that the optimum stratagey from an individual is not the optimum strategy for the community?
Why are there losses to follow up in studies?
How can they be minimised? (four)
Clinical condition may necessitate removal or may choose to leave
What are the three types of data?
Binary exposure
Several categories
Continuous
What is a case controlled study?
Classify on the basis of disease and the compare exposure status
What three factors contribute to population size?
Births, deaths and migration
What are the three types of blinding?
What are its benefits?
What are its difficulties?
Single, double and triple
Avoids bias
Surgery, lifestyle interventions
What are observed quantities?
What is random variation?
What is affected by random variation to produce observed quantities?
Values that depart from their true value via random variation e.g. incidence, prevalence
Fluctuations in disease patterns that can’t be explained by systematic causes
True underlying tendencies
What is systematic variation?
How can it be used?
What is the problem with it?
Risk varies systematically throughout population
Can give clues as to cause of disesae
Can confound relationships between 2 variables
What are the seven disadvantages to cohort studies?
Really Tired Elephants Share Ears with Randy Creeps
Resource intensive Time consuming Expensive Risk of high number of loss --> Survivor bias Ethical dilemmas Can't study rare diseases Difficulty with confounding variable
What is the problem with incidence and prevalence?
They assume that all members of a population run the same rish, which they don’t
Why use random allocation when designing studies?
Minimise selection biase and confounders