Why is business valuation needed (private)
To determine the value of a private company
Why is business valuation needed (subsidiaries)
To value subsidiaries/divisions for possible disposal
Why is business valuation needed (decisions)
To aid in decisions on buying/selling shares in private companies
Types of information needed for a business valuation?
Financial statements
Budgets and forecasts
Summaries of working capital
Ways to value a share?
Asset-based valuations
Income based valuations
Cash flow-based valuations
Weakness of NBV (historical cost)
Balance sheet values (i.e. carrying amounts) are often based on historical cost rather than market values
Weakness of NBV (accounting policies)
Net book values of non-current assets depend on depreciation/amortisation policies
Weakness of NBV (unrecorded assets)
Significant assets may not be recorded in the statement of financial position (e.g. internally generated goodwill will not be recognised)
What is the net realisable value?
Estimated selling price less estimate costs necessary to make the sale
Weakness of NRV (Selling price)
Estimating selling prices under forced sale or distress conditions is challenging
Weakness of NRV (Market values)
The NRV of some assets may fluctuate significantly if they have volatile market values (e.g. commodities and financial instruments)
Weakness of NRV (Unrecorded)
It ignores unrecorded assets
What is net replacement cost?
The cost of setting up an identical business “from scratch”
Issues with net replacement cost (challenging to apply)
There may be no comparable replacement asset
Issues with net replacement cost (overvaluation)
Valuing old and less efficient assets at current market prices of new assets
Issues with net replacement cost (unrecorded assets)
It ignores unrecorded assets
What does the P/E ratio take into account?
The expected growth rate of that company
Weakness of P/E ratio (proxy)
A suitable “proxy” may not exist (i.e. no similar company listed on the stock market)
Weakness of P/E ratio (Accounting earnings are more subjective than cash flows)
Accounting earnings are affected by non-cash items (e.g. depreciation expense) and accounting policy choices
Weakness of P/E ratio (Earnings manipulation)
The earnings of the unquoted company may be intentionally inflated. The earnings may not represent future earnings fairly, even if they have not been deliberately distorted
Weakness of P/E ratio (Historical data)
The P/E ratio is often based on historical earnings, which may not reflect earnings potential. Share prices can sometimes vary dramatically.
What is earnings yield?
Simply the reciprocal of the P/E ratio
Problems with earnings yield (variability in yield)
Earnings yield can vary significantly over time; it is not a stable valuation metric and it may be a challenge to interpret
Problems with earnings yield (high interest rates)
An earnings yield may appear attractive, but it may not be competitive compared to other investments when interest rates are high