Forecasting is…
Process of asserting the NET REQUIREMENTS for people (human capital) in an organization by assessing the demand for and the supply of Human Resources now and in the future
HR forecasting is important because ….
Strategic importance of HR forecasting (4)
What is HR demand?
An organization’s projected need for people AKA human resource
What is HR supply?
The source of workers to meet demand requirements
Who do HR forecasters look at and why? (4)
HR forecasting process (4 steps)
Define job analysis:
Process used to collect info about the duties, responsibilities and necessary skills, outcomes and work environment of a job
Used to meet the immediate needs of an organization
Current forecast
Occurs when demand for HR exceeds the current personnel resources available in the organization’s workforce
demand > supply
HR shortage
Occurs when the internal workforce supply exceeds the organization’s requirement or demand for personnel
Supply > demand
HR surplus
Hiring freeze:
A prohibition on all external recruiting activities
The process of reducing an HR surplus by allowing the size of the workforce to decline naturally because of the normal pattern of losses associated with retirements, deaths, voluntary turnover, and so on
Attrition
Worksharing:
A federal gov’t program that aims to help organizations mitigate temp layoffs through a redistribution of work, earnings, and leisure time
Job sharing
Occurring when 2 or more employees perform the duties of one full-time position, each sharing the work activities on a p/t basis
This theory suggests that it takes time for investments in human capital ie. people to produce financial gains
Human Capital Theory… the reason is the people come to an organization in a generic form and develop into form-specific human capital