How to read 1.416 USD/EURO
1 Euro will cost 1.416 USD
Nominal
Exchange rate is quoted rate at any given time
Real
Exchange rate is nominal exchange rate adjusted for inflation in each country compared to the base.
Quote in Direct Terms
Price/ Base
Domestic / Foreign
Real Exchange Rate Formula
What does it mean when there is a fall in base?
US is our home
We invest in euroland
Exposure to currency is euro
Any fall in euro means we get less when we convert back to USD.
Say its 2 USD/EUR .. so 1 euro is 2 dollars.
If euro falls to .50, you get less dollars.
What does it mean when there is a fall in Price?
If USD rises, its the same as fall in euro
When we convert from euro to USD, we get less …
Say its 2 USD/EUR .. so 1 euro is 2 dollars
If USD rises, you still loose in euros
Direct vs indirect terms
Direct:
Price/Base
Domestic/Foreign
Indirect:
Base/Price
Foreign/Domestic’s
If its 1.416 USD/EUR(Direct)
For indirect its 1/quote given so:
1/1.416
Sell Side and Buy Side for FX
Sell: Large Multinational Banks
Buy:
- Corp
-Retail Market: Households (tourism)
Example Question:
CAD exchange rate with JPY changes from
JPY/CAD 75 to JAP CAD 78.
What happened to CAD?
(78-75)/75 = 4%
CAD appreciated 4%
Its inverted so:
1/75 = 0.0133
1/78 = 0.0128
(0.0128-0.0133)/0.0133 = -3.8%
JYP deprecated -3.8%
Relation between balance of trade and cap flows Formula
4 objectives of cap restrictions
Absorption Approach
Considers capital flows and good flows
Domestic spending and income is equivalent to increasing domestic savings.
Increase savings relative to domestic investment will move the balance of payments toward surplus under absorption approach.