Other equations Flashcards

(46 cards)

1
Q

Price of security (ignoring tax)

A

P = Da(p):<n> + Rv^n</n>

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2
Q

Price of security (allowing for income tax)

A

P’ = D(1 - t1)a(p):<n> + Rv^n</n>

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3
Q

Price of security (allowing for income and capital gains tax)

A

P’ = D(1 - t1)a(p):<n> + Rv^n - t2*(R - P'')*v^n</n>

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4
Q

Capital gains test

A

i(p) > (D / R) * (1 - t1) capital gain
< capital loss
= price is equal to the redemption payment

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5
Q

Price of equity immediately after dividend of D has been paid

A

P = D(1 + g) / (i - g) where g is the constant annual rate the annual dividends are expected to increase by

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6
Q

Equation of value for property

A

P = sum(k=1, infinity)[(1/m) * D:(k/m) * v^(k/m)] where (1/m)*D:(k/m) is the rental income at time k/m

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7
Q

Real rate of interest after allowing for inflation

A

i’ = (i - j) / (1 + j) ~= i - j
where i’ is the real rate, i the money rate, and j the effect of inflation

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8
Q

Equation of value for an index-linked bond

A

P = sum(k=1, 2n)[(D/2) * (Q(k/2) / Q(0)) * (v:i)^(k/2) + R * (Q(n) /Q(0)) * (v:i)^n
where Q(t) is the index value at time t, D the nominal annual coupon payable half-yearly in arrears, and R the nominal redemption payment

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9
Q

Relationship between forward rates of interest and spot rates

A

(1 + f:t,r)^r = [(1 + y:t+r)^(t+r)] / [(1 + y:t)^t] = P:t / P:t+r
where the discrete-time forward rate is agreed at time 0 for an investment made at time t > 0 for a period of r years, and P:t denotes the price at issue of a unit zero-coupon bond with term t years.

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10
Q

Volatility

A

nu(i) = - A’ / A where A = sum(k=1, n)[C:k * v^t:k]

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11
Q

DMT

A

tau(i) = (1 + i) * volatility

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12
Q

Convexity

A

c(i) = A’’ / A

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13
Q

Redington’s conditions

A
  1. V(i0):A = V(i0):L i.e. PV(assets) = PV(liabilities)
  2. V’(i0):A = V’(i0):L i.e. volatility(assets) = volatility(liabilities) or DMT(assets) = DMT(liabilities)
  3. V’‘(i0):A > V’‘(i0):L i.e. convexity(assets) > convexity(liabilities)
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14
Q

Force of mortality: tqx

A

tqx = int(0,t)[spx * mu:x+s ds]

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15
Q

Force of mortality: tpx

A

tpx = exp{-int(0,t)[mu:x+s ds]}

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16
Q

Gross premiums

A

EPV of premiums = EPV of benefits + EPV of expenses (+ EPV profit)

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17
Q

Gross premium prospective reserves

A

EPV of future benefits + EPV of future expenses - EPV of future premiums

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18
Q

Retrospective accumulation of a t-year payment stream

A

(AV):t = {EPV of the payments as at the start of the t years} * [(1 + i)^t / tpx]

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19
Q

Gross premium retrospective reserves

A

Retrospective accumulation of (past premiums - past benefits and expenses)

20
Q

Recursive formula for reserves

A

(tV + G - e)(1 + i) - q:(x+t) * (S + f) = p:(x+t) * (t+1)V’

20
Q

Profit between policy durations

A

PRO:t = (tV + G - e)(1 + i) - q:(x+t) * (S + f) - p:(x+t) * (t+1)V’

21
Q

Net premium reserves for without-profit contracts

A

tV:x:<n> = A:(x+t):<n-t> - P:x:<n> * adue:(x+t):<n-t> = 1 - [adue:(x+t):<n-t> / adue:x:<n>]</n></n-t></n-t></n></n-t></n>

22
Q

DSAR

A

S - R - (t+1)V
where S is the sum assured paid on death during the year, R is the sum paid on survival to end of year, (t+1)V is reserve at the end of year and x + t is age at start of year

