What is a guesstimate?
An estimate made based on a mixture of guesswork, experience, and calculation, often using inadequate information.
When is a guesstimate usually made?
When trying to make a decision based on limited information (e.g., estimating the time it will take to achieve a task).
What is the main advantage of a guesstimate?
It allows us to make decisions quickly and effortlessly without overthinking simple things.
When should you avoid using guesstimation?
When making high-impact decisions where being wrong can create serious negative consequences.
What are the four steps to guesstimation?
Question (clarify the problem), Breakdown (divide into individual issues), Solve (solve each piece), and Consolidate (combine issues/solutions for the final answer).
What are the two main approaches to guesstimation?
Top-Down and Bottom-Up approaches.
Describe the Bottom-Up approach to guesstimation.
A data-driven, real-time approach that starts with specific characteristics and micro-attributes (incoming stimulus) and works upwards to form a conclusion. It does not require previous knowledge.
Describe the Top-Down approach to guesstimation.
An approach that seeks to identify the big picture using previous experiences, expectations, and contextual information to recognize patterns and understand components.
Is getting the exact final value important in a guesstimate interview question?
No, most interviewers do not have a specific number in mind. They are evaluating your process for arriving at the answer.
What are four key tips for succeeding in a guesstimation interview?
What is the ultimate goal of a guesstimation problem?
To reveal your way of thinking, imagination, attention to detail, and determination in the face of a complex challenge.
How should you handle assumptions in a guesstimate (e.g., ‘How many ping pong balls fit in an airplane?’)?
Don’t just ask the interviewer for numbers; suggest what’s best for you and take the initiative to state your assumptions.
When calculating the volume of a plane’s fuselage for a guesstimate, what two dimensions do you need to estimate?
The airplane’s length and the diameter (or radius) of the fuselage.