The following six features of the large-scale tropics were identified as “necessary, but not sufficient” conditions for tropical cyclogenesis:
(i) sufficient ocean thermal energy (SST > 26°C to a depth of 60 m)
(ii) enhanced mid-troposphere (700 hPa) relative humidity
(iii) conditional instability
(iv) enhanced lower troposphere relative vorticity
(v) weak vertical shear of the horizontal winds at the genesis site, and (vi) displacement by at least 5° latitude away from the equator.
“Necessary but not sufficient” means that
all of these conditions must be present simultaneously before tropical cyclogenesis can occur, but even if all of these conditions are met, tropical cyclogenesis may not occur.
Thus, the necessary, but not sufficient, criteria for tropical cyclogenesis may be summarized as
The ability of the initial convection to survive for many days depends on its
vorticity, stability, and depth—defined by the Rossby radius of deformation, LR.
The Rossby radius, LR,
is the critical scale at which rotation becomes as important as buoyancy.
compare Lr values
Theories of Tropical Cyclone Formation
TC formation is associated with:
The transition from MCS to a TC-like vortex require:
the generation of low- level cyclonic vorticity below the MCS.
A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) is a
mesoscale convective vortices (MCVs)
The figure below shows an idealized vertical cross-section through an MCV.
An idealized MCS contains the regions:
There are three theories that attempt to explain how an MCV associated with an MCS can result in the ……………………………. :
a) Top-down Merger; b) Top-down Showerhead and c) Bottom-up Development.
formation and/or amplification of a vortex at the surface
a) Top-down Merger for Development
two or more smaller mid-level vortices merge into a larger mid- level vortex. The influence of this larger vortex is then felt through a deeper depth of the atmosphere, influencing development at the surface.
The depth or vertical thickness to which a vortex penetrates is given by
the Rossby penetration depth:
𝐷 = 𝜔𝐿⁄𝑁
where w is the inertial frequency, L is the horizontal scale of the vortex, and N is the Brunt-Vaisala frequency.
the Rossby penetration depth explination
Top-down Showerhead theory for development
Bottom-up Development Theory
Another general consideration for development is the need to
…………………….. will reduce convective downdrafts by ……………..
Having moisture in the mid and low levels
by reducing the evaporative cooling and entrainment which lead to downdrafts.
Conditional Instability of Second Kind (CISK)
This theory explains how tropical convection develops into a tropical cyclone.
a positive feedback
This theory explains how tropical convection develops into a tropical cyclone. In its simplest form, CISK can be explained as follows:
(CISK cannot explain how cloud clusters form into a tropical cyclone, but it can be used to explain how a tropical cyclone, once formed )