Risk assessment definition:
the attempt to predict the likelihood of future offending in order to identify individuals in need of intervention
Risk assessment must specify:
Risk management=
Interventions to manage or reduce risk
RNR model:
Big 4 of criminogenic needs:
History of antisocial behavior (Big 4): risk and dynamic need:
Antisocial personality pattern (Big 4): risk and dynamic need:
Antisocial cognitions (Big 4): risk and dynamic need:
Antisocial peers (Big 4): risk and dynamic need:
Central 8 (Big 4+ Moderate 4)
Relevant non-criminogenic needs for general offending behavior (4):
Important non-criminogenic risk factors that seem to be directly related to recidivism reduction (2):
- Successful treatment process from the client
External responsivity (RNR):
type of treatment, characteristics of the therapist, availability of adequate interventions, possibilities offered by the treatment environment (stability, quality of life, mobility)
Internal responsivity (RNR):
take into account the individual characteristics of a client: intellect, personality, disorder, treatment motivation, learning style
4 generations of risk assessment instruments:
-1st generation: unstructured professional judgment
-2nd generation: actuarial instruments
-3rd generation: structured professional judgment (1st generation + 2nd generation)
4th generation: +case management
1st generation risk assessment instrument:
- No underlying assessment instrument
1st gen advantages:
1st gen disadvantages:
2nd generation insturment:
-Actuarial
-Empirically-based, mostly statistic items
Score a list of factors and add them up, look in norm table
2nd gen advantages:
2nd gen disadvantages:
3rd generation instruments:
- Includes protective + dynamic risk factors and (non-)criminogenic needs
3rd gen advantages:
3rd gen disadvantages: