Could you explain the concept of present value and how it relates to company valuations?
The present value concept is based on the premise that “a dollar in the present is worth more than a dollar in the future” due to the time value of money. The reason being money currently in possession has the potential to earn interest by being invested today. For intrinsic valuation methods, the value of a company will be equal to the sum of the
present value of all the future cash flows it generates. Therefore, a company with a high
valuation would imply it receives high returns on its invested capital by investing in positive net present value (“NPV”) projects consistently while having low risk associated with its cash flows.
What is equity value and how is it calculated?
Often used interchangeably with the term market capitalization (“market cap”), equity value represents a company’s value to its equity shareholders. A company’s equity value is calculated by multiplying its latest closing share price by its total diluted shares outstanding, as shown below:
Equity Value = Latest Closing Share Price × Total Diluted Shares Outstanding
How do you calculate the fully diluted number of shares outstanding?
The treasury stock method (“TSM”) is used to calculate the fully diluted number of shares outstanding based on the options, warrants, and other dilutive securities that are currently “in-the-money” (i.e., profitable to exercise).
The TSM involves summing up the number of in-the-money (“ITM”) options and warrants and then adding that figure to the number of basic shares outstanding.
In the proceeding step, the TSM assumes the proceeds from exercising those dilutive options will go towards repurchasing stock at the current share price to reduce the net dilutive impact.
What is enterprise value and how do you calculate it?
Conceptually, enterprise value (“EV”) represents the value of the operations of a company to all stakeholders including common shareholders, preferred shareholders, and debt lenders.
Thus, enterprise value is considered capital structure neutral, unlike equity value, which is affected by financing decisions.
Enterprise value is calculated by taking the company’s equity value and adding net debt, preferred stock, and minority interest.
Enterprise Value = Equity Value + Net Debt + Preferred Stock + Minority Interest
How do you calculate equity value from enterprise value?
To get to equity value from enterprise value, you would first subtract net debt, where net debt equals the company’s gross debt and debt-like claims (e.g., preferred stock), net of cash, and non-operating assets.
Equity Value = Enterprise Value – Net Debt – Preferred Stock – Minority Interest
Which line items are included in the calculation of net debt?
The calculation of net debt accounts for all interest-bearing debt, such as short-term and long-term loans and bonds, as well as non-equity financial claims such as preferred stock and non-controlling interests. From this gross debt amount, cash and other non-operating assets such as short-term investments and equity investments are subtracted to arrive at net debt.
Net Debt = Total Debt – Cash & Equivalents
When calculating enterprise value, why do we add net debt?
The underlying idea of net debt is that the cash on a company’s balance sheet could pay down the outstanding debt if needed. For this reason, cash and cash equivalents are netted against the company’s debt, and many leverage ratios use net debt rather than the gross amount.
What is the difference between enterprise value and equity value?
Enterprise value represents all stakeholders in a business, including equity shareholders, debt lenders, and preferred stock owners. Therefore, it’s independent of the capital structure. In addition, enterprise value is closer to the actual value of the business since it accounts for all ownership stakes (as opposed to just equity owners).
Could a company have a negative net debt balance and have an enterprise value lower than its equity value?
Yes, negative net debt just means that a company has more cash than debt. For example, both Apple and Microsoft have massive negative net debt balances because they hoard cash. In these cases, companies will have enterprise values lower than their equity value.
If it seems counter-intuitive that enterprise value can be lower than equity value, remember that enterprise value represents the value of a company’s operations, which excludes any non-operating assets. When you think about it this way, it should come as no surprise that companies with much cash (which is treated as a non-operating asset) will have a higher equity value than enterprise value.
Can the enterprise value of a company turn negative?
While negative enterprise values are a rare occurrence, it does happen from time to time. A negative enterprise value means a company has a net cash balance (total cash less total debt) that exceeds its equity value.
If a company raises $250 million in additional debt, how would its enterprise value change?
Theoretically, there should be no impact as enterprise value is capital structure neutral. The new debt raised shouldn’t impact the enterprise value, as the cash and debt balance would increase and offset the other entry.
However, the cost of financing (i.e., through financing fees and interest expense) could negatively impact the company’s profitability and lead to a lower valuation from the higher cost of debt.
Why do we add minority interest to equity value in the calculation of enterprise value?
Minority interest represents the portion of a subsidiary in which the parent company doesn’t own. Under US GAAP, if a company has ownership over 50% of another company but below 100% (called a “minority interest” or “non-controlling investment”), it must include 100% of the subsidiary’s financials in their financial statements despite not owning 100%.
When calculating multiples using EV, the numerator will be the consolidated metric, thus minority interest must be added to enterprise value for the multiple to be compatible (i.e., no mismatch between the numerator and denominator).
