When exclusive? When independent?
A U B = A + B
A n B = AB
Bayesian
B|A = B (A|B) / A
Stars and bars
p+q-1 choose q
q balls with p boxes
Binomial
Binomial distribution P(X=r) = ?
sum (n choose r) q^r p^n-r
(n choose r)=?+?
(n-1, r) + (n-1, r-1)
P(3H in 6 coin tosses)
(6 choose 3) p^3 (1-p)^3
P(birthdays)
P365, r / 365^r
Discrete probability Variance equation
E(x2) - E(x)2
Discrete probability Var(aX ± bY) =
Discrete probability Var(X+a) =
a2 Var(x) + b2 Var(x)
Var(x)
Binomial distribution Mean, variance?
np
np(1-p)
When is poisson used?
successes is unlimited
Poisson P(X=r) = ?
λ^r e^-λ / r!
Poisson Mean, variance?
λ
λ
Poisson Derive mean, derive variance
sum r f(r) = e^-λ sum(λ^r / (r-1)!) = e^-λ λ sum(λ^s / s!) = λ
PDF Give uniform distribution
PDF Mean, variance?
1/b - a if between a and b
a+b/2
(b-a)² / 12
Normal distribution f(x) = ?
Mean, variance?
1/ σ√2π e^ - ((x - μ)/σ√2)²
N(μ, σ²)
Normal distribution Derive mean, derive variance
E(x) = … 1/√π int μe^-y² dy = μ
Normal distribution CDF draw
s
Normal distribution CDF formula
1/ √2π int e^ - (z/2)²
Normal distribution 𝜎, 2𝜎, 3𝜎
0.683
0.954
0.997
State CLT
if xi samples are taken from a distribution, the distribution of mean is well approximated by normal distribution as n is large