what is the RV that is considered one of main factors in freq and severity of claims
-almost every rating algorithm has some RV that reflects geographic location of risk
Few challenges when determining indicated rates for territories
2 steps in territorial RM
Establishing territorial boundaries
GLMs can incorporate
spatial smoothing techniques
can be applied to residual variable to smooth results
distance based
adjacency based
clustering routines
-once indicated relativities are determined at basic unit level, these can be grouped into territories if desired by clustering routine
Quantile methods
Similarity methods
determining correct relativities aka ILFs for other limits has become more important over time
As personal wealth grows, people need more coverage
Inflationary trend have more impact on increased limits
More lawsuits and higher jury awards over time
why are standard RM approaches are problematic for ILFs
Generally less data at higher limits so results can be volatile
Analyses can produce results that are impractical to implement
standard ILF approach
-rates for various limits are expressed as relativities/ILFs to rate for basic limit:
rate @ limit H = ILF(H) * rate @ limit B
common assumptions for ILF approach
All UW expenses and profit are variable and don’t vary by limit
Freq and severity are independent
Freq is the same for all limits
LAS(H)
limited average severity @ limit H=severity assuming every loss is capped at H
ILFs with censored losses
have to use LAS for layers of loss
LAS(H)=LAS(B)+LAS(H-B xs B)*prob(x>B)
why are deductibles popular
Standard method of pricing deductibles
Loss Elimination Ratio approach
typical assumption of loss elimination approach
All UW expenses and profit are variable with prem
ind relativity for deductible pricing
=excess ratio(D)=1-LER(D) = 1 - losses below d/ground up
when you dont have ground up losses for deductible pricing
only policies with deductibles less than or equal to deductible you are pricing can be used to price the current deductible
= losses eliminated with new deductible/loss with old deductible
LER approach will not consider and other issues
that claimant behavior may vary by deductible
WC Size of Risk
expense constant
flat $ amount added to prem for each risk
premium discount
applies % discount to larger policies to recognize that expenses are lower % of their premium
expense reduction = exp total (row1) - exp total
discount = reduction/(1-tax-profit)