EBM Flashcards

(129 cards)

1
Q

Absolute risk (AR) formula?

A

Events ÷ Total.

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2
Q

Control risk (Rc) definition?

A

Event risk in control group.

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3
Q

Treatment risk (Rt) definition?

A

Event risk in treatment group.

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4
Q

Relative risk (RR) formula?

A

Rt ÷ Rc.

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5
Q

Absolute risk reduction (ARR) formula?

A

Rc – Rt.

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6
Q

Relative risk increase (RRI) formula?

A

(Rt – Rc) ÷ Rc.

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7
Q

Relative risk reduction (RRR) formula?

A

ARR ÷ Rc.

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8
Q

Number needed to treat (NNT) formula?

A

1 ÷ ARR (ARR in decimal).

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9
Q

Number needed to harm (NNH) formula?

A

1 ÷ absolute risk increase.

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10
Q

Odds ratio (OR) 2×2 formula?

A

(a/c) ÷ (b/d).

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11
Q

Odds ratio when using risks?

A

(Rt ÷ (1–Rt)) ÷ (Rc ÷ (1–Rc)).

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12
Q

Hazard ratio (HR) meaning?

A

Time-adjusted relative risk.

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13
Q

ARR interpretation?

A

Absolute drop in event rate due to treatment.

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14
Q

RR interpretation?

A

Risk in treatment vs control (ratio).

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15
Q

RRR interpretation?

A

Proportional reduction from control risk.

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16
Q

NNT interpretation?

A

Patients needed to treat to prevent 1 event.

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17
Q

NNH interpretation?

A

Patients needed to treat to cause 1 harm.

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18
Q

Given Rc=30%, Rt=12%: ARR?

A

0.18

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19
Q

Given Rc=30%, Rt=12%: RRR?

A

0.6

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20
Q

Given Rc=30%, Rt=12%: NNT?

A

≈6.

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21
Q

Given Rc=10%, Rt=8%: ARR?

A

0.02

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22
Q

Given Rc=10%, Rt=8%: NNT?

A

50

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23
Q

Given Rc=20%, Rt=30%: RRI?

A

50% increase.

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24
Q

Given ARR=5%: NNT?