23
Q

Total EDS

A

sum(all policies)[q:x+t * DSAR]
where S is the sum assured paid on death during the year, R is the sum paid on survival to end of year, (t+1)V is reserve at the end of year and x + t is age at start of year

24
Total ADS
sum(all deaths)[S - R - (t+1)V]
25
Mortality profit
Total EDS - Total ADS
26
Last survivor policies
Death event | DSAR Both lives die | S - (t+1)V^(both alive) x dies, y survives | (t+1)V^(y alive) - (t+1)V^(both alive) y dies, x survives | (t+1)V^(x alive) - (t+1)V^(both alive)
27
Multiple state models
(tpx)^bar(ii) = probability of staying continuously in state i = exp{-int(0, t)[(mu:x+s)^ij ds]}
28
Valuing lump sum benefit of state transitions
EPV = S * int(0, infinity)[v^t * (tpx)^ai * (mu:x+t)^ij dt]
29
Valuing income benefit of state transitions
EPV = B * int(0, infinity)[v^t * (tpx)^aj dt]
30
2 decrement model independent probabilities
(qx)^d = 1 - e^-mu (qx)^s = 1 - e^-sigma
31
2 decrement model dependent probabilities
[(aq)x]^d = (px)^AD = [mu / (mu + sigma)] * [1 - e^-(mu + sigma)] [(aq)x]^s = (px)^AS = [sigma / (mu + sigma)] * [1 - e^-(mu + sigma)]
32
2 decrement model probability of remaining in active state
(ap):x = 1 - [(aq):x]^d - [(aq):x]^s = e^-(mu + sigma)
33
2 decrement model forces of transition
mu = {[(aq):x]^d / (aq):x} * [-ln(ap):x] sigma = {[(aq):x]^s / (aq):x} * [-ln(ap):x] where (aq):x = [(aq):x]^d + [(aq):x]^s
34
Independence of decrements
(ap):x =m(p1):x * (p2):x * ... * (pm):x
35
Decrements dependent probability integral
(aqj):x = int(0,1)[t(ap)x * muj:x+t dt]
36
Multiple decrement definitions
(al):x = expected number of active lives at exact age x (adj):x = expected number of decrements due to cause j over the year of age x to x + 1, given a radix of (al):alpha lives active at age alpha.
37
Multiple decrement probabilities
(aqj):x = (adj):x / (al):x n(ap):x = (al):(x+n) / (al):x n(aqj):x = {sum(r=0,n-1)[(adj):(x+r)]} / (al):x n|(aqj):x = (adj):(x+n) / (al):x
38
Multiple decrement tables construction
(adj):x = (al):x * (aqj):x (al):(x+1) = (al):x - sum(j=1,m)[(adj):x]
39
Accumulation with-profits (AWP)
F:t = (F:(t-1) + p) * (1 + g) * (1 + b:t) where g is the guaranteed annual interest and b:t is the bonus annual interest for year t
40
Projecting cashflows - conventional products
(+) premiums (-) expenses (+) investment income (-) benefit payouts (death, maturity, surrender) (-) increase in reserves = profit vector where increase in reserves = {probability of staying in force over the year} * {reserve per policy at end of year} - {reserve at start of year} - {interest on start year reserve}
41
Projecting cashflows - unit-linked
(+) Premium * allocation rate * (1 - bid-offer spread) (+) unit fund from end of previous year (+) expected unit fund growth (-) management charge = fund at end of year after charges
42
Projecting cashflows - unitised with-profits
(+) premium less cost of allocation (-) expenses (+) interest on non-unit fund (-) non-unit benefit costs (+) non-unit surrender profit (+) management charge transferred from unit fund (+) other charges from unit fund, if applicable = non-unit cashflow vector (= profit vector in absence of any non-unit reserves)
43
Profit margin
NPV / EPV premiums
44
Risk discount rate
cost of capital + risk premium
45
NPV
sum(all events)[{present value of profit|event occurs} * P(event occurs)]