Why is it important to look at both ROIC and growth?
“Growth is only good when the incremental investment to achieve this growth earns a higher return on invested capital (ROIC) than the company’s cost of capital (WACC)”
- ONly looking at earnings and growth is a bad proxy for value creation.
What is the difference of book value, market value and intrisic value?
Different types of value:
- Book value - what is on the books.
- This is the liquidation floor
- USable for debt holders.
- Market value - What it is being traded for right now
- Relevant during merger, acquisition and divestitures. Estimate share price. Short-term investor.
- Intrinsic value (fundamental value)- the value of an asset based on its future economic benefit to the owner
- To estimate value to a specific buyer, long-term share price, long-term investor
Difference of equity and enterprise value?
What is a DCF?
Intrinsic value = The value of an asset based on its future economic benefit to the owner. It can for example be the cash flows in the future.
Three elements:
1. Future cash flows, e.g. FCFF - Free cash flows to the firm.
2. Terminal value TV
3. Discount rate
How to assess management?
FCFE formula?
Net income
+ D&A
- CHANGE NWC
- CAPEX &acquisition
+ (debt issuance - dept paid)
=FCFE
Fcff formula?
EBIT (1-t)
+ D&A
- CHANGE NWC
- CAPEX & acquisition
=FCFF
Why shouldn’t stock-based conpensation be added back to FCFF? (Basically increasing cash flow)
Stock-based compensation is not added back, it is not a non-cash expense like D&A -> Therefore it should be removed from FCF caluclation (not added back)
Should you just take a EBIT or earnings as a standard point for DCF?
No.
(2) Free cash flow in valuation: Base year (what to look for)
1. Unusual or extraordinary items - take out!
2. Normalized vs actual numbers (FCF is extremely volatile - so use normalized to not show too big difference
1. Change in WC replaced by % of revnues instead
2. Acquisition
3. Stock-based compensation and Acquisition
1. It is a in-kind expense (not-cash) , you give shares instead of paying cash.
2. It should not be added to FCF for a DCF, and instead should treat itas if it were a cash expense
4. Also include stock-basecd acquisitions in Cash acquisitions.
4. Taxes
1. Use average over a long period-
5. Accounting inconsistencies
1. For example capitalized R&D vs treating is as a operating expense - this alters the perception of the business.
2. You should capitalize R&D for companies that fit it.