Experimental Studies
Non-observational or experimental studies are intervention studies and the basic principle is that the design of the study involves deliberately changing population parameters and assessing the effect.
• Laboratory experiments
– Researcher designs and implements study
• Clinical / Field trials
– Therapeutics
– Vaccine efficacy
– Health promotion programs
• Community intervention trials – Insecticide impregnated bednets
Observational Studies: Differences between descriptive and analytic
• Descriptive
– Estimate disease frequency or time trend
– Used to generate hypotheses
– No comparisons or statistical analyses
– Correlational studies, case reports and series
• Analytic
– Identify risk factors for disease
– Estimate and quantify effect
– Suggest possible interventions
Types of Analytic Observational Studies
Most common designs you’ll encounter in observational epidemiology (1 -3)
1 • Case-control: Retrospective or prospective – Selection based on case status
2 • Cohort: Retrospective or prospective – Selection based on exposure
3 • Cross-sectional - snapshot
4 • Ecologic – individual level data missing
Case-control Studies
When should we do a case-control study?
Selection of Participants in case study
• Cases: Many sources, including: – Hospital patients – Clinical practice – Diagnostic labs – Disease registries
• Controls: The comparability of cases and controls is essential
– Controls should be chosen from population which gives rise to cases
– Can be very tricky!
Control Selection - Matching (case study)
Case-control Studies - Analysis
Odds ratio = ad / bc
Remember that the reduced formula for the OR ad/bc is the CROSS-PRODUCT ratio in a 2-by-2 table
Case-control Studies - Bias
• Case-control studies are particularly prone to bias
– Selection bias: A problem with who gets into your study. Can happen when inclusion of cases or controls somehow depends on exposure of interest
– Recall bias and limitations of recall: When cases and controls recall their experiences differently • It may be difficult to remember things that happened in the past or the information might not exist
Case-control Studies – Strengths and Limitations
• Strengths
– Relatively quick and inexpensive
– Particularly well-suited to diseases with long latent periods
– Optimal for evaluating rare diseases
– Can examine multiple etiologic factors for a single disease
• Limitations
– Inefficient for evaluating rare exposures
– Cannot directly compute incidence rates of disease in exposed and nonexposed individuals, unless study is population based
– May be difficult to establish a temporal relationship between exposure and disease
– Is particularly prone to bias, in particular selection and recall bias
Cohort Studies
Cohort Studies – Selection of Study Population
Select groups on the basis of whether or not they were exposed: – E.g., To assess effects of an occupational exposure such as a solvent, the exposed group is the group that works with the solvent and the unexposed group might be office staff at the parent company
OR
Select a defined population before any of the members become exposed or before the exposures are identified:
– Selection could be made on basis of some factor not related to exposure, such as community of residence
– Take histories of, or perform blood tests or other assays on, the entire population
– Using the results of the histories or the tests, the population can be separated into exposed and nonexposed groups
Retrospective vs. Prospective Cohort Studies
• Cohort studies may be prospective or retrospective, depending on temporal relationship between initiation of study and disease occurrence
• Retrospective cohort
– All relevant events (exposures and outcomes of interest) have occurred when the study is initiated
• Prospective cohort (aka concurrent cohort or longitudinal studies)
– Relevant exposure may or may not have occurred when study initiated but the outcomes have definitely not yet occurred
– The cohort must be followed into the future
Cohort Studies - Analysis of RR
• If a positive association exists between exposure and disease, then the proportion of the exposed group that develops disease (risk in the exposed group) is greater that the proportion of the nonexposed group in which disease develops
Riskexposed > Riskunexposed
RR > 1
Cohort Studies - Bias
Cohort Studies – Strengths and Limitations
• Strengths
– Temporal sequence between exposure and disease can be clearly established
– Well suited for assessing the effects of rare exposures
– Allow for the examination of multiple effects of a single exposure
– Allow direct measurement of incidence of disease in exposed and nonexposed groups
• Limitations
– Inefficient for the evaluation of rare diseases
– If prospective, can involve following large numbers of individuals into the future and are therefore very resource intensive
– If retrospective, requires availability of adequate records
– The possibility of loss to follow-up in cohort studies
Cross-Sectional Studies
• A ‘snapshot’ of exposure and disease is determined because both exposure and disease outcome are determined simultaneously for each subject
• The cases that are identified are prevalent cases, because they existed at the time of the study
– Therefore, this design is aka prevalence study
– When the outcome is serologic evidence of disease, this study design is called a seroprevalence study
Cross-Sectional Studies – Strengths and Limitations
• Strengths
– May be first step in assessing an association
– Efficient
• Limitation
– Cannot determine a temporal relationship: Therefore cannot make conclusions about causality
– Because cross-sectional surveys consider prevalent rather than incident cases, the data reflect determinants of survival as well as etiology
Ecologic Studies
Study validity
• Internal
– Whether the observed result is true
– True only if following have been eliminated
• Bias (systematic error)
• Confounding (3rd var confounds association)
• Random error (probability result due to chance)
• External
– Generalizability
Precision vs. accuracy
• Precision Yes No .. .. . ... . .. .. . ... No Precise – – AKA reliability, reproducibility Extent to which repeated measurements of a relatively stable phenomenon fall closely to each other • Accuracy – AKA validity – Degree to which the results of a measurement correspond to true state of phenomenon being measured
How to design a study and what aspects to consider?
• Identify research question and refine to testable hypothesis
• Choose design appropriate to question
– Efficiency
– Population
– Unit of analysis
• Consider – Sample size (power) – Sampling scheme – Choice of statistics – Resources (time, money, personnel) – Ethics – Data generation and management