Macroeconomics
Models
Long-run growth
The increase in a nation’s productive capacity and average standard of living that occurs over a long period of time
Business cycles
The short-run ups and downs in aggregate economic activity
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
When it useful to take the natural logarithm of the time series
When the slope of the graph is close to the growth rate
Business cycle component
The deviations from a smooth trend fit to the data
Macroeconomic models
Basic structure of a macroeconomic model is a description of the following features
Additional features of the model required to make economic predictions
- How consistency is achieved in terms of the actions of consumers and producers (The economy must be in equilibrium)
Competitive equilibrium
Assume goods are bought and sold on markets in which consumers and firms are price takers
What do we learn from macroeconomic analysis
Aggregate Productivity
Important both in explaining business cycles, and in explaining long run growth in standards of living.
Unemployment and vacancies
Taxes, Government Spending and the Government deficit
Inflation rate
- In much of the world inflation is deemed to be too low
Interest rates
Credit markets and the financial crisis
Credit market imperfections
The current account surplus
This need not be a bad thing, as a current account deficit allows a country to smooth its consumption relative to its income and can permit investment in plant and equipment that can be used to produce more in the future.