what are the three major types of decisions and what do they depend on
strategic
tactical
operational
they depend on the level of authority within a business
operational decisions (junior management)
day to day decisions, simple routine
tactical decision (middle management)
how to achieve policy, medium term, less complex
strategic decisions (senior management
policy decisions, long term, complex and non routine
what is the importance of decision making
set corporate objectives
determine corporate strategy
manage resources including staff
control day to day operations
respond to external changes
assess alternative course of actions
can decision making be scientific
yes, it can be based on data
all decisions have an opportunity cost
they carry risk and reward
name 2 advantages of scientific decision making
supported by quantifiable evidence
encourages logical thought process
name 2 disadvantages of scientific decision making
may require expensive data
time consuming
name 2 advantages of intuition decision making
allows for quick decision making
encourages innovation and creativity
name 2 disadvantages of intuition decision making
difficult to justify
reliant on experience and expertise
what is the logical series of steps for scientific decision making
1- set objectives
2- gather data
3- analyse data
4- making decisions
5- implement decisions
6- review decision
what is a decision tree
a simple and visual way of presenting the alternative course of action available when making a decision
a mathematical model based on logic and probability
what do decision trees identify
when a decision needs to be made by
choices available
costs associated with each option
the likelihood of each outcome occurring
the estimated financial result of each outcome
what is a decision node (decision trees)
used where a decision has to be made
it’s a box/ square
what is a chance node (decision trees)
used when there are a number of possible outcomes, a calculation is carried out here to calculate the expected value
how do decision trees work
they use estimates and probabilities to calculate likely outcomes
calculating these estimates helps to decide if the net gain from a decision is worthwhile
what is the expected value (decision trees)
the financial value of an outcome calculated by multiplying the financial result by its probability
what is the net gain (decision trees)
the value to be gained from taking a decision
calculated by adding the expected value of each outcome and deducting the costs associated with the decision
what is critical path analysis
it’s a technique used to identify the order in which all activities need to be completed when planning a complex task
they are diagrams used to organise the activities in an order to show which activities can be done simultaneously and which are dependent on earlier tasks being done
how many nodes is critical path analysis made up of and what are they
3
the node number- based on the order it’s drawn
the earliest start time (EST)- the earliest the following activity can possible start
the latest finish time (LFT)- the latest an activity can finish without delaying the whole project
what is meant by float (CPA)
it means that activity can be delayed without making the project longer
so it’s important to work out which activities are critical and which are float
how to work out EST and LFT
1- EST, calculate first and always work from left to right
2- EST, where 2 or more activities meet, EST is always the highest calculated figure
3- LFT, calculate after EST and always work from right to left
4- LFT, where 2 or more activities meet, LFT is always the lowest calculated figure
what’s a disadvantage of critical path analysis
it doesn’t take into account any external factors e.g weather or supplier changes which could cause delays
what’s a disadvantage of critical path analysis
Time-consuming and complex to create
For large projects, CPA diagrams can be difficult and expensive to produce and interpret.
• Assumes accurate time estimates
If task durations are unrealistic, the whole plan becomes unreliable.
• Does not account for unexpected events
Delays like staff illness, supply shortages, or weather disruptions are not built into the model.
• Over-focus on timing, not quality
Managers may rush tasks to meet deadlines, potentially reducing quality.
• Needs regular updating
Any change in activities requires the CPA to be redrawn, which can be inefficient.