Functions of Schedule P
DT-RAPID (go downtown on rapid transit)
D - Development of reserves over time attributable to specific years & lines - (2,3,4)
T - Trends in frequency & severity (1,2,5)
R - Calculate RBC loss-sensitive discount (7)
A - Evaluate Adequacy of recorded reserves (2,5)
P - Determine Payment patterns for discounting (3)
I - Observe split between actuarial reserves (IBNR) and case reserves (4,5)
D - Disclosures for SAO (1)
Organization of Schedule P
1 - tables of everything by accident year (losses, expenses, premiums, claim counts)
2,3,4 - triangles of losses (Ultimates, Paids, IBNR)
5 - triangles of claim counts (Closed with payment, Outstanding, Reported)
6 - triangles of earned premium
7 - tables & triangles for loss-sensitive contracts
Schedule P Parts 2/3/4 Formulas
Case Reserves = Part 2 - Part 3 - Part 4
Paid in CY = Cumulative Paid in CY - Cumulative Paid in CY-1
Case Incurred in CY = Sum(Change in Case in CY) + Sum(Paid in CY)
Prior Year Row Calculations
Start with Part 3
Calculate CY+1 column
Back out (NEW prior, CY-1) from entire 1st row
Calculate Unpaid triangle [Part 2 - Part 3]
Apply Step 1 to Unpaid triangle
New Part 2 = Unpaid triangle + New Part 3 triangle
Cautions when using Schedule P to assess reserve adequacy
Talk to people!: talk to management to understand what’s going on at the company
10: maximum # of years of data in P exhibits; problem for long-tailed lines
Pooling
Internal pooling can distort data
Participation in voluntary/involuntary pools can distort data (many pools report IBNR as case reserves)
Commutations: can cause a sudden increase in net reserves
DCC: Parts 2,3,4 include DCC, so you can’t separate DCC trends from loss trends
Preparation of Schedule P: person preparing Schedule P has certain amount of choice regarding allocations & presentations
Intercompany Pooling Calculations
Schedule P
Gross Reserves: Total Direct Loss & LAE * Pool %
Net Reserves: Total Net Loss & LAE * Pool %
Non-Schedule P:
Gross Reserves:
* Lead internally assumes everything from non-lead companies
* Non-lead internally re-assume their pool % from A’s gross amounts
Net Reserves:
* Same as Schedule P
what information does Schedule P provide (2)
what is a common reason for outside parties to use a company’s Schedule P
to evaluate company’s reserve adequacy
how many ‘Parts’ comprise Schedule P
7
how is Schedule P data segmented
by line of business & accident year
identify the Parts of Schedule that have a ‘Summary’ section
Part 1,2,3,4 have a summary section (the subparts A - T show line of business detail)
Part 5,6,7 DO NOT have a summary section
identify the Parts of Schedule that have a ‘Summary’ section
Part 1,2,3,4 have a summary section (the subparts A - T show line of business detail)
Part 5,6,7 DO NOT have a summary section
identify the Schedule P yearly reporting convention for: Medical Professional Liability (Claims-Made)
report year
identify the Schedule P yearly reporting convention for: Commercial Auto Liability/Medical(Occurrence)
accident year
identify the Schedule P yearly reporting convention for: Products Liability (Tail Coverage)
policy year (although several other answers were accepted)
dentify the Schedule P yearly reporting convention for: Surety
discovery year
identify changes in a company’s business to consider when using Schedule P to assess reserve adequacy (9)
examiner’s report required 3 of these:
- mix of business
- reserving practices
- claim settlement practices
- growth/shrinkage
- retentions
- limits
- intercompany pooling
- definition of claim count
- commutations