How are convertible bonds and preferred equity with a convertible feature accounted for when calculating enterprise value?
If the convertible bonds and the preferred equities are “in-the-money” as of the valuation date (i.e., the current stock price is greater than their strike price), then the treatment will be the same as additional dilution from equity. However, if they’re “out-of-the-money,” they would be treated as a financial liability (similar to debt).
What are the two main approaches to valuation?
What are the most common valuation methods used in finance?
Trading comps value a company based on how similar publicly-traded companies are currently being valued at by the market. DCFs value a company based on the premise that its value is a function of its projected cash flows, discounted at an appropriate rate that reflects the risk of those cash flows. An LBO will look at a potential acquisition target under a highly leveraged scenario to determine the maximum purchase price the firm would be willing to pay.
Among the DCF, comparable companies analysis, and transaction comps, which approach yields the highest valuation?
Transaction comps analysis often yields the highest valuation because it looks at valuations for companies that have been acquired, which factor in control premiums. Control premiums can often be quite significant and as high as 25% to 50% above market prices. Thus, the multiples derived from this analysis and the resulting valuation are usually higher than a straight trading comps valuation or a standalone DCF valuation.
Which of the valuation methodologies is the most variable in terms of output?
Because of its reliance on forward-looking projections and discretionary assumptions, the DCF is the most variable out of the different valuation methodologies. Relative valuation methodologies such as trading and transaction comps are based on the actual prices paid for similar companies. While there’ll be some discretion involved, the valuations derived from comps deviate to a lesser extent than DCF models.
How can you determine which valuation method to use?
Each valuation method has its shortcomings; therefore, a combination of different valuation techniques should be used to arrive at a range of valuation estimates. Using various methods allows you to arrive at a more defensible approximation and sanity-check your assumptions.
The DCF and trading comps are often used in concert such that the comps provide a market-based sanity-check to intrinsic DCF valuation (and vice versa).
Would you agree with the statement that relative valuation relies less on the discretionary assumptions of individuals?
That could be argued as an inaccurate statement. While a comps analysis often yields different valuations from a DCF, that’s only because of inconsistent implicit assumptions across both approaches. If the implicit
assumptions of the comps analysis were entirely consistent with the explicit assumptions of the DCF analysis, the valuations using both approaches would theoretically be equal. When you apply a peer-derived multiple to value a business, you’re still implicitly making assumptions about future cash flows, cost of capital, and returns that you would make explicitly when building a DCF. The difference is, you’re relying on the assumptions used by others in the market.
What does free cash flow (FCF) represent?
Free cash flow (“FCF”) represents a company’s discretionary cash flow, meaning the cash flow remaining after accounting for the recurring expenditures to continue operating.
The simplest calculation of FCF is shown below:
Free Cash Flow (FCF) = Cash from Operations – Capex
The cash from investing section, other than capex, and the financing section are excluded because these activities are optional and discretionary decisions up to management.
Why are periodic acquisitions excluded from the calculation of FCF?
The calculation of free cash flow should include only inflows/(outflows) of cash from the core, recurring operations. That said, a periodic acquisition is a one-time, unforeseeable event, whereas capex is recurring and a normal part of operations (i.e., capex is required for a business to continue operating).
Explain the importance of excluding non-operating income/(expenses) for valuations.
For both DCF analysis or comps analysis, the intent is to value the operations of the business, which requires you to set apart the core operations to normalize the figures.
When performing a DCF analysis, the cash flows projected should be strictly from the business’s recurring operations, which would come from the sale of goods and services provided. A few examples of non- operating income to exclude would be income from investments, dividends, or an asset sale. Each example represents income that’s non-recurring and from a discretionary decision unrelated to the core operations. When performing comps, the core operations of the target and its comparables are benchmarked. To make the comparison as close to “apples to apples” as possible, non-core operating income/(expenses) and any non-recurring items should be excluded.
Define free cash flow yield and compare it to dividend yield and P/E ratios.
The free cash flow yield (“FCFY”) is calculated as the FCF per share divided by the current share price. For this calculation, FCF will be defined as cash from operations less capex.
Free Cash Flow Yield (FCFY) = Free Cash Flow Per/ Share Current Share Price
Could you define what the capital structure of a company represents?
The capital structure is how a company funds its ongoing operations and growth plans. Most companies’ capital structure consists of a mixture of debt and equity, as each source of capital comes with its advantages and disadvantages. As companies mature and build a track record of profitability, they can usually get debt financing easier and at more favorable rates since their default risk has decreased. Thus, it’s ordinary to see leverage ratios increase in proportion with the company’s maturity.