What should be done in the context of uncertainty?
Consider probability for better decision-making in the context of uncertainty
Probability scale?
0-1 or 0-100%
What is shared decision making?
- helping patient make a decision
- leading them in making an informed decision
Are biases shortcomings?
No, biases are a human trait
Define representativeness?
The degree to which something is representative of , or similar to, the stereotype
An uncommon ppt of a common disease is more likely than a common ppt of a rare disease.
True or False?
True
Define reference class?
the set of patients that most closely matches this patient
Why specify sub-populations when considering prevalence of reference classes?
can specify sub-populations to get a more accurate estimate
Cons of reference classes?
- an underestimate if it is something that people frequently seek medical attention for
- less helpful for acute conditions
Differentiate between basic and specific reference classes?
Basic: prevalence of disease in a population
Specific: studies that give eventual diagnosis in patients presenting with complaints similar to your patient’s
What should not be considered as a reference class?
- life time prevalence
- incidence in the population
