What is econometrics
Using stats to:
- Test economic theories
- Estimate the magnitude of economic relationships
- Forecasting
- Policy evaluation
What type of relationships is econometrics. concerned with
Causal
What do econometric methods allow us to do with non experimental economic data
Draw ceteris paribus conclusions from the observed data
What are the 7 steps of econometric modelling
What is the key behind developing an economic model
How do we acknowledge that there are other factors other than x1,x2,x3
By adding an error or disturbance term, π
Example model form
Y= earnings
X1= education, x2= experience, x3= training
x4= innate ability π¦=π(π₯_1,π₯_2,π₯_3,π₯_4,β¦)
What do we try to estimate using an econometric model
The parameter π½
Example econometric model for Does training in machine maintenance increase machinistsβ productivity?
Econometric model: π¦=π½0+π½1 π₯1+π½2 π₯2+π½3 π₯3+π
where π¦ = widgets per hour, π₯1 = hours of training, π₯2 = years of education, π₯3 = years of experience, π = error or disturbance term
To answer whether a variable X affects Y, what is the hypothesis to be tested
Is π½β 0?
To answer whether a variable x increases Y, what is the hypothesis to be tested
Is π½>0?
What are the 4 types of non-experimental data
What does each row in a Cross sectional dataset refer to
An observation
What does each row in a time series data set refer to
A time period such as years
Why is chronology important for time series data
time periods are not independent
What is pooled cross sectional data and are variables and samples the same in each cross section
Two or more similar cross sectional datasets, e ach relating to a different time period
- Variables are the same in each cross section
- Samples are not the same
How is panel data different to pooled cross sectional data
What does econometric techniques do in summary
allow us to find out whether and by how much a change in π₯ causes π¦ to change even when, potentially, everything else is changing at the same time