What is the size of the critical region determined by?
The level of significance
P Value
Probability of obtaining a value equal to or more extreme
- NOT the critical region
Statistical Significance
Whether or not a sample result led to Ho rejection at the given level of significance (a)
Z Calc Formula
(Sample mean - Population Mean)
÷
(Population SD ÷ Square root of sample size)
Effect Size
Measure of absolute magnitude of observed effect/difference
What is the effect size independent of?
Sample size and standard error of the mean
Cohen’s d
(Sample Mean - Population mean) ÷ (Population SD)
What is the range of Cohen’s d values for small, moderate, and large effect size?
Small/Weak = 0.20 ≥ x
Moderate = 0.50
Large/Strong = 0.80 ≤ x
What happens when the sample population ranges overlap each other?
The sample mean recorded could come from any of the populations that overlap with each other
- errors
Type 1 Error
We reject Ho when it is actually found in the population
What is the probability of a type 1 error?
The size of the critical region
= alpha
How do you control the probability of a type 1 error?
Choose a small critical region (alpha)
What is the largest alpha value that can be used?
.05
True or False
A type 1 error is like convicting an innocent person in a jury trial.
True
Type 2 Error
We fail to reject (accept) Ho when it is actually false
True or False
A type 2 error is like convicting a guilty person in a jury trial
False
Retention Region
Common region
What is the probability of the type 2 error?
ß (hard to calculate)
Probability of making a correct decision when Ho is false = 1-ß
(power)
ß = 1 - P correct
What is the main method used to reduce the probability of a type 2 error?
Greater sample size
= power
What power level should be aimed for when evaluating type 2 errors?
0.8
= 80% probability of not making a type 2 error
What are type 1 errors considered?
More serious than type 2 errors
- common in research
As you decrease alpha , you decrease ____ but increase ___.
Power
1- ß