Promo Flashcards

(31 cards)

1
Q

How much debt did Local Government Financing Vehicles (LGFVs) accumulate by 2023?

A

Around ¥66 trillion (US$9.5 trillion) — about half of China’s GDP.

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2
Q

What share of expenditure vs. revenue do local governments handle?

A

> 85% of expenditure but only ~60% of tax revenue → leads to off-book borrowing via LGFVs.

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3
Q

What percentage of GDP does LGFV debt represent (2024)?

A

About 53% of GDP.

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4
Q

What was the combined general government debt as % of GDP (2024)?

A

77% of GDP (including central + local).

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5
Q

How much did local governments spend fighting COVID-19?

A

Around ¥352 billion (US$51.6 billion).

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6
Q

What was the Henan Village Banks scandal (2022–2023)?

A

Depositors at 4 rural banks had frozen funds → protests due to weak local supervision and collusion.

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7
Q

What happened in the Wenzhou real estate bubble case?

A

Local reluctance to enforce central cooling policies led to overheating and crash, prioritizing short-term growth.

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8
Q

What is China’s corporate debt as a % of GDP?

A

Around 123% of GDP, the highest in the world.

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9
Q

How much of corporate debt is held by SOEs?

A

Roughly two-thirds.

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10
Q

How much total SOE debt existed by 2017?

A

About ¥100 trillion (US$15 trillion).

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11
Q

How did SOE debt change between 2019 and 2020?

A

Rose from 130% to 142% of GDP.

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12
Q

What was the Evergrande crisis (2021)?

A

Property giant with US$300 billion in liabilities collapsed after violating all Three Red Lines.

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13
Q

How did the PBOC respond to Evergrande’s crisis?

A

Injected ¥810 billion (US$126 billion) into the banking system for liquidity support.

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14
Q

What was China’s household debt-to-GDP ratio in Dec 2022?

A

61.9% of GDP, up from 53% in 2018.

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15
Q

What share of household debt comes from mortgages (2021)?

A

About 65%.

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16
Q

How much did credit card debt rise from 2009 to 2018?

A

From 2% to 15% of total household borrowing — a 7× increase.

17
Q

What were NPL (non-performing loan) ratios in the late 1990s?

A

Between 20–50% of total loans at state-owned banks.

18
Q

What did Asset Management Companies (AMCs) achieve by 2012?

A

Reduced NPLs to 0.95% of total loans.

19
Q

How large was the shadow banking sector (2012–2016)?

A

Accounted for about one-third of total lending.

20
Q

What did the Zhongzhi shadow bank collapse (2023) reveal?

A

Continued opacity and exposure to real estate risk in non-bank financial institutions.

21
Q

What was China’s total debt-to-GDP ratio at end-2022?

A

273.2% of GDP.

22
Q

What did total debt reach in 2023/2024?

A

Around 286.1% of GDP.

23
Q

What’s the general government debt ratio (excluding LGFV)?

A

About 77% of GDP in 2024.

24
Q

What regulatory body was formed in 2023 to unify oversight?

A

NFRA (National Financial Regulatory Administration) — merged CBIRC + CSRC.

25
What’s the new minimum capital adequacy ratio for banks?
16%.
26
What are the 'Three Red Lines' (2020)?
Caps on developers’ debt-to-cash, debt-to-assets, and debt-to-equity ratios.
27
What are examples of AMCs managing bad loans?
* China Huarong AMC * China Great Wall AMC
28
Example of bank mergers to reduce risk?
(2021) Liaoning Bank acquiring Yingkou Coastal Bank and Liaoyang Bank.
29
Why is China’s debt regulation called 'asymmetric'?
It’s stricter on lenders (banks) than on borrowers (SOEs, LGFVs).
30
What are the key structural causes of debt accumulation?
* Local fiscal imbalance * SOE inefficiency + state guarantees * Debt-driven growth model * Property dependence
31
Has regulation lowered total debt levels?
❌ No — total debt continues to rise despite tighter controls.