Monetary Policy
A type of demand-side polcies by central banks in which ineterst rates, exchange rates and money supply is manipulated to affect AD. Main purpose is the maintain long term price stability by decreasing fluctuations in the bsuiness cycle.
Use of central Bank
Why you CANNOT use all three monetary tools at once RWE
japan 1990 - CONCEPT INTERDEPENDENCE
- interest rates near zero = government increased money supply by buying bonds & assets
- NO INTEREST MANIPULATIOn = near zero, so wouldn’t stimulate demans
- NO EXCHANGE RATE MANIPULATION = Would conflict with Quantitative Easing inflation goals
=> Interest rates remained nea ´r zero until 2024 => central banks fix 1 problem at a time
open Market operations - Quantitative easing
Expansionary: Government buys its own bonds back from consumers to increase money supply in the economy and therefore increase investment and consumption
Contractionary: Government sells its bonds and pays interest to those who buy them to tie up their money as savings in bonds = decrease moeny supply = decrease C & I = decrease AD
Monetary policy - Interests
Expansionary Monetary policy
If inflation is below target objective
1- Decrease interest rates
2. decreased rewrad for saving = less incentive to save = take money out bankl to spend instead
3. decreased cost of borrowing = more likely to take loans = more capital investment
Monetary policy - Interests
Contractionary Monetary Policy
If inflation is too high above target
1. Increase interest rates
2. higher cost for borrowing = less loans = lesss spending
3. higher reward for saving = increase incentve to save and earn interest on money & accumulate welath = decreased spending
How interest rates are determined
Money Supply Diagram with perfectly inelasic supply of money & elastic demand for money (Interest rate vs quantity of money)
1) Supply of money is FIXED and doe snot depend on interest rates
2) if supply of money falls = scarcity of money supply
3) Cost of borrowing will go up = demand for money will go down
4) Interest rates will rise
Limitations of monetary policies
2) Lower interest is inefficient in recession
=> people wont spend more anyway due to low confidence
3) Success is limited by accuracy of predictions for future
=> limited by time lag, incremental adjustments, shocks like civil war
4) credibility of central bank based on political dependence
=> central bank is supposed to be idnependent of government
=> only efficient if independent & public trusts their operations = can affect public spending behaviour properly & manage expectations
5) ineffective for cost-push inflation /SRAS)
=> does not tackle root cuase = PL will always increase
=> trade off & opportunity cost inflation vs Growth => WILL NOT tackle macro objectives
6) cannot be specifically targeted
=> blunt instrument & doe snot promote particular industries
=> income inequality sinc elower income individuals are unlikely to take loans as they cannot pay back
Advantages of monetary policy over fiscal policy
Who/what does monetary poliy affect
LOW INTERESTS
* household dept and credit payables = lower monthly payment
* disposable income
* exchange range (lower interest=higher money supply= lower worth of currency=depreciation)
* affordable loans for hosues
* more government budget as less inetrests are paid on gov bonds
Contractionary monetary policy diagram
Eliminates inflationary gap/ POG
expansionary monetary policy diagram
aims to eliminate recessionary gap by shifting Ad out /eliminates NOG
3 ways monetary policy targets money supply
Reserve requirement ratio adjustment
=> percentage of commercial bank deposits taht it CAnNOT lend out
=> ↑RRR = less loans lent out= ↓Money supply
Discount rate adjustment
=> rate at which commercial banks borrow from central banks
Open market operations through quantitatve easing