Midterm 2 Flashcards

(66 cards)

1
Q

The Paradox of
Voting

A

E(V) = pb - C (+ D)*

You only vote when the benefits outweigh the cost.

According to Ricker and Ordeshook, (this is solved by?) the personal satisfaction of performing civic duty

E(V) = likelihood of voting
p = probability
B = benefits
C = cost
D = the personal satisfaction of performing civic duty

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2
Q

How Legislatures Differ

A
  • Electoral rules create very different legislatures (in terms of what they look like and the policies that come from them)
  • Level of minority representation
  • Effective number of parties
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3
Q

Level of Minority Representation

A

You get different levels based on the rules you have.
*District based systems tend to be higher

FPP elections lead to majority group candidates
Attempts to increase minority representation in the U.S:
- Majority minority districts (mixed effect on substantive representation, complaints of unfairness)

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4
Q

Earmarks

A

Comes from geographic representation
In a bill, getting something beneficial added on for your district.
Leads to a lot of spending

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5
Q

How to Improve Representation

A

Multi-member districts
- Cumulative voting
- 3 seats up, vote for 3 candidates as opposed to splitting them into districts

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6
Q

District Magnitude

A

The number of representatives from each district

The greater the magnitude, the fewer the voters winners need
The fewer the votes you need, the greater amount of parties

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7
Q

Proportional Representation Equation

A

District magnitude - size of legislature

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8
Q

Duverger’s Law

A

In political systems with single-member districts and first past the post voting, only 2 powerful political parties tend to control power.

small/weaker parties must form coalitions so votes aren’t split away from them

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9
Q

What affects the cost of elections?

A

Time, place, and manner of elections affect the “cost”

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10
Q

Plurality Rule

A

Whoever gets the most votes wins, even if it is not a majority
(first past the post)

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11
Q

Simple Majority Rule

A

Whoever gets the majority wins
Often involves runoffs

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12
Q

Hill Style

A

Workhorses vs showhorses
Committee work
Party work
Caucus work

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13
Q

How Congress Members Are Different

A

Not descriptively representative
Richer, older, more educated, more white, more male

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14
Q

What Members of Congress Do

A

Legislator
Constituent service
Representative
Leader
Party member

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15
Q

Legislator Role

A

(BIWG D)
Going to committees
Specializing on a few issue ares
Deciding which issues to champion
Taking briefings from staff or interest groups
Deciding to vote on issues

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16
Q

Constituency Servant Role

A

Gathering “pork”
Greasing the wheels of the government
Acting as a liaison
Protecting opportunities to engage in lucrative behavior

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17
Q

Mentor-Communicator/Representative Role

A

Listening to Constituents views
Explaining how Congress works
Explaining the tough vote

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18
Q

Other Roles

A

Protecting/getting the party majority
Being/becoming leader
Thinking about a higher office

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19
Q

Congress Schedules

A

Senate: 3 weeks on/1 week off
House: Tuesday/Thursday club

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20
Q

Fenno’s Constituencies

A

Geographic - The broadest circle is that of the geographic district, encompassing all potential voters and regions;
Reelection - The next circle consists of the electoral supporters–“who is likely to vote for me?”;
Primary - The next circle is the primary supporters–“who is actually going to do work for me?”;
Personal - The smallest circle is the candidate’s intimates–family, close friends, and trusted advisers.

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21
Q

Delegate vs. Trustee

A

Congress members have to decide which to be

Delegate - do what your constituents would do if they were there
Trustee - do what your constituents would do if they knew as much as you do

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22
Q

Methods of Getting Incumbent Message Out

A

Easier for incumbents
Free outlets - the media, the frank

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23
Q

Leadership Structure in House

A

Speaker
Majority/minority leaders
Majority/minority whips
Committee chair

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24
Q

House Speaker

A

Constitutionally mandated to exist.
Technically not a partisan position.
Assigns bills
Determines committee members
Jobs:
- procedural
- administrative
- political (negotiating across the aisle)

