Adapting conservation strategies & management for climate change is critical
Conservation strategies include (3)
Conservation strategies include:
Protected Areas
Connectivity and conservation on productive lands
Species management (e.g. translocations, rescue)
What is the problem with using protected areas as a conservation strategy?
Problem with Protected Areas:
The boundaries are fixed!
BUT species ranges are dynamic!
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
Climate change can result in
Range shifts out of protected areas
Range shifts into protected areas
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
_______ ______ matters
Rear edge matters!
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
Why does the rear edge matter?
The rear edge mattes because
Most stable in ice age cycles
Acted as refuge in past cold periods
Have highest genetic richness
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
Describe an example of rear edge.
Cold-sensitive, drought tolerant species!
Long term warming; rear edge populations at risk
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
Aside from rear edge, what is another aspect that matters when considering protected areas?
Metapopulation range shift with respect to a protected area
Area of Occupancy (AO)
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
Protected areas are most efficient when they…
Maximize suitable habitat for species now
Account for impacts of climate change in future
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
Multiple protected areas
1000+ species will move out of reserves by 2050
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
What can be done to reverse this trend of species moving out of reserves?
Adding more reserves can reverse this trend!
Setting up more than one protected area
*lots of SDMs being run to see where species are moving
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
Multiple protected areas
What makes it hard to pick which areas to protect multiple species at once?
Because species respond to climate change differently
Protected Areas and Range Shifts
T or F: All species move in the direction that we predict.
False: Not all species move in the direction that we predict.
Protected-Area System Design
Designing protected area systems for climate change is part of _______ ____ _______
Designing protected area systems for climate change is part of plan for persistence
Protected-Area System Design
Plans need to include:
Pattern and process targets
Protected-Area System Design
Plans need to include pattern and process targets.
What are pattern targets?
Pattern targets - species/habitat types that preserve the pattern of the landscape
Protected-Area System Design
Plans need to include pattern and process targets.
What are process targets?
Process targets - capture temporal phenomena
Protected-Area System Design
What is the key driver for cost-effective planning?
Irreplaceability is a key driver for cost-effective planning.
Protected-Area System Design
What are irreplaceable sites?
Species are endemic to that site.
Protected-Area System Design
Picking sites for high irreplaceability (increases or decreases) the area needed within the system.
Picking sites for high irreplaceability DECREASES the area needed within the system.
Protected-Area System Design
Climate change impacts ____ and ____
Climate change impacts PATTERN and PROCESS
Pattern impacts = species distribution patterns altered, endemism can shift, patterns of irreplaceability can be impacted
Process impacts = changes in phenology
If an endemic is found in a site and this species is found nowhere else, then how irreplaceable is this site.
100% irreplaceable
Planning for Persistence
Two things to account for planning for persistence (R and R)
Resistance and Resilience
Planning for Persistence
Resistance and Resilience
What is a resistant species/site?
Resistant species or sites are less damaged by climate change
i. e. species with broad physiological tolerances
i. e. sites that are sheltered in unique microclimates
Planning for Persistence
Resistance and Resilience
What is a resilient species/site?
Resilient species or sites recover well from damage
i. e. species with high reproductive potential or good dispersal ability
i. e. sites that have high seed rain that allows plants to re-establish easily