A

20

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25
Sensitivity formula?
TP ÷ (TP+FN).
26
Specificity formula?
TN ÷ (TN+FP).
27
Positive predictive value (PPV) formula?
TP ÷ (TP+FP).
28
Negative predictive value (NPV) formula?
TN ÷ (TN+FN).
29
+LR formula?
Sensitivity ÷ (1–Specificity).
30
–LR formula?
(1–Sensitivity) ÷ Specificity.
31
Diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) formula?
+LR ÷ –LR.
32
AUC (ROC) definition?
Overall test accuracy (0.5 random; 1 perfect).
33
Youden Index formula?
Sensitivity + Specificity – 1.
34
High sensitivity use?
Rule out (SNout).
35
High specificity use?
Rule in (SPin).
36
PPV depends on?
Disease prevalence (directly).
37
NPV depends on?
Disease prevalence (inversely).
38
If Sn=0.90, Sp=0.80: +LR?
0.90 ÷ 0.20 = 4.5.
39
If Sn=0.90, Sp=0.80: –LR?
0.10 ÷ 0.80 = 0.125.
40
Prevalence↑ effect on PPV?
PPV increases.
41
Prevalence↑ effect on NPV?
NPV decreases.
42
Prevalence↓ effect on PPV?
PPV decreases.
43
Prevalence↓ effect on NPV?
NPV increases.
44
Best single summary of test accuracy?
AUC (ROC).
45
Best threshold selection metric?
Youden Index.
46
Meaning of AUC=0.5?
No discrimination (coin toss).
47
Meaning of AUC=1.0?
Perfect discrimination.
48
p-value definition (simple)?
Chance of observed result if null is true.
49
Significance for ratios using CI?
CI not crossing 1.
50
Significance for differences using CI?
CI not crossing 0.
51
Narrow CI implies?
Higher precision.
52
Wide CI implies?
Lower precision.
53
Power formula (concept)?
1 – β.
54
Type I error (α) meaning?
False positive.
55
Type II error (β) meaning?
False negative.
56
Power increases with?
Sample size, events, effect size; lower variance.
57
Event-driven trial power key?
Number of events.
58
Two-sided vs one-sided sample size?
Two-sided needs larger n.
59
Design effect formula (clusters)?
1 + (m–1)×ICC.
60
Effect of ICC on sample size?
Higher ICC → larger required n.
61
Why inflate n in cluster trials?
Within-cluster correlation reduces information.
62
Forest plot diamond meaning?
Pooled effect estimate.
63
Diamond crossing 1 means?
Not statistically significant.
64
I² meaning?
% variability from heterogeneity.
65
I² rough cutoffs?
25/50/75 = low/moderate/high.
66
τ² meaning?
Between-study variance.
67
Fixed-effect model assumption?
One true common effect.
68
Random-effects model assumption?
True effects vary across studies.
69
Funnel plot purpose?
Detect publication bias.
70
GRADE assesses?
Certainty and recommendation strength.
71
Interaction p-value meaning?
Tests if subgroup effects differ.
72
Interaction p < 0.05 implies?
Likely true subgroup difference.
73
Cohort study direction?
Exposure → Outcome.
74
Case–control direction?
Outcome → Exposure.
75
Cross-sectional measures?
Prevalence at one time point.
76
RCT key strength?
Balances known/unknown confounders.
77
Crossover RCT requirement?
Stable disease and washout feasible.
78
Cluster RCT unit of randomisation?
Group (e.g., hospital/school).
79
Pragmatic RCT goal?
Real-world effectiveness.
80
Non-inferiority (NI) aim?
Show new is not unacceptably worse.
81
Delta (Δ) meaning in NI?
Maximum acceptable loss of effect.
82
Why ITT + Per-protocol in NI?
Both needed to avoid bias to NI.
83
NI success by CI rule?
Entire CI above –Δ (within margin).
84
Adaptive trial feature?
Pre-planned changes mid-trial.
85
Platform trial feature?
Multiple arms with shared control.
86
Bayesian posterior concept?
Prior × Likelihood → Posterior.
87
Credible interval meaning?
Probability range for true effect (Bayesian).
88
Selection bias definition?
Systematic differences in who enters study.
89
Performance bias definition?
Co-interventions differ by arm.
90
Measurement bias definition?
Systematic error in data collection.
91
Recall bias context?
Case–control self-reported exposure.
92
Confounder definition?
Third factor linked to exposure and outcome.
93
Effect modifier definition?
True effect differs across subgroups.
94
Handling confounding?
Randomise, match, restrict, adjust.
95
Handling effect modification?
Report subgroup results; do not adjust away.
96
Simpson’s paradox cue?
Adjusted effect reverses direction.
97
Missing data preferred fix?
Multiple imputation (MAR).
98
Lead-time bias definition?
Earlier detection falsely inflates survival time.
99
Length-time bias definition?
Slower diseases overrepresented in screening.
100
Overdiagnosis meaning?
Detection of disease that would not cause harm.
101
Attributable risk (ARexp) formula?
Incidence_exposed – Incidence_unexposed.
102
Population attributable fraction (PAF) idea?
Proportion of cases due to exposure in population.
103
OR approximates RR when?
Outcome is rare (<10%).
104
Case–control: can you get RR directly?
No, use OR.
105
Pre-test probability to odds formula?
Odds = p ÷ (1–p).
106
Post-test odds formula?
Pre-test odds × LR.
107
Post-test probability formula?
Odds ÷ (1+Odds).
108
If Sn=0.95, Sp=0.95: +LR?
0.95 ÷ 0.05 = 19.
109
If Sn=0.95, Sp=0.95: –LR?
0.05 ÷ 0.95 ≈ 0.053.
110
If pre-test p=20% and +LR=5: post-test odds?
0.2/0.8 × 5 = 1.25.
111
If post-test odds=1.25: post-test probability?
1.25 ÷ 2.25 ≈ 56%.
112
CI narrow but crosses null: significance?
Not significant despite precision.
113
p=0.04 but wide CI near null: clinical meaning?
Likely trivial effect.
114
Underpowered negative trial means?
Cannot conclude no effect.
115
Subgroup p not adjusted for multiplicity: caution?
High false positive risk.
116
Incidence definition?
New cases per population per time.
117
Prevalence definition?
Existing cases ÷ population at a time point.
118
Risk difference equals?
ARR.
119
Standard deviation (SD) meaning?
Spread of individual values.
120
Standard error (SE) meaning?
Precision of sample mean.
121
Two independent means (normal): test?
Two-sample t-test.
122
Paired means (normal): test?
Paired t-test.
123
Two independent groups (non-normal): test?
Mann–Whitney U.
124
Paired non-normal: test?
Wilcoxon signed-rank.
125
Two proportions: test?
Chi-square (or Fisher’s if small).
126
Time-to-event comparison: test?
Log-rank test.
127
Binary outcome regression?
Logistic regression.
128
Time-to-event regression?
Cox proportional hazards.
129
Continuous outcome regression?
Linear regression.