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25
House Majority/Minority Leaders
Speakers in waiting
26
House Majority/Minority Whips
Count Votes
27
House Committee Chairs
Every committee has a chair, is a member of the majority party Majority party tends to have more Unless it's the ethics committee
28
Leadership Structure in the Senate
Vice president is head Majority leader Minority leader Whips
29
Vice President in Senate
Formally the head But really only votes in cases of a tie
30
Senate Majority Leader
Runs the senate in the absence of the VP Similar role to speaker of the House (runs the majority party. But less powerful and harder job) Most of Senate's history, there has been no majority leader Few institutional sources of leadership Leadership based on personality
31
Senate Minority Leader
Easier job than majority leader. Just have to stop things
32
Senate Whips
Vote counters Prevent defections
33
Party Leader Jobs
Coordinators - Leaders say which bill will go to the floor - Factors like loyalty, importance of bill, consistency with leadership desires, likelihood of passing, etc. Coalition builders - Pleasing all the veto players, getting just enough votes, get the benefits while you can, Unanimous consent agreements, procedural coalitions Arm twisters - can sometimes force votes through strong personality, refusing to cooperate in the future, taking away "goodies" Negative agenda control - keeping things off the ballot. Easier job than getting things on.
34
Principal-Agent Theory
Principals choose agents to represent them. The principal can’t do everything, so they have to delegate to agents. Agents typically know more. But the principal wants to make sure agents are doing what they want them to do. Police patrols - General oversight Fire alarms - Everything is fine, then someone pulls the alarm so now everyone is paying attention. Emergency response. Expertise and trust - If you trust the agent, you will be less diligent in checking on them.
35
Parties Don't Have
Control over ballot access (anyone can run for anything, it's up to the voters) Primary control (primaries weaken parties) They are only as strong as the goodies they have
36
Parties Have
Office space Staff Future cooperation/help Campaign contributions Committee assignments
37
Conditional Party Government
If no parties, people wouldn't vote together anyways. If we have strong parties, members will vote with each other, think like each other, work together, etc. When terms are met, centralization takes over as party leaders use power to rein people in. When the majority is smaller, it requires more negotiation.
38
Party Effects
How can we tell what is party and what is ideology? Political scientists have shown: - Changing votes - Changing committee assignment behavior - Changing donation patterns
39
Centralization
Strong speaker Leader tries to consolidate power in the office of the speaker Parties control committees Power in the hands of the few
40
Decentralization
Letting committees be more powerful Not consolidating power in the center, but among committee chairs and allies Committee autonomy Power in the hands of the many
41
Centralization-Decentralization History
Pre-1900s were decentralized Centralization - Cannon Decentralization - Rayburn Centralization - O'Neill, Wright, Foley Centralization - Gingrich Centralization - Hastert Centralization - Pelosi Herding Cats - Boehner Centralization - Ryan Centralization - Pelosi Decentralization - McCarthy Centralization - Johnson
42
Lyndon Johnson
Most powerful Senate Majority leader, but it was all based on his own personality and skillset
43
Senate Centralization
Because of rules and norms in the Senate, it will probably never be centralized - Individualism - Egalitarianism - Partisanship
44
Election Message(s)
(NIISM) Name recognition Important local/national issues Incumbent vs challenger Scandals Minority vs majority party
45
Minority vs Majority [Election Message]
Majority: - Valence issues - Party loyalty Minority: - Wedge issues - Personality - Scandal
46
Incumbent vs Challenger [Election Message]
Incumbents: - Use positive pervious record (pro) - Experience - Constituency connection Challengers: - Previous record (con - point out bad incumbent has done) - "Outsider" status - Scandal
47
Incumbent Spending
Important result: the more a challenger spends, the better they do. The more an incumbent spends, the worse they do. (Gary Jacobson) There is only a certain % a person can get. Challengers start with low name recognition, spending makes them more well known, which raises their % of the vote. Incumbents are already much better known. If they’re spending more money, they’re worried about losing. They don’t feel secure.
48
Strategies - Advertising
Depends on constituent preferences Costs - media market - Fundraising Other media - internet, social media, tellecommunications Microtargeting
49
Positive Ads
A feel good message about the candidate Biographic Not very issue based Targeted - introducing candidate to certain groups
50
Negative Ads
"Contrast" ads - often the only content laden info in campaigns - could be good for democracy (John Geer) Attack ads - dirty tricks - personal attacks Response ads
51
Retail Politics
Parades Door to door campaigning Small speeches *effectiveness is based on constituent preferences and candidate ability
52
GOTV
Get Out The Vote Most eligible voters don't vote so it 1. fires up regulars 2. mobilizes new voters
53
What Suppresses Turnout?
Negative campaigning Registration requirements "Dirty tricks" - misleading info on where/when to vote
54
What increases turnout?
Close elections "Important elections" "Group theories" of turnout Phone banks Taxi services
55
The Parallel Campaign
When you have candidates campaigning along with outside groups, but they can’t coordinate Campaign will: - run ads - host rallies - canvass and phonebank - mobilize and suppress And so will outside allied groups BUT Campaign can’t control what the independent group does which can backfire on the candidate
56
Cost vs Control
When campaigning, candidates must balance cost with control Controlling the message is costly Cheap messages lack control
57
Cost of Campaigning
Factors: - Early money - Incumbency advantage - intimidation of potential donors, war chests
58
Early Money
Money begets money. Have to file campaign finance reports periodically throughout the campaign, so you need to show you’re viable. Raised the most money. Other donors are more likely to see that, notice viability, and give more money. Also need to have enough money at the end to deal with a closing blitz. Trying to juggle spending over the course of the campaign is something to figure out.
59
Control in Campaigning
Money lets you control your message - the only time you can be sure of what's being said about you. Otherwise you run on "Free" messages - airtime - independent spending - non-candidate spending
60
How Do Voters Decide?
Party labels Coattails vs balance Approval vs change Issue voting (single-issue voting)
61
Single-Issue Voting
Not a very big segment of the electorate, but enough that in a close election, could help/hurt things Sometimes can trump party lines
62
Valence Issues
The issues that are most important to the current party structure. The major dimension of party cleavage Want to emphasize issues closer to the median voter
63
Wedge Issues
Issues not addressed by the existing party structure Cut across party lines
64
Critical Elections
Occurs when a wedge issue becomes a valence issue Problem is you can only see it in retrospect
64
Realignments
Occurs when a new issue becomes the most important on the political landscape Typically has an initial boom followed by a slow completion
65
Are we mid-realignment after 2024?
Maybe - Working class v. Intellectuals - Union members moving towards Republicans - Many establishment Republicans endorse Harris