What are the most common types of statistical inference?
- Confidence intervals
The _____ the sample size = the smaller the variance
larger
The smaller the variance, the more ______ the sample is
accurate
T or F: If the original population is itself normally distributed then the sample means will be normally distributed for any size sample
True
What is the purpose of the Central Limit Theorem ?
What do we use to describe the variability of individual observations?
standard deviation
What do we use to describe the variability of a sampling distribution ?
standard deviation of the sampling distribution of means (the standard error of the mean)
sem
What is the formula for sem ?
sem = SD / square root (n)
For ____ distributions, the mu +/- SD contains 68.26% of the observations
normal
For _____ distributions, the mean +/- sem contains 68.26% of the observations
sampling
As the sample means are normally distributed, we can define a ______ ______ (limits); a range of values used to estimate the true value of the population parameter
confidence interval
For a 90% confidence interval, what is alpha ?
0.1
For a 99% confidence interval, what is alpha ?
0.01
For a 95% confidence interval, what is alpha ?
0.05
What happens when we decrease alpha ?
increase our confidence but reduce our precision (widen the CI)
How do you find 95% CI for for a sampling distribution?
x +/- 1.96(sem)
sem = SD/square root of n
What are our assumptions for confidence intervals?
1) Random sampling - If the sample is biased our conclusions are not valid
2) Independent observations - If this assumption is violated, confidence intervals cannot be obtained.
ex. we do a pop quiz, other kids do a pop quiz later = independent
ex. we do a pop quiz on Tues and then do the same pop quiz on Thurs = not independent
3) Sampling from a normal population - We know that if the population is not normal, CI can still be obtained. From central limit theorem we know that if we have a large enough sample size we compensate for non-normal population.
What is the formula for degrees of freedom?
df = n - 1
so 21 subjects would have a df of 20
Describe the steps in hypothesis testing
1) State the null hypothesis: Any differences in the data are due to chance
2) State the alternative hypothesis: Any differences in the data are real or significant
3) Set the decision level, alpha: Hypothesis testing involves establishing P(H0 true). If this is very small we may reject H0. By convention, small means P < alpha with alpha=0.05
4) Choose the test statistic
5) Calculate P(H0 true): That is, assume H0 is true and calculate the probability of the outcome of the investigation being due to chance alone (due to random effects); we use an appropriate sampling distribution for this calculation
6) Make a decision concerning H0: It follows that if we reject H0 we are in a position to accept Ha as the logical alternative
P(H0 is true) < 0.05; reject H0
P(H0 is true) > 0.05; retain H0
What way do you round degrees of freedom ?
Round down
One sample t test, you are comparing it to the ____
mean
Two sample t test, you are comparing them to ____ ____
each other