Real Politik
International Orders
Treaties of Westphalia
Sovereignty (modern impact of treaty of Westphalia)
1) Principle of the sovereignty of states and fundamental right of political self determination
2) Legal equality between states
3) Non intervention of one state in the internal affairs of another state
Idealists v.s Realists
Idealist= Norman Angell 1910:
-prospects of war remote because of interconnected economy. proved wrong by WW1
Realists= E.H. Carr:
-interwar years.
-no perfect remedy for war
-competitive nature of politics between nations, war likely outcome. WWII proves him right
Hans Morgenthau
Name the Pre-20th Century Realists
Thucydides as a Realist
Machiaveli
- Leaders better feared than loved, learn not to be good and act accordingly
Hobbes
Rousseau
- No high power to settle disputes between sovereign states.
Shared Assumptions of Realism
Structural or Neorealism
-Kenneth Waltz 1979 Theory of International Relations
Struggle for power due to structure, anarchy
-More scientific basis
-Structure is a fundamental notion (tangible or intangible) referring to recognition, observation, nature and permanence of patters and relationships of entities
3 Elements of Structure:
1. Organizing principles 2. Differentiation of Units 3. Distribution of capabilities
Elements of Structural/Neo
1. All states are monolithic unity actors capable of making rational decisions based on preference ranking and value maximization
2. Anarchy not chaos is the ordering principle
3.Distribution of power within international system. Waltz placed an emphasis on capabilities: ie) size, econ capabilities, resource endowment, territory
Theory of Offensive Realism
Reasons States Seek Power Neo/Structural
1) Great powers are the main actors in the world and operate in an anarchic system
2)All states possess some offensive military capabilities. Can only attempt to gauge military capabilities if it possess a threat.
3) States can never be certain about the intentions of others states. Revisionist: determined to use force to alter balance of power. Status Quo: satisfied enough with its position that they have no interest in changing the system balance using force
4) Main goal is survival
5) States are rational actors > monolithic unitary actors capable of making rational decisions
^Incentives to gain power
Reason of State
-1st law: tells statesmen what to do: preserve health and strength of state. State is the key actor and must pursue power. Survival is not guaranteed,
Defensive Realism
Arguments for and against
-Recognize international system creates strong incentive to maximize power but maintain that trying to achieve and maintain hegemony is a foolish strategy. WHY?
Restraints to Hegemony:
-States will balance against you
-Offence-Defense balance, in terms of military capabilities defense is easier
-Conquest does not pay especially in the modern age with national self-determination
Offensive Realist Counter Arguments:
-Balancing is inefficient since each state has a reason to defect
-Offence-defense balance is not straightforward. offense wins wars
-Conquest may not always pay but it CAN pay
States Rational Decision Making Process
What Causes Great Power War? Structural Realist Perspective
1) # of Poles (Major States)
Stable pentarchy 18 and 19th century. Only stable if capability is equal. Bipolar system Cold War era security dilemma. Unipolar.
2) Distribution of Power Between States. Uni polar favors major powers
3) Changes in Distribution of Power. Power Transition Theory A.F.K Organski: even major power will act to ensure survival if there is a change. If a state thinks they can overcome the hegemon they will act. Thucydides trap: when one state tries to replace the dominant power war occurs.
4) Variations in offense defense balance
Neoclassical Realism
Randall Schweller
- different capacities to convert state power
Morgenthau’s Principles of Realism
1) Politics governed by objective laws with roots in unchanging human nature
2) Realism perceives world through concept of interest understood in terms of power
3) Interests universally define class power. meaning and content of interests may shift and change
4) Moral significance
5) Moral aspirations may not be universally valid
6) Focus on autonomy of political realm and decisions made within it
Influence
is a psychological relationship
Melian Dialogues