Probability Flashcards

(21 cards)

1
Q

When exclusive? When independent?

A

A U B = A + B
A n B = AB

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2
Q

Bayesian

A

B|A = B (A|B) / A

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3
Q

Stars and bars

A

p+q-1 choose q
q balls with p boxes

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4
Q

Binomial
Binomial distribution P(X=r) = ?

A

sum (n choose r) q^r p^n-r

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5
Q

(n choose r)=?+?

A

(n-1, r) + (n-1, r-1)

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6
Q

P(3H in 6 coin tosses)

A

(6 choose 3) p^3 (1-p)^3

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7
Q

P(birthdays)

A

P365, r / 365^r

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8
Q

Discrete probability Variance equation

A

E(x2) - E(x)2

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9
Q

Discrete probability Var(aX ± bY) =
Discrete probability Var(X+a) =

A

a2 Var(x) + b2 Var(x)
Var(x)

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10
Q

Binomial distribution Mean, variance?

A

np
np(1-p)

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11
Q

When is poisson used?

A

successes is unlimited

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12
Q

Poisson P(X=r) = ?

A

λ^r e^-λ / r!

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13
Q

Poisson Mean, variance?

A

λ
λ

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14
Q

Poisson Derive mean, derive variance

A

sum r f(r) = e^-λ sum(λ^r / (r-1)!) = e^-λ λ sum(λ^s / s!) = λ

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15
Q

PDF Give uniform distribution
PDF Mean, variance?

A

1/b - a if between a and b
a+b/2
(b-a)² / 12

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16
Q

Normal distribution f(x) = ?
Mean, variance?

A

1/ σ√2π e^ - ((x - μ)/σ√2)²
N(μ, σ²)

17
Q

Normal distribution Derive mean, derive variance

A

E(x) = … 1/√π int μe^-y² dy = μ

18
Q

Normal distribution CDF draw

19
Q

Normal distribution CDF formula

A

1/ √2π int e^ - (z/2)²

20
Q

Normal distribution 𝜎, 2𝜎, 3𝜎

A

0.683
0.954
0.997

21
Q

State CLT

A

if xi samples are taken from a distribution, the distribution of mean is well approximated by normal distribution as n is large