decision making models Flashcards

(36 cards)

1
Q

what are the three major types of decisions and what do they depend on

A

strategic
tactical
operational
they depend on the level of authority within a business

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2
Q

operational decisions (junior management)

A

day to day decisions, simple routine

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3
Q

tactical decision (middle management)

A

how to achieve policy, medium term, less complex

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4
Q

strategic decisions (senior management

A

policy decisions, long term, complex and non routine

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5
Q

what is the importance of decision making

A

set corporate objectives
determine corporate strategy
manage resources including staff
control day to day operations
respond to external changes
assess alternative course of actions

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6
Q

can decision making be scientific

A

yes, it can be based on data
all decisions have an opportunity cost
they carry risk and reward

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7
Q

name 2 advantages of scientific decision making

A

supported by quantifiable evidence
encourages logical thought process

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8
Q

name 2 disadvantages of scientific decision making

A

may require expensive data
time consuming

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9
Q

name 2 advantages of intuition decision making

A

allows for quick decision making
encourages innovation and creativity

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10
Q

name 2 disadvantages of intuition decision making

A

difficult to justify
reliant on experience and expertise

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11
Q

what is the logical series of steps for scientific decision making

A

1- set objectives
2- gather data
3- analyse data
4- making decisions
5- implement decisions
6- review decision

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12
Q

what is a decision tree

A

a simple and visual way of presenting the alternative course of action available when making a decision
a mathematical model based on logic and probability

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13
Q

what do decision trees identify

A

when a decision needs to be made by
choices available
costs associated with each option
the likelihood of each outcome occurring
the estimated financial result of each outcome

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14
Q

what is a decision node (decision trees)

A

used where a decision has to be made
it’s a box/ square

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15
Q

what is a chance node (decision trees)

A

used when there are a number of possible outcomes, a calculation is carried out here to calculate the expected value

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16
Q

how do decision trees work

A

they use estimates and probabilities to calculate likely outcomes
calculating these estimates helps to decide if the net gain from a decision is worthwhile

17
Q

what is the expected value (decision trees)

A

the financial value of an outcome calculated by multiplying the financial result by its probability

18
Q

what is the net gain (decision trees)

A

the value to be gained from taking a decision
calculated by adding the expected value of each outcome and deducting the costs associated with the decision

19
Q

what is critical path analysis

A

it’s a technique used to identify the order in which all activities need to be completed when planning a complex task
they are diagrams used to organise the activities in an order to show which activities can be done simultaneously and which are dependent on earlier tasks being done

20
Q

how many nodes is critical path analysis made up of and what are they

A

3
the node number- based on the order it’s drawn
the earliest start time (EST)- the earliest the following activity can possible start
the latest finish time (LFT)- the latest an activity can finish without delaying the whole project

21
Q

what is meant by float (CPA)

A

it means that activity can be delayed without making the project longer
so it’s important to work out which activities are critical and which are float

22
Q

how to work out EST and LFT

A

1- EST, calculate first and always work from left to right
2- EST, where 2 or more activities meet, EST is always the highest calculated figure
3- LFT, calculate after EST and always work from right to left
4- LFT, where 2 or more activities meet, LFT is always the lowest calculated figure

23
Q

what’s a disadvantage of critical path analysis

A

it doesn’t take into account any external factors e.g weather or supplier changes which could cause delays

24
Q

what’s a disadvantage of critical path analysis

A

Time-consuming and complex to create
For large projects, CPA diagrams can be difficult and expensive to produce and interpret.
• Assumes accurate time estimates
If task durations are unrealistic, the whole plan becomes unreliable.
• Does not account for unexpected events
Delays like staff illness, supply shortages, or weather disruptions are not built into the model.
• Over-focus on timing, not quality
Managers may rush tasks to meet deadlines, potentially reducing quality.
• Needs regular updating
Any change in activities requires the CPA to be redrawn, which can be inefficient.

25
advantages of critical path analysis
Identifies the minimum project time Shows the shortest possible time needed to complete a project, helping businesses plan deadlines accurately. • Highlights critical activities Managers can see which tasks cannot be delayed without affecting the whole project, so resources can be prioritised effectively. • Improves coordination and planning Helps different departments understand task sequences, improving organisation and reducing confusion. • Allows use of float time Non-critical activities have spare time (float), giving managers flexibility to reallocate labour or machinery if needed. • Helps reduce costs Better scheduling can avoid unnecessary overtime and wasted resources.
26
what is cost benefit analysis
it’s a technique used by firms to see whether the benefits of a project out weigh costs often used for large scale projects in public sector
27
how can cost benefit analysis be categorised
infernal- private costs and benefits external- external costs and benefits
28
what is a private cost (cba)
costs that the business making the investment has to accept e.g marketing and training
29
what are private benefits (cba)
benefits that the business gains from as a result of an investment e.g increased sales or increased productivity
30
what are public costs (cba)
costs external to the business making the investment e.g impact on environment
31
what are public benefits (cba)
benefits external to an business as a result of investment e.g jobs
32
principles of CBA
all costs and benefits must have monetary values which are often difficult to identify probability theory is used to assess the various risks of a project
33
benefits of cost benefit analysis
putting a monetary value on a project that is easy to understand providing info regarding a variety of markets that can be used to support/ oppose a project taking into account the needs of society rather than just private cost of a firm allows for the assessment of externalities that might be created
34
principles of CBA
all costs and benefits must have monetary values which are often difficult to identify probability theory is used to assess the various risks of a project
35
drawbacks of CBA
expensive to undertake the analysis the monetary values for external costs and benefits are estimates and will become less accurate in the future values assigned to non monetary considerations are likely to be subjective and based on the views of those producing the analysis
36
explain the key role played by information technology in business decision making
Information technology helps business decision making by providing fast, accurate and up-to-date data. It allows managers to collect, store and analyse large amounts of information, identify trends, forecast outcomes and communicate quickly across the business, leading to better and faster decisions.