Loglogistic
G = x^w/(x^w + o^w)
Weibull
G = 1 - e^-(x/o)^w
Variance in Clark
o^2 = 1/(n-p) * sum [(actual - expected)^2 / expected] p = number of parameters (CC = 3, CL = AYs + 2)
Loglikelihood in Clark
l = sum (c*ln(expected) - expected)
Assumptions in Clark model
Works only for positive expected incremental losses
Variance of incremental losses is proportional to the mean for each cell in the triangle
Incremental losses are iid
Parameter variance is a lower bound based on